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Re:China’s Economy Slows Sharply by askaboutit on Friday December 14, 2018 @05:47PM (#18685604)
Every economy has a plateau then a fall, then a pull back up again. I think the aggressive trade stance and hard line politics by China might have played a major role. As it’s frightened both the local businesses and foreign businesses and lead to all global powers starting to put tariffs and trade barriers up, all due to China wanting to get away with pretty blatant violations of fair trade, huge import taxes on foreign goods, great firewall blocking any foreign purchase easily, hugely subsidised mail, forced ownership sharing, lowered safety regulations, lack of pollutant regulation etc. chuck in a house market with terrible quality at a high price and you’ve got a balloon waiting to pop. I don’t blame the Chinese for wanting to buy any house outside of China. But they’ve taken their “build junk make bank” mentality to the world and it can’t last much longer.
Re:China’s Economy Slows Sharply by vkou on Friday December 14, 2018 @07:10PM (#18686071)
> blatant violations of fair trade, huge import taxes on foreign goods, great firewall blocking any foreign purchase easily, hugely subsidised mail, forced ownership sharing, lowered safety regulations, lack of pollutant regulation

'Free' trade benefits industrialized nations, while mercantilism benefits developing nations. Every currently industrialized nation has, at some point in its past, been incredible protectionist, blatantly violated IP laws, had atrocious safety, employment, and pollution regulations, and large taxes on foreign imports.

China is just catching up to what the rest of the developed world has gone through.

Are you expecting them to look at the history of how the United States, and Europe developed, and go: "Well, gee, protectionism, lax safety regulations, and access to foreign resource markets worked really well for all these other countries... But we shouldn't repeat their success!"

Re:China’s Economy Slows Sharply by hopefulengineer on Saturday December 15, 2018 @10:51AM (#18688805)
>China is just catching up to what the rest of the developed world has gone through

in the past there was no world trade organization and there were no multi-national free trade agreements. It's like saying china should be allowed to enslave people because it happened hundreds of years ago. There are now laws against it

I've seen this argument parroted multiple times on many different websites. It's either just the blind leading the blind or Chinese sock puppets spreading lies to justify blatant trade abuses

Re:China’s Economy Slows Sharply by mruniverse on Friday December 14, 2018 @07:18PM (#18686118)
Yeah they shouldn't follow that history.

The US also had slavery.

Re:China’s Economy Slows Sharply by HumanDrivenDev on Friday December 14, 2018 @07:25PM (#18686157)
The US also had slavery.

Are you under the impression that China didn't?

Re:China’s Economy Slows Sharply by mruniverse on Friday December 14, 2018 @07:28PM (#18686181)
I was and I stand corrected.

I was trying to address the idea that since the US did bad things in the past, it's ok for other nations to do them too.

Re:China’s Economy Slows Sharply by vkou on Friday December 14, 2018 @07:21PM (#18686127)
Great, so now that you're at the top, you want to pull the ladder up?
Re:China’s Economy Slows Sharply by munificent on Friday December 14, 2018 @07:32PM (#18686201)
If "pulling the ladder up" includes things like "not allowing the world climate to be destroyed" or "preventing disregarding human rights violations and worker quality of life" then, yeah, probably.

Giving each country a fair shot at developing even if they didn't happen to get on that ramp at the same time as some Western countries is a good goal.

At the same time, that's not such a vital principle that we should sacrifice other moral or pragmatic imperatives to get it. China may have gotten a late start, but that doesn't give them the right to ignore everything we've learned since then about a country's obligations to its people and the world.

Re:China’s Economy Slows Sharply by mruniverse on Friday December 14, 2018 @07:22PM (#18686141)
Are we talking the slavery ladder?
Re:China’s Economy Slows Sharply by vkou on Friday December 14, 2018 @07:24PM (#18686154)
I'm talking about all the other 'unfair' trade practices that have been cited.

If you don't want the developing world to follow in the West's footsteps, perhaps we should share some of our wealth with them? Would that be a more palpable alternative?

Earlier today, a study was posted on HN about how the British Empire plundered ~$50T (inflation-adjusted) of wealth from India over it's colonial history. If you want to even the playing field with the developing world, we have a lot of reparations to look forward to.

Re:China’s Economy Slows Sharply by henrikschroder on Friday December 14, 2018 @07:37PM (#18686227)
> If you don't want the developing world to follow in the West's footsteps, perhaps we should share some of our wealth with them?

We are, it's called the global economy, and it has performed a wealth transfer of unprecedented scale these last decades.

> we have a lot of reparations to look forward to.

Colonial reparations are complete crock, because they are based on counterfactual history speculations, and there are absolutely no concrete limits on those.

The Roman empire obviously plundered the British isles for inflation-adjusted astronomical amounts during its colonial history, should modern-day Italians pay reparations to England?

It's absurd.

Re:China’s Economy Slows Sharply by mc32 on Friday December 14, 2018 @07:42PM (#18686250)
Arguably, had the Romans not invaded and expanded, much of the Mediterranean and the rest of Europe would have remained 'barbarian' for quite a while. They arguably brought civilization with them into the far-reaches of Europe (obviously at a great toll to the local populations)..
Re:China’s Economy Slows Sharply by henrikschroder on Friday December 14, 2018 @08:06PM (#18686344)
Arguably, the British brought a lot of things with them to India as well, infrastructure, medicine, industry, language. All these things benefit Indians living today, and many millions of Indians living today wouldn't be alive if the course of history hadn't been changed.

How do you put a value on that?

Also, many Indians were killed resisting the colonial invasion, and their descendants are not living today as a result, but would have if the course of history hadn't changed.

How do you put a value on that?

You can twist yourself silly arguing these things back and forth, because there are no physical limits. There are no principles to fall back on, there's only human imagination, you're free to dream up whatever pricetag you want on them.

And that is why colonial reparations are ridiculous.

Re:China’s Economy Slows Sharply by yesforwhat on Saturday December 15, 2018 @08:29PM (#18691279)
> Arguably, the British brought a lot of things with them to India as well, infrastructure, medicine, industry, language. All these things benefit Indians living today, and many millions of Indians living today wouldn't be alive if the course of history hadn't been changed.

India's share of the world economy went from 24.4% in 1700 to 4.2% in 1950. India's GDP (PPP) per capita was stagnant during the Mughal Empire and began to decline prior to the onset of British rule.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_India_under_the_Bri...

Re:China’s Economy Slows Sharply by vkou on Saturday December 15, 2018 @12:28PM (#18689285)
Well, African Americans were enslaved, but were also taught valuable skills in cotton agriculture. Having carefully weighed the pros and cons of the two, we've concluded that slavery in the United States was a net wash, and, if we were to repeat the experiment again, slaveowners should not owe their slaves any reparations.

> infrastructure

Infrastructure that was paid for, and built by the people of India.

> medicine

Then why did life expectancy in British India go down during the colonial period? And why were millions of people dying in famines, all the while British India was a net exporter of food, to the rest of the empire?

> industry

How did countries that did not get colonised ever manage to industrialize?

> language

What, did Indians communicate with eachother through chest-thumping, and grunts, before someone had the bright idea of teaching them how to speak English? Christ on crutches... This reads a bit like satire.

Re:China’s Economy Slows Sharply by mruniverse on Friday December 14, 2018 @08:22PM (#18686411)
You can start the negotiations. If things are ridiculous, bring them back to earth.
Re:China’s Economy Slows Sharply by yesforwhat on Saturday December 15, 2018 @08:28PM (#18691274)
"Your grandfather's grandfather owes me money"

Where do you go from there, exactly?

Re:China’s Economy Slows Sharply by mruniverse on Friday December 14, 2018 @07:45PM (#18686266)
Recent history reparations wouldn't be absurd. For instance, the US should start with the American Indians and then the African slave trade.
Re:China’s Economy Slows Sharply by yostrovs on Saturday December 15, 2018 @08:49AM (#18688361)
How about Russia returning the wealth of the Ukrainian people, the Jews, Tuvans, Tatars, Lithuanians,etc? Will you do the numbers please?
Re:China’s Economy Slows Sharply by mruniverse on Friday December 14, 2018 @07:29PM (#18686186)
I think reparations are the way to go.
Re:China’s Economy Slows Sharply by HillaryBriss on Friday December 14, 2018 @08:55PM (#18686539)
> build junk make bank

that's a useful description for an awful lot of products I've purchased over the last 10 years.

in some areas, this market strategy has prevailed so completely that it's really hard for a consumer to find something that's not junk.

Re:China’s Economy Slows Sharply by mike986 on Friday December 14, 2018 @05:55PM (#18685664)
> hugely subsidised mail

I noticed this many years ago when ebay vendors from china were able to sell stuff for less that what one has to pay for shipping

What's the implication here in this context?

Re:China’s Economy Slows Sharply by Qworg on Friday December 14, 2018 @06:03PM (#18685710)
It is essentially abusing the UBU to subsidize trade from China. There was an excellent NPR story about it: https://www.npr.org/templates/transcript/transcript.php?stor...
Re:China’s Economy Slows Sharply by aerophilic on Friday December 14, 2018 @08:55PM (#18686536)
Thank you for that link, I am somewhat that it hasn’t become a political issue given the current environment. Do you know if anyone is trying to address this issue?
Re:China’s Economy Slows Sharply by gred on Friday December 14, 2018 @10:00PM (#18686778)
US announces intent to withdraw from international postal rate system:

https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/411828-us-announ...

Re:China’s Economy Slows Sharply by gregw2 on Saturday December 15, 2018 @07:40AM (#18688157)
Trump has complained about it publicly and is working to withdraw us while the Democrats spin it as Trump trying to withdraw from a 200-year old treaty - we should fix it instead (but we also tried that once and failed in 2016).

I haven't followed it closely but it is a political issue, albeit a minor one that neither side for whatever reason wants to escalate into a major talking point.

(Not a Trump supporter but maybe on this one...)

Re:China’s Economy Slows Sharply by yostrovs on Saturday December 15, 2018 @08:42AM (#18688340)
It's amuzing how people feel forced to add the "I didn't vote for Trump" when defending his actions that they like. Lest someone think they're monsters. The reality is that business-wise he's actually working hard for America's economy, addressing structural nonsense like the mail post treaty. Why can't that be simply something you support, regardless of who you voted for. Why is it implied that the other party decides whether a position is right or wrong by simply choosing the opposite of what a politician they hate chooses?
Re:China’s Economy Slows Sharply by irq11 on Saturday December 15, 2018 @11:00AM (#18688869)
“Business-wise”, he’s taking a series of random, poorly reasoned actions, some of which happen to be good. Even a stopped clock is right twice a day.

The parent is saying that Trump is bad on most things, but good on one particular thing. You’re trying to claim that he’s good on most things in a category.

Re:China’s Economy Slows Sharply by hombre_fatal on Saturday December 15, 2018 @08:49AM (#18688363)
People do this all the time for everything because it's a cheap way to supposedly increase the value of your commentary since you're otherwise allegedly unpleased by the subject. It also lets you pander to the audience with "I'm not one of those people, but...".

For example, you can see "I don't like {Javascript,PHP,Apple,Google,Facebook,$tech,$website,$thing}, but..." right here on HN, frequently.

Re:China’s Economy Slows Sharply by marmada on Sunday December 16, 2018 @01:32AM (#18692029)
Your first sentence was alright. Afterwards you injected a political opinion into your comment.

"The reality is that business-wise he's actually working hard for America's economy, addressing structural nonsense like the mail post treaty." is a statement that a majority of the people in the U.S would disagree with.

If you want to make your comment unbiased to one political party or the other, then you should remove that sentence.

Re:China’s Economy Slows Sharply by yostrovs on Sunday December 16, 2018 @08:20AM (#18692940)
Your opinion is unnecessarily spoiling this discussion.
Re:China’s Economy Slows Sharply by marmada on Saturday December 22, 2018 @12:22PM (#18741465)
That's an unwarranted statement. I'm just pointing out that you make comments under the guise of being "impartial" and supporting rational debate, when in reality you're clearly biased towards one political party.

Your comment was framed as "why can't people freely talk about which politician they support", which is a fairly neutral statement. But, afterwards, you proceeded to say that Trump has been beneficial for the U.S, which is a partisan statement (that most people in the U.S disagree with as per a variety of polls), and furthermore, you claimed that a vast majority of the people in the U.S would support Trump if it were not for their bias against Trump/conservatives, which is an incredibly subjective and partisan statement (and also plain wrong - because many people just dislike Trump's policies).

I mean, just look at this sentence:

>Why is it implied that the other party decides whether a position is right or wrong by simply choosing the opposite of what a politician they hate chooses?

You claim that people who don't support Trump's policies do so solely because they dislike Trump, instead of considering the fact that many people just dislike Trump's policies because they are just intrinsically bad.

Re:China’s Economy Slows Sharply by fareesh on Saturday December 15, 2018 @09:43AM (#18688533)
People need to do that for fear of losing their jobs or damaging their career prospects I think. Is it possible to be a Trump supporter at any of these big bay area tech firms? Many of my friends tell me they pretend to be apolitical for fear of being fired, but I don't know how exaggerated their stories are.
Re:China’s Economy Slows Sharply by Qworg on Friday December 14, 2018 @09:19PM (#18686629)
As far as I know, the US is making noise about it. I don't know if any real changes have occurred.
Re:China’s Economy Slows Sharply by yostrovs on Saturday December 15, 2018 @08:43AM (#18688347)
US filed paperwork announcing withdrawal. There's, I believe, a two year period that kicks in for renegotiation. So the process of moving as fast as it can right now.
Re:China’s Economy Slows Sharply by jacquesm on Friday December 14, 2018 @06:20PM (#18685834)
> all global powers starting to put tariffs and trade barriers up

That's a bit of a stretch.

Re:China’s Economy Slows Sharply by forapurpose on Friday December 14, 2018 @10:17PM (#18686830)
> I think the aggressive trade stance and hard line politics by China might have played a major role.

It's a nice distraction to attack China when the source of such things, in this tale, is a U.S. that has taken those stances to extremes unimagined before Trump took office. The U.S. fetishizes "hard line" and "aggressive", and has underminedh norms stretching back generations and has destroyed the U.S.'s reputation on trade and international relations. And all those consequences are intentional, a nationalist goal.

> China wanting to get away with pretty blatant violations of fair trade

I don't know that they have done more than other countries similarly situated, beyond allegations by the current U.S. administration as a justification for nationalist policies. Some things on this list of allegations are insubstantial, and we could make a similar lists for other countries. Is there any independent basis that China is worse than other developing countries or than other economic powers (they are both)?

> they’ve taken their “build junk make bank” mentality to the world and it can’t last much longer

This is just an empty stereotype unless you can back it up. Many high quality goods are made in China, including some that you may be using. There is nothing wrong with making cheaper, low-quality goods either.

One might say that U.S. financial industry is the leading proponent of "build junk make bank", with by far the most serious consequences.

> Every economy has a plateau then a fall, then a pull back up again

That's not actually how economics works at all. In the real world, perhaps outside the wealthy country you live in that has had good economic management (though the U.S. and others seem to be losing their way), countries do fall and never recover.