I don't think we can ever standardize programming any more than we can standardize humanity's collective goals and ambitions.
Plumbers still need to get things to work in your house, but tools and techniques have largely removed guesswork. The end point will be different than accounting, but I feel the trend is clear with knowledge replacing the need for extreme generic problem solving skills.
‘Design Patterns’ are of real though limited value, that’s a meta example of exactly what I am talking about.
Programmers should be making closer to 200-300k per year; but then everyone else would be making 30 or 40 dollars an hour minimum wage.
Supply and demand aren’t well matched, considering the job posting out there. But there’s a lot going on influencing all of this
Give it 200 years and programming will probably be thought of as accounting. Well paid and nessisarily, but hardly revolutionary.
PS: Salaries have generally stagnated over the last 10 years suggesting supply and demand are well matched. Their is a lot of stratification, but most programmers make well under six figures.