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Re:A meteorite hit the moon during yesterday's total lunar e... by Someone on Wednesday January 23, 2019 @02:58AM (#18976505)
”the state at some later time is just very sensitive to the initial conditions”

I am sure it has zero impact in practice, but theoretically, there’s a random component that isn’t part of the initial conditions.

Our current understanding of radioactive decay is that it is 100% random, and that the law of conservation of momentum also holds at quantum scale. If so, radio-active decay that emits a particle that escapes from an orbit around the meteor (relatively easy, given the lack of atmosphere and low mass of the meteor) has a (minute) random effect on the velocity vector of the remaining larger part.

Because individual decay events are uncorrelated, adding up all the effects of radio-active decay over time will make the already extremely tiny effect a lot smaller (by the square root of the number of decays, if I’m not mistaken, but there may the timing of decays gives earlier decays a larger effect on the eventual course, so it may be slightly less dramatic).

That’s why I doubt it has any practical impact.

Re:A meteorite hit the moon during yesterday's total lunar e... by tomp on Wednesday January 23, 2019 @07:04AM (#18977523)
> Our current understanding of radioactive decay is that it is 100% random

Isn't it only locally random? I.e. there could still be some global "initial conditions" that make it deterministic (yet unknowable for us)... As in, given a sequence of numbers, there's no way to tell if it was generated randomly or just pseudorandomly (e.g. by RSA/SHA).

Re:A meteorite hit the moon during yesterday's total lunar e... by db48x on Wednesday January 23, 2019 @09:21PM (#18985457)
That would be called a "hidden variable", and it's already proved that no theory involving hidden variables can be correct.