I can't get my head around this.
Why should you start with more than one?
What is so different about "breaking your application into services" and "breaking your your application into appropriate modules / classes"?
If those need to scale then you should have an interface that you can expand to a micro-service.
As another poster said "It just replaces internal calls between services of your monolith with flaky and slower network calls. "
I work in defense, where software systems tend to stay in service for a very long time... It is very, very hard to keep a monolith from turning into a big ball of mud after it's handed off to O&M. Very often a different company will be awarded the contract to maintain a system you developed (and it may change hands more than once), and they will strive to do the absolute minimum possible to keep the software functioning until it is retired (which is always at least 10 years longer than anyone planned).
The statement that service orientation "... just replaces internal calls between services of your monolith with flaky and slower network calls" is correct in that network calls are flaky and slower but incorrect in its assessment that you gain nothing from using services.
The vast majority of people aren't working at Amazon or Google's scale despite developers seeming to think that they need to work the same way.
In practice, it's not as simple as that. Serialization across service boundaries requires a bit of thought - invoking a method via a local call stack can accidentally cause a blowout on an SOA service buffer. Network timeouts suddenly become a thing. Latency might be an issue.
Of course, these aren't critical obstacles, and I agree that the architecture should look very similar, no matter whether it's a monolith or microservice. But designing one from the ground up would look a bit different.
This means it has been reasonably easy over time to fully replace them on an individual basis with more mature systems without changing the API design.
Now we're 3 years in with ~40 services and the approach has served us very well.
Definitely agree you shouldn't start with a ton of services, but I think you should definitely start with more than one. The jump from monolith to service-oriented thinking is a huge one. But the jump from a few services to more is much easier.