Re:Estimating the chances of something that hasn’t happened yet
by yen223 on Friday November 16, 2018 @06:46AM
(#18468091)
I don't understand what you mean. It doesn't actually matter what shape the distribution takes. That figure is derived entirely from what the "median" means, i.e. a random sample has 50% chance of being greater than the median, and 50% chance of being lower than it.
A bit of maths would show that the probability that all 5 samples lie entirely above or entirely below the median (i.e. the median is NOT between the greatest and the smallest value) is 1/16. That gives you a 15/16 (= 93.75%) chance that the median is contained within the bounds.
A bit of maths would show that the probability that all 5 samples lie entirely above or entirely below the median (i.e. the median is NOT between the greatest and the smallest value) is 1/16. That gives you a 15/16 (= 93.75%) chance that the median is contained within the bounds.