Re:Could 'Oumuamua be an icy fractal aggregate ejected from ...
by rocqua on Tuesday February 19, 2019 @04:34PM
(#19203050)
A quick scan didn't reveal my favorite sample size 1 statistic. If you sample serial numbers starting from 1 and sample N, the best guess is that there are 2N examples.
This was worked out in WW II for estimating tank production.
http://www.thebigalientheory.com
Certainly, any new information is going to radically adjust the posterior probabilities, but you can still make some tentative inferences.