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Re:I'm a Brit and America, your health care system is tortur... by rayiner on Friday January 04, 2019 @01:44PM (#18826529)
I favor nationalized health insurance, but I worry American idealism would screw up implementation. The British are aggressive about rationing care. They aim to pay around 20-30,000 pounds per quality adjusted life year: https://www.bbc.com/news/health-28983924

There was an article on HN the other day that talked about how much debt a woman had incurred for her husband’s cancer treatment after she hit her insurer’s lifetime limit. But it turns out that in the UK, the expensive of that course of treatment compared to prospects would have been far above what NHS would have been willing to pay.

If you have socialized care, you need to ration it, ideally focusing on maximizing QALYs for younger individuals with years of productive life left. I fear our political system in the US wouldn’t let us do that.

EDIT: Here is the article: https://www.npr.org/sections/health-shots/2017/08/10/5425892.... The insurance policy's lifetime limit was $500,000, or about 400,000 pounds. Even if we assume British healthcare costs half as much, under NHS's policies, the expected benefit of treatment would have to be 6 QALYs for NHS to have paid even as much as the U.S. insurance company paid. But it was a rare, aggressive cancer and the lady's husband died in less than two.

Re:I'm a Brit and America, your health care system is tortur... by tptacek on Friday January 04, 2019 @04:12PM (#18827669)
Another problem is that for a variety of reasons, some of them structural, Americans consume significantly more medical services (diagnostics, procedures, visits) than Europeans do, without improved outcomes. There are fundamental inefficiencies in our system --- for instance, incentives have led to the creation of lots of small hospitals that see poor utilization --- that lead to this, and will be baked into any single-payer system we devise.

This concerns me enough that I oppose nationalized health insurance. I think the status quo ante of the ACA was intolerable, and that the system needs dramatic improvements (high on my list would be price transparency regulations), but that the core problem we have in the US is not that health care isn't universal, but that we pay too much for it, and baking that quietly into our taxes is an alarming proposition.

Re:I'm a Brit and America, your health care system is tortur... by bb88 on Friday January 04, 2019 @05:08PM (#18828145)
> (high on my list would be price transparency regulations)

Why didn't the republicans do that over the past two years in the US? It seems like it would be great for the free market, and also encourage competition. Or do they believe in large company profit "protectionism"?

Re:I'm a Brit and America, your health care system is tortur... by tptacek on Friday January 04, 2019 @05:13PM (#18828189)
I don't know, except to say that national health policy has become a political football. I don't think there's an ideological reason for the decisions Congress has made; the system we have now was the Republican's proposed system in the 1990s (and was even a policy plank the the 1996 Republican Platform).
Re:I'm a Brit and America, your health care system is tortur... by pcwalton on Friday January 04, 2019 @11:36PM (#18829936)
It's very easy to explain Republican opposition to the ACA. The 2016 election has made it clear that the GOP is motivated not by outcomes, not even by ideology (the current GOP, driven as it is by one person, has no coherent ideology), but by tribalism. Obama was and still is considered an enemy who cannot be allowed to score a victory at any cost, and so Republicans had to oppose the ACA.

I know that this take is likely to be viewed as extremely uncharitable to Republicans, but there really is no other logical way I can see to explain the party's anti-ACA plank.

(I think it's actually quite counterproductive to the conservative movement, because by abandoning ideology in favor of naked partisanship the GOP has guaranteed that Democrats will never give them a seat at the table when health care reform comes up again while Dems are in power. As a liberal, I couldn't care less, of course, but I can't help but note the irony...)

Re:I'm a Brit and America, your health care system is tortur... by tptacek on Saturday January 05, 2019 @12:03AM (#18830012)
That's an argument I'm familiar with and sympathetic to, but not something I'd necessarily argue in mixed company, which is what I think of HN as. I don't understand the current coherent argument the GOP has regarding health care but I'm open to there being an ostensible argument and would only ask that Republicans recognize that whatever the new argument is, it's distinct from the original argument, which is that we should have a system that looks basically exactly like the ACA.
Re:I'm a Brit and America, your health care system is tortur... by bb88 on Saturday January 05, 2019 @07:12PM (#18835325)
This is what I don't understand either. I understand the desire to cut medicaid to reduce taxes and the size of government argument. But weren't there free market incentives they could have done as well?

Here's one: tax cuts to insurance companies based upon the number of people they insure over time, to help offset the cost of insuring sick people.

This seems like a no-brainer republican solution, which probably would have gotten a fair number of democrats on board.

Re:I'm a Brit and America, your health care system is tortur... by deogeo on Friday January 04, 2019 @06:02PM (#18828575)
1.) Insurance companies don't have infinite money - they ration as well. See point 8.4 in https://slatestarcodex.com/2017/02/22/repost-the-non-liberta...

2.) If you want private healthcare in the UK, you can still get it: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Private_medicine_in_the_United... Public healthcare doesn't mean private healthcare is illegal - why would you think that?

[dead]
Re:I'm a Brit and America, your health care system is tortur... by tptacek on Friday January 04, 2019 @05:42PM (#18828433)
There needs to be a way for you to rebut someone you disagree with, even if your argument is ironclad, without dipping into incivility.
Re:I'm a Brit and America, your health care system is tortur... by rayiner on Friday January 04, 2019 @05:54PM (#18828530)
So this was your response if I recall our prior discussion correctly:

> This is simply untrue.

> There's too much wrong with your link to debunk it. It's almost entirely wrong. Mostly, there is a different QALY threshold applied when drugs are used for people with life expectancy of under 24 months, and also they're using an unsourced value for QALYs.

"There's too much wrong with your link to debunk it" isn't much for me to go on to change my assessment of the story.

Moreover, I don't think any of your assertions can change the result, for several reasons:

1) The BBC article I linked to says: "NICE aims to spend less than £20,000 to £30,000 per Qaly. That is not a hard limit; it will go almost twice as high for end-of-life drugs."

You say that "there is a different QALY threshold applied when drugs are used for people with life expectancy of under 24 months."

But if life expectancy is under 24 months, the total amount NHS spends is correspondingly limited, even if the per-year threshold is higher. Even if NHS would pay 60,000 pounds per QALY for end-of-life care, with a 2-year life expectancy, you're not coming close to the $500,000 the U.S. insurance company paid.

2) My estimate is conservative to begin with. The course of treatment actually cost more than $500,000 (the lady paid hundreds of thousands of dollars during the two-year period after exceeding the lifetime limit). I also estimated British costs at half of U.S. costs. But if most of the costs in this situation were due to drugs subject to a higher QALY limit, the that would be an overly conservative assumption, since cutting-edge cancer drugs aren't half the price in the U.K. as in U.S. (while services may be).

In this particular case, probably over 500,000 pounds was spent to extend this person's life by maybe a year if that. I don't think anything you've provided suggests that NHS would have spent that much, or even the 400,000 pounds the U.S. insurance company actually spent.

I also don't understand your point about my "assumptions." I'm not assuming expensive treatment is good treatment. I'm saying expensive treatment is what people want, and U.S. insurance companies are willing to pay for it, and NHS is much less willing to pay for it. That's my point. Here in the U.S., the outrage is why the insurance company didn't pick up the tab for the other couple of hundred thousand dollars. Nobody is willing to suggest that maybe we do what the NHS would have done, and deny such expensive treatment for someone with such a bad prognosis.