20th Century Fox Uses ML to Predict a Movie Audience

Re:20th Century Fox Uses ML to Predict a Movie Audience by basch on Wednesday February 20, 2019 @10:46AM (#19208757)

It's actually fairly rare for an animated sequel to outperform the original.

https://filmrust.com/2019/02/12/where-lego-2-went-wrong-an-5...

Incredibles 2, Shrek 2, Spongebob 2, and Despicable Me 2 were really the only ones worth making, vs gambling on a new property.

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Re:20th Century Fox Uses ML to Predict a Movie Audience by michaelt on Wednesday February 20, 2019 @11:45AM (#19209342)

A moderately successful sequel to a highly successful original could underperform that original, but still outperform the average original.

If "Kung Fu Panda 1" makes $273 million and "Kung Fu Panda 2" makes $187 million that's lower - but higher than "Pokemon: The First Movie" which only made $153 million.

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Re:20th Century Fox Uses ML to Predict a Movie Audience by madebylaw on Wednesday February 20, 2019 @11:57AM (#19209471)

Maybe domestically? Toy Story 2, Monsters University, and I'm sure others outperformed the original when you compare their global box office numbers. https://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=monstersinc2.htm (nb foreign BO is 64% of the haul).

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Re:20th Century Fox Uses ML to Predict a Movie Audience by grogenaut on Wednesday February 20, 2019 @12:27PM (#19209770)

Personally I just consider every Pixar movie a sequel to the previous Pixar movie. I treat Pixar more like a director or author. The stuff may be different but I'm going to buy the next Neil Stephenson novel even if it's a cook book.

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Re:20th Century Fox Uses ML to Predict a Movie Audience by basch on Wednesday February 20, 2019 @03:51PM (#19211852)

That was kind of my point. Pixar or Dreamworks or Disney Animation or Illumination as a brand are bigger draws than being a sequel. "I want to go see the new Pixar movie."

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