Re:Blood money
by tomjen3 on Monday October 22, 2018 @12:32PM
(#18276057)
>this will blow over in a month or two and we'll forget all about it, like we always do
>There are decades where nothing happens and there are weeks when decades happen
The house of saud can't be on the top of the throne forever. Their monopoly on oil is diminishing (as is the importance of oil) and they don't have anything else even remotely comparative.
You could have predicted that nothing would happen to the Assyrians for 16 thousand years and you would only be wrong once, but that was the one time it did matter. You could have predicted it about the romans for a thousand years; about the soviets for 70 years; about the third reich for 15; iraq for 40. In the end they all fell.
Now, I am not saying that this won't blow over in a month, just that it is really difficult to predict the future, especially in international relations.
>There are decades where nothing happens and there are weeks when decades happen
The house of saud can't be on the top of the throne forever. Their monopoly on oil is diminishing (as is the importance of oil) and they don't have anything else even remotely comparative.
You could have predicted that nothing would happen to the Assyrians for 16 thousand years and you would only be wrong once, but that was the one time it did matter. You could have predicted it about the romans for a thousand years; about the soviets for 70 years; about the third reich for 15; iraq for 40. In the end they all fell.
Now, I am not saying that this won't blow over in a month, just that it is really difficult to predict the future, especially in international relations.