Personally, I believe there's a tipping point where our society will no longer be able to live in denial that we've built AI. We're not there yet since there are still a huge number of things people can do that computers can't. For example, no AI has really passed the Turing Test yet. So pretty obviously, we don't yet have "Real AI", and I understand the AI Effect, even though it's unfortunate.
But surely, there's a point where it'll be blindingly obvious that our machines are intelligent?
Name something that "humans can do that computers can't", and I bet I'll find you a human person that can't do it either.
For example, at a previous job we wanted to introduce cognitive captchas to avoid accessibility issues with visual ones. We were told we couldn't do that because some of our target audience had learning difficulties and would not be able to pass them. (Coincidentally, there was HN post the other day about how Wolfram Alpha can pass a good proportion of captchas similar to what we had planned to use)
Advances in natural language processing, metaheuristics and machine learning, as examples, are clearly steps toward the "holy grail" but to the average person it is nigh meaningless.
Lay people think AI means something like artificial intuition. Which is very hard and can only be done poorly within narrow domains.
As soon as we get an AI doing something that was previously considered intelligent that task is retroactively relabeled as not really requiring intelligence, and consequently "Real AI" remains out of reach.