Re:Brexit Deal Fails in Parliament
by philwelch on Tuesday January 15, 2019 @05:42PM
(#18916321)
British Euroskepticism has been a political force for decades and the risk of a Brexit has always been an implicit source of negotiating leverage for the UK.
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Yes, but now the UK is out over its skis. It has much less leverage now than its MPs seem to realize. The clock is ticking — they are headed for a hard Brexit in 10 weeks and everyone knows they’ve not planned for it.
Exactly, it's like killing the hostages.
I think people undersell this - I can't find the really good analysis I recall reading about this right now, but what it said was polling over the last couple of decades shows there has actually been majority support (often over 60%!) to at least reduce participation in the EU for the last 20 years.
According to this other polling [1], the appetite to do a full exit has not been as high, but still close to 50/50. I think in general people are doing a massive disservice to their own understanding when they try and take a minority "fringe racist" view and try to say that is the reason for all voters of Brexit, when reality is more complex and long-term.
(I say this not really having a horse in this race, never having even been to the UK and only having been to Europe a few times).
1. https://theconversation.com/polling-history-40-years-of-brit...
Re:Brexit Deal Fails in Parliament
by hardlianotion on Tuesday January 15, 2019 @06:14PM
(#18916624)
Skepticism is a force, yes, but otherwise your claim looks very much like post-hoc reasoning. This is simply not the case.