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Re:Daniel Kahneman on when to trust intuitive judgment by projectramo on Friday November 30, 2018 @02:30PM (#18571881)
I think what you are missing is "base rate neglect."

Let's say the overall average GPA is 3 (or 3.1 for women):

https://blog.prepscholar.com/whats-the-average-high-school-g...

Then you would expect that to swamp the information that this person was an early reader. You might let the early reader have a slight effect.

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