News for hackers. Stuff that matters.
Re:1 in 4 Statisticians Say They Were Asked to Commit Scient... by nafey on Saturday November 03, 2018 @05:53AM (#18369445)
The counterpoint is that we have already seen a steady temperature rise. So even though the specifics of the various simulations might not play out as predicted we can expect temperatures to rise.
Re:1 in 4 Statisticians Say They Were Asked to Commit Scient... by badpun on Saturday November 03, 2018 @07:30AM (#18369719)
Knowing that the temperature will rise is not enough to make policy decisions though. You need to predict the increase's magnitude, as well as practical consequences, such as climate change, how much the sea level will rise etc. And for that you need resonable and bug-free models.
Re:1 in 4 Statisticians Say They Were Asked to Commit Scient... by leeoniya on Saturday November 03, 2018 @09:09AM (#18370010)
> how much the sea level will rise etc

this will be the least of our problems. we understand very little about nature to have any reasonable prediction model. we don't know the inflection point which will cause massive collapse of major ecosystems we depend on.

all we know is that things are changing fast. faster than many non-human organisms are able to adapt.

Re:1 in 4 Statisticians Say They Were Asked to Commit Scient... by femidav on Monday November 05, 2018 @05:29PM (#18386572)
Steady? We have seen 20-years rise after a colder period. Nothing out of order.