Re:Scientists rise up against statistical significance
by lucienlecam on Thursday March 21, 2019 @09:49AM
(#19452269)
In other words, the author has no mathematical examples to support the argument, and the objection is purely philosophical...
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Re:Scientists rise up against statistical significance
by fenomas on Thursday March 21, 2019 @11:09AM
(#19453192)
Not as I understand it. Note that the author's argument there isn't "frequentism is bad because it gives an unreasonable answer here", it's "the fact that frequentism gives a different answer here demonstrates that it really is answering a different question".
Re:Scientists rise up against statistical significance
by lucienlecam on Thursday March 21, 2019 @12:47PM
(#19454430)
But the frequentist answer is only different when the frequentist can't use common sense. If you use min(D) as the frequentist estimator, you would get a very different confidence interval, as it would have the form [min(D) - constant, min(D)]. The CDF of the truncated exponential is F(x) = 1-exp(theta-x), and the CDF of the minimum of three samples is 1-(1-F(x))^3. I get that the frequentist 95% CI is [9.00142, 10], which for all intents and purposes is the same as the credible interval the author computes.
I agree that credible intervals and confidence intervals answer different questions. I don't think that it's obvious that the confidence interval approach is wrong, and the example in the blog post is definitely not evidence towards this.