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Re:Ten years after the crisis, the contagion has spread to d... by dredmorbius on Monday September 17, 2018 @06:58AM (#18004750)
Several key highlights for me here: (de)politicisation of, and power dynamics of finance. Attacking trust in institutions. And this:

Financial crises foment authoritarianism. In 2015, a trio of German economists studied financial panics in 20 advanced economies dating back to 1870, and concluded that they almost always result in major gains for “far right” political parties after a lag of a few years. The most pressing question for policymakers facing a banking meltdown is not, “How do we restore our banks to profitability?” but, “How can we prevent social collapse?”

Re:Ten years after the crisis, the contagion has spread to d... by def_ConGame on Monday September 17, 2018 @11:27AM (#18006813)
Facing a banking meltdown, no one's mind is fixed on what the political winds might turn into, after the seams burst, and the clean-up effort hoses off the sidewalks and sweeps the remains into the gutter.

It's survival mode, not even women and children first. So before the dust settles, or even earlier when the economy is clearly imbalanced, unstable and listing off to one side, they expect people to think about the extremists this is going to bake over the next half decade. Never going to happen.

Business people, accountants, financial operators, their minds do not work this way.

But there's easily multiple folds or layers that all add together to produce such an effect. And part of it is age brackets. If this is a fifteen year cycle, it's partly generational, and as much about the ritual of hand-off as it is about who is actually landing in the driver's seat.

But the roughest part is the polluter's mindset of those who set up the meltdown. They're definitely there to say: not my problem; so long, suckers!

Immediately prior to that there's probably some mild discussion about incentives driving performance. Why perform at all, if not to reap rewards? And immediately prior to that, there's probably a period with a good record of following the rules, aging out and retiring uneventfully.

So, if the process seems to havea natural rhythm, it's probably because human mortality means good teams eventually kick the bucket, and upstarts fill their shoes with less integrity. The faces change, but the story doesn't.

Re:Ten years after the crisis, the contagion has spread to d... by dredmorbius on Tuesday September 18, 2018 @03:40AM (#18013305)
Banking and monetary regulators, and others, should and do look at long-term risks, though. That's part of the job.

As is noting perverse incentives and adverse selection.