Re:Introduction to Augur, an open-source, decentralized bett...
by andrepd on Monday August 20, 2018 @04:32PM
(#17803688)
It's called survivorship bias. With hundreds of millions of people making investments in the stock market, almost any strategy has many examples of people who "won" with it.
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Re:Introduction to Augur, an open-source, decentralized bett...
by hendzen on Monday August 20, 2018 @04:43PM
(#17803767)
I understand survivorship bias.
These firms make many thousands of trades per day, year after year. They have multi-year track records of exceptional returns.
If their edge was truly no better than random then they would have been bankrupted years ago. You can do some back of the envelope math to easily convince yourself of this.