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Re:The Stock Market Is Shrinking by abhiminator on Sunday August 05, 2018 @10:16AM (#17691404)
This trend, imo, is connected up with the deeper issue of ever-widening rift between the (shrinking) middle class and the calcifying wealth of the upper classes -- there isn't a lot of opportunity for folks in the middle class to invest in quality 'fast-rising upstart' stocks (like the article talks about) today relative to, say, a couple decades ago -- the barrier of entry has become unbelievably steep.

One (unsurprising) solution might be to fuse decentralized technologies in to today's stock market architecture [0]. Countries like Malta are doing that already with technologies like the Neufund/Binance platform. [1][2]

[0] https://www.investopedia.com/terms/d/decentralizedmarket.asp

[1] https://techcrunch.com/2018/07/19/malta-paves-the-way-for-a-...

[2] https://cryptoslate.com/binance-and-neufund-to-build-first-d...

Re:The Stock Market Is Shrinking by mancerayder on Sunday August 05, 2018 @12:30PM (#17692064)
This trend, imo, is connected up with the deeper issue of ever-widening rift between the (shrinking) middle class and the calcifying wealth of the upper classes -- there isn't a lot of opportunity for folks in the middle class to invest in quality 'fast-rising upstart' stocks (like the article talks about) today relative to, say, a couple decades ago -- the barrier of entry has become unbelievably steep.

How about the "accredited investor" limitation?

In order to invest in something that can generate great wealth (eg., a startup, I believe futures, a number of securities), you need the accreditation, which means either making 200K+ US two years in a row, or having 1 mil US in non-primary-household wealth.

Now, one could argue that it's intended to protect people from themselves - the guy or gal mortgaging their house because a snake oil salesman convinced them to invest in something shady. But doesn't it also block off a whole set of possibilities to a select few in the name of protecting the little guy?

Re:The Stock Market Is Shrinking by pembrook on Sunday August 05, 2018 @01:32PM (#17692411)
Laws and regulations are intended to create a greater good. Sometimes we have to stifle a few exceptional people for the good of everyone else.

Preventing small time retail investors from buying into high risk startups is a good thing. Unfortunately the general public has proven over and over again that they lack the financial sophistication to comprehend the difference between a scam and an investment opportunity. Remember even VCs lose money on a vast majority of deals.

The ICO mania over the last year provided an excellent reminder of why these regulations exist and why they are important.

Re:The Stock Market Is Shrinking by chrisco255 on Sunday August 05, 2018 @01:48PM (#17692495)
No the ICO mania just underscored a point: people want access to capital markets. They're so hungry for it that they're willing to accept tokens backed by nothing. If companies could issue security tokens without excessive regulatory burden they would do so, and we could use classical evaluation models for arriving at fair market value for said tokens.
Re:The Stock Market Is Shrinking by pembrook on Sunday August 05, 2018 @01:56PM (#17692532)
I think you just proved my point. These people were so enticed by the idea of “getting rich quick” that they bought worthless tokens that gave them ownership rights to nothing.

Since they lack the sophistication to understand they were being scammed...why do you think they would have any understanding of classical valuation models?

Re:The Stock Market Is Shrinking by chrisco255 on Sunday August 05, 2018 @05:07PM (#17693528)
Nobody understands cryptocurrency valuation, this is a brand new asset class. Whereas, stock investing is pretty mature at this point. People bought and flipped real estate in the 00's in a bull market only to see it all crash in 2008. Bubbles happen. Doesn't mean you cut out everyone who doesn't have $1 million in the bank. That's like only letting skinny people eat healthy food.
Re:The Stock Market Is Shrinking by mancerayder on Sunday August 05, 2018 @05:01PM (#17693503)
Preventing small time retail investors from buying into high risk startups is a good thing. Unfortunately the general public has proven over and over again that they lack the financial sophistication to comprehend the difference between a scam and an investment opportunity. Remember even VCs lose money on a vast majority of deals.

That's an extremely elitist, if utilitarian perspective. It doesn't make it wrong. However, consider that having a lot of wealth as a pre-req for obtaining wealth is, of course a circular problem. It's a legalized entrenchment of wealth sort of situation and the justification is, the public good.

Re:The Stock Market Is Shrinking by mrep on Sunday August 05, 2018 @05:27PM (#17693631)
> However, consider that having a lot of wealth as a pre-req for obtaining wealth is, of course a circular problem.

No it's not, there are plenty of rags to riches stories (they had to get their wealth in the first place and most wealthy people didn't just stumble upon oil).

On the point of unregulated securities, if you are so interested in investing in them, why don't you just join a VC? Once you make partner, you get your share in the returns and can make a lot more money since you will have way more capitol to invest than the spare change you have in your bank account.

Re:The Stock Market Is Shrinking by mancerayder on Sunday August 05, 2018 @10:05PM (#17694682)
You're saying that the answer to the problem of inherent advantages in the game of wealth creation -- which boils down to existing wealth generating much more much faster than far less wealth -- is to 'join a VC'? It's difficult to tell if you're being moralizing or humorous. The question we're chewing over is, does accreditation requirements help or hurt the ability for individuals to ascend economically. It obviously hurts them and the other side of the coin is that it reduces a wider fallout should things go wrong.

Which part is controversial?

Re:The Stock Market Is Shrinking by mrep on Monday August 06, 2018 @01:10AM (#17695208)
> which boils down to existing wealth generating much more much faster than far less wealth

No, generating wealth from wealth is proportional to your wealth. A middle class persons wealth in the sp 500 generates the same percentage returns as that of a billionaires does.

> join a VC

If you really think you can beat the market, then you should join the VCs and you can make a bunch of money IF YOU ACTUALLY CAN ACTUALLY BEAT THE MARKET. However, I HIGHLY doubt you actually can because most people do not and yet there are tons of people like you that think they can especially the most uneducated which is why they are the most susceptible to scams and why we have laws to try and product them because having an economy based on scams has lots of negative externalities.

> does accreditation requirements help or hurt the ability for individuals to ascend economically. It obviously hurts them

Explain?

Re:The Stock Market Is Shrinking by mancerayder on Monday August 06, 2018 @10:42AM (#17697977)
I'm ignoring you after the 'people like me' comment as it's irrelevant to the discussion (and also actually false). You also completely ignored the point, but inserted your own arbitrary standard that claims to prove billionaires and average-Joe's create wealth equally, proportionally, because of 'the s&p 500'. That level of depth speaks for itself.
Re:The Stock Market Is Shrinking by catcow on Sunday August 05, 2018 @04:57PM (#17693486)
I find your comment offensive.

This is a condescending attitude that keeps people outside the financial class on the fringe and destroys their ability to take control of their lives. If you treat people like children they will forever remain children.

As a struggling low-income millennial, FATCA and accredited investor requirements have easily set me back a decade.

Re:The Stock Market Is Shrinking by mrep on Sunday August 05, 2018 @05:42PM (#17693707)
> As a struggling low-income millennial, FATCA and accredited investor requirements have easily set me back a decade.

How? Are you wanting to be one of the scammers because those are practically the only people that would get rich if we got rid of these laws? Almost everyone would make less returns than an index fund and a lot would even lose more money to the scams than they would make from the good investments. There would be a few outliers who just got plain lucky but if you want to be one those people, just play the lotto or go to vegas where your odds would be better.

Re:The Stock Market Is Shrinking by catcow on Monday August 06, 2018 @03:06PM (#17700647)
I'm not trying to get rich. I'm just trying to survive. Making money in finance is not about luck. It takes hard, consistent, painstaking work.

I have a serious disability that is not recognized as such by the government. No one will hire me. I am completely isolated from civil society. The only way I can make money and pay for my medical expenses is to start my own businesses. I can only start businesses in unregulated markets because the barrier to entry is impossibly high elsewhere.

Without Uber/Lyft or cryptocurrency I would probably be dead. Like seriously not alive. Gone. Not existing anymore as a human. So when people whine about how they've been scammed because they made ignorant decisions and got involved with things that they shouldn't have, I do not feel sorry for them. They got greedy, gambled, and lost. That's on them. I am not gambling. I am making legitimate transactions with people who need my services. Just because some people scam does not mean that I am.

What has happened to me just happened through no choice of my own, and it feels like regulators are doing everything they can to keep me down, all in the name of protecting people who refuse to put in the work to make wise decisions. People who have more than me. People who are healthier than me.

Re:The Stock Market Is Shrinking by prostoalex on Sunday August 05, 2018 @01:26PM (#17692371)
Not really. Private market valuations depend on the scarcity of funding sources.

If everybody suddenly has a chance to invest in a round, investors will compete on price, bidding up those early-stage valuations and compressing future returns.

Re:The Stock Market Is Shrinking by chrisco255 on Sunday August 05, 2018 @01:51PM (#17692507)
Some of this can be attributed to the relatively few opportunities raising money last year. Some of it is due to uncapped raises, which should not be done, in my opinion.
Re:The Stock Market Is Shrinking by 2trill2spill on Sunday August 05, 2018 @10:21AM (#17691443)
> -- there isn't a lot of opportunity for folks in the middle class to invest in quality stocks today relative to, say, a couple decades ago -- the barrier of entry has become unbelievably steep.

Just what barrier to investing in the stock market is there, besides for having money to invest? It's easy to setup an IRA or 401K or just setup your own brokerage account.

Re:The Stock Market Is Shrinking by barrkel on Sunday August 05, 2018 @10:29AM (#17691488)
The barrier is that the valuable growth stocks aren't actually stocks, they're privately held, due to fewer IPOs and more private capital available without recourse to public markets.
Re:The Stock Market Is Shrinking by 2trill2spill on Sunday August 05, 2018 @10:35AM (#17691516)
You don't need Growth stock to retire, index funds and income/dividend stocks are all that's needed to retire comfortably. Individual investors should not be trying to pick individual growth stocks because it's highly risky.
Re:The Stock Market Is Shrinking by jbapple on Sunday August 05, 2018 @11:12AM (#17691697)
The indexes themselves might underperform an index+VC strategy though if they don't have access to high-growth companies that are staying private.

Even if investors shouldn't pick stocks, it might be wise for them to invest in an index of companies that they are now prevented from investing in.

Re:The Stock Market Is Shrinking by mrep on Sunday August 05, 2018 @05:54PM (#17693756)
Supply and demand

Returns from private companies go up -> more VCs enter the market with higher returns increasing competition -> valuations get higher (meaning founders/employees get to keep more stock while investors get less) -> returns deflate and we are back at a balance.

There is a reason VCs have been complaining about sky high valuations and it's because most VC's don't even beat the sp 500.

Re:The Stock Market Is Shrinking by prostoalex on Sunday August 05, 2018 @11:33AM (#17691811)
> You don't need Growth stock to retire

The returns in those index funds are driven primarily by growth stocks.

Re:The Stock Market Is Shrinking by mcguire on Sunday August 05, 2018 @11:36AM (#17691826)
The point of the article seems to be that the pool of stocks available to funds, etc., is shrinking.[1] You have a good point, but it isn't addressing this specific issue.

[1] I assume due to the prevalence of venture capital; that absorbs the returns of early startups.

Re:The Stock Market Is Shrinking by forapurpose on Sunday August 05, 2018 @11:49AM (#17691882)
If only a fraction of investments are available to the public, it creates economic inefficiencies: Resources are not flowing to the best investments.

Also, it creates a two-tiered system with self-perpetuating A and B economic classes, rather than a merit-based free market that allows social and economic mobility and opportunity. Generally, that is seen as antithetical to democracy and to American values in particular (not to exclude other countries).

Re:The Stock Market Is Shrinking by uiri on Sunday August 05, 2018 @11:06AM (#17691668)
You're assuming nothing like the Nikkei index from 1989 - present will ever happen to a US stock index. I agree with you but stock market growth is not a law of nature. Other tactics (e.g. dollar cost averaging) are also needed to ensure a secure retirement.
Re:The Stock Market Is Shrinking by liveoneggs on Sunday August 05, 2018 @01:56PM (#17692533)
index funds are made out of stocks. If there are fewer companies offering stocks for the funds to use, they are weaker.
Re:The Stock Market Is Shrinking by gameswithgo on Sunday August 05, 2018 @10:41AM (#17691546)
what income ranges are you imagining is the middle class?
Re:The Stock Market Is Shrinking by jbapple on Sunday August 05, 2018 @11:09AM (#17691681)
Over a 40-year career, assuming 4% real capital growth after inflation and a 3% safe withdrawal rate in retirement, a worker has to invest 25% of their gross income every year to have the same net income in retirement (assuming identical taxation rates).

The median annual household income in the US is around $60k.

Re:The Stock Market Is Shrinking by gameswithgo on Monday August 06, 2018 @02:51PM (#17700441)
That doesn't leave much left to eat and cover up from the rain with.
Re:The Stock Market Is Shrinking by eanzenberg on Sunday August 05, 2018 @04:41PM (#17693417)
Thanks mom.
Re:The Stock Market Is Shrinking by chrisco255 on Sunday August 05, 2018 @10:26AM (#17691477)
It's not investing in the currently public companies that's the issue...it's all the private companies that never go public...or go public so much later than they would have in the past that all the value has already been extracted by VCs.
Re:The Stock Market Is Shrinking by trocadero on Sunday August 05, 2018 @11:03AM (#17691653)
I think what has changed is the shocking amount of money that recent start ups are burning. Snap burns more in a year (~$1 billion) than Facebook did in it's entire life. Uber has burned ~$10 billion during its existence. It's hard for me to picture a company raising that amount of money on the stock market.
Re:The Stock Market Is Shrinking by sgerenser on Sunday August 05, 2018 @07:33PM (#17694153)
Tesla has lost several billion dollars since its IPO in 2010, and that hasn't seemed to have slowed the stock down at all.
Re:The Stock Market Is Shrinking by trocadero on Monday August 06, 2018 @09:51AM (#17697485)
Tesla only raised $270 million in their IPO. They've subsequently raised more, but their initial a pretty far cry from the billions Snap/Uber needed.
Re:The Stock Market Is Shrinking by zaius on Sunday August 05, 2018 @02:29PM (#17692705)
Tesla has raised billions of capital from the public markets
Re:The Stock Market Is Shrinking by kgwgk on Sunday August 05, 2018 @03:20PM (#17692965)
It's not that hard to picture Snap raising billions in the stock market: the company got $2.7bn at the $3.6bn IPO last year. Twitter raised $1.8bn in 2013. Their problem is not lack of financing.
Re:The Stock Market Is Shrinking by barrkel on Sunday August 05, 2018 @10:32AM (#17691500)
It's not just VCs (who will be looking for an IPO eventually); it's also growth equity, which has a more moderate payout expectation, more easily achievable with acquisition, or even straight up sale to private equity.

(Yes, growth equity is a category of private equity, but it's a developing middle ground between VCs and more traditional PE which is usually focused on cost cutting and loading up on debt to juice returns from mature companies.)

Re:The Stock Market Is Shrinking by charlesdm on Sunday August 05, 2018 @10:25AM (#17691470)
He means there are fewer stocks at an early stage in their lifecycle where you can book a 1000x return by investing well.
Re:The Stock Market Is Shrinking by 2trill2spill on Sunday August 05, 2018 @10:36AM (#17691521)
Don't need 1000X return to retire. Index funds and income stocks are all that's needed.

Edit: Got to like the down voters who think individual investors should be out picking stocks. Even though experts and basic investing advice tells people they should not be picking individual stocks.

Re:The Stock Market Is Shrinking by bitreality on Sunday August 05, 2018 @11:21AM (#17691742)
Who says they necessarily need to be picking stocks? Retail investors could still utilize the same vehicles they're using on large blue chip stocks if they had access to newer, higher growth-potential companies.

There are ETF's for everything today. If more small companies were available on public equities markets, then they would be included in a variety of different ETF's. The problem is that today you need to be an "accredited investor" to buy any of the high-growth potential private companies' equity, and even then, the best companies are usually raising capital from a small number of people and organizations.

This means the majority of the high growth in equities markets is captured by high-wealth individuals, and private organizations owned and operated by high-wealth individuals. Without strong connections, it's difficult to gain access to any solid high-growth private companies.

Re:The Stock Market Is Shrinking by physguy1123 on Sunday August 05, 2018 @10:47AM (#17691578)
Individual investors don't need to pick single stocks to benefit from growth. These companies also don't have a presence in various etfs and mutual funds that people can invest in, and it's not unreasonable to think that a wider selection of say small-cap growth companies might make for a better selection of small-cap stocks to put in an index.
Re:The Stock Market Is Shrinking by nostrademons on Sunday August 05, 2018 @12:34PM (#17692082)
There's another societal trend at play here, and that's the increasing pace of technological change and market disruption. Increasingly, "income stocks" are becoming "death stocks" - rather than companies with stable income streams for the foreseeable future, they are companies whose products and business models have become obsolete and who are just awaiting a competitor to replace them.

The days where the economy was relatively stable and large companies had wide moats against competition are largely over. The last 15 years has seen a large number of huge household names go bankrupt entirely, from Kmart to Sears to Toys'r'us to Chrysler to GM to MCI/Worldcom to Bear Stearns to Lehman Brothers to Wachovia to virtually every airline. Many more are now at risk, from Visa & Mastercard to Walmart to every hotel chain.

All of these huge returns for private tech companies are coming at the expense of their competitors, which are largely the big public companies that many people have their retirement money invested in.

Re:The Stock Market Is Shrinking by HashThis on Sunday August 05, 2018 @10:51AM (#17691594)
Historically, the stock market would return 10% YoY (after averaging out). The problem is that that number has dropped. Decades ago, companies IPOed with $50m to $100m in revenue and citizens could enjoy the growth from there (like MSFT). But now, they tend to have to IPO with $1b+ in revenue (like Facebook). Many unhealthy economic factors drive down the public stock growth rate.

That is the core problem.

10% YoY for index funds = healthy. Far lower for rigged economy reasons = a large scale societal problem.

Re:The Stock Market Is Shrinking by kgwgk on Sunday August 05, 2018 @12:12PM (#17691984)
> Historically, the stock market would return 10% YoY (after averaging out). The problem is that that number has dropped.

What do you mean? The current market has many problems but recent returns being low is not one of them (of course returns going forward are something else entirely).

S&P 500 total returns (annualized) are:

17% over the last one and two years

13% over the last three and five years

11% over the last ten years

9% over the last eleven years (roughly corresponding to the peak of the previous bull market)

Re:The Stock Market Is Shrinking by nostrademons on Sunday August 05, 2018 @12:43PM (#17692127)
Roughly 28% of the S&P500's 2017 advance was due to FAANG, and 40% due to tech in general:

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/a-quarter-of-sp-500s-2017-...

Take them out and you're much closer to the historical 10% return, and that's in a bull market.

Re:The Stock Market Is Shrinking by kgwgk on Sunday August 05, 2018 @12:49PM (#17692150)
Sure, that's one of the problems with the current market.

But if understand correctly, HashThis' claim is that the market is not even returning the historical 10% average.

Re:The Stock Market Is Shrinking by VLM on Sunday August 05, 2018 @01:41PM (#17692454)
The problem with SP500 is survivorship bias, obviously the "top 500" companies is continually redefined every year and is, after all, the top companies, so you'd expect a much better return from a subset of the best companies rather than the market in general.

Something like Wilshire Index returns 7% CAGR over the last 20 years. Interestingly, Russell and Dow are about the same 7%.

As the economy becomes ever more permanently unequal, the concept of one number representing inflation becomes less meaningful because there is no longer one standard of living or one cultural expectation. Something like M2 is 14000 now and 4000 in 98 so thats 6.4% annually. After tax the Wilshire would only return maybe 3% or so, minus 6.4% inflation, whoops... Or you could use the famous Big Mac price index which is about 2.8% over the same time period, leading to a very slight profit of a fraction of a percent. Are you part of the separate subset of society that lives off M2 or off big macs or ...?

So investing in "the market" depending on hand waving provides a modest negative to approximately zero return. If you can pick the subset of winners in advance, the SP500 is quite profitable, although if you can pick winners in advance there's probably more profitable things to predict.

Also remember the market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent over all values of "irrational" or "solvent" or "longer". I have a medical insurance bill to pay next month, not over ten twenty or hundred year average. Pulling out a constant sales price from the market to live draws down a balance faster than pulling out a constant small percentage of total value over a long time period.

Then of course there's long term demographic issues. The USA is supposed to be richer in the future because... why exactly? You might get a bigger slice of the pie, but theres no particular reason to expect the pie overall to expand.

Re:The Stock Market Is Shrinking by kgwgk on Sunday August 05, 2018 @01:46PM (#17692481)
This may be a suprise for you but you can invest in an S&P 500 tracker and get the S&P 500 returns. You don’t need to pick the winners in advance.

Another thing you may find surprising: the long-term historical average return for small cap indices is higher than for large cap indices.

Re:The Stock Market Is Shrinking by stale2002 on Sunday August 05, 2018 @03:04PM (#17692886)
I don't think you understand how the SP500 works.

When you invest in the SP500 and companies drop out of it, your investment in those companies ALSO drops out.

And the publicly stated "return" of the SP500 takes this into account.

Re:The Stock Market Is Shrinking by mrep on Sunday August 05, 2018 @11:26AM (#17691775)
A better explanation is that stock market growth has slowed because real GDP growth has slowed [0], which it should match [1]. Why has it slowed? Well, economists have hotly debated this so you'll have to read into the dozens of theories but not once have I heard it is related startup IPO time.

[0]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_the_United_States#G...

[1]: https://www.wise-owl.com/investment-education/is-there-a-cor...

Re:The Stock Market Is Shrinking by st26 on Sunday August 05, 2018 @11:09AM (#17691679)
I think the point is if early-stage growth was still part of the stock market, index funds & the like would all perform better for it. The argument is by removing early-stage growth from the market & conducting it privately, the entire open market as a whole is less lucrative.

Even more simply, just imagine how the market might look different if you could invest in a VC. You don't pick startups, you pick a VC- kind of like picking a fund today.

Re:The Stock Market Is Shrinking by batbomb on Sunday August 05, 2018 @11:22AM (#17691755)
I think the point is it's not possible to even build a high growth index fund anymore - at least not one based on US companies. Existing funds skew towards emerging markets, and would never include a Facebook 2008-2012 or a Dropbox 2012-2015, for example.
Re:The Stock Market Is Shrinking by eanzenberg on Sunday August 05, 2018 @04:46PM (#17693436)
Experts suggest this so they can remain "experts".
Re:The Stock Market Is Shrinking by 2trill2spill on Sunday August 05, 2018 @05:15PM (#17693567)
Actually no, it's very well known in investing that index funds tend to outperform actively managed funds over the long term[1].

[1]: https://www.thebalance.com/index-funds-vs-actively-managed-f...

Re:The Stock Market Is Shrinking by ianai on Sunday August 05, 2018 @10:40AM (#17691545)
Agreed. Clearly what’s been done for the last 40-50 years hasn’t led to more companies spreading more wealth. It’s led to fewer companies spreading the wealth more narrowly.

The answer is not to do the same thing that’s been done for the last several decades. That’s insanity. The solution is to empower the individuals.

Re:The Stock Market Is Shrinking by pas on Sunday August 05, 2018 @10:54AM (#17691614)
That requires education. What's investing, how to invest, how to look for investment opportunities, fundamental analysis, risk management, counterparty risk ("invest in housing, because it'll always go up!"), etc.

People don't want that, they want to get rich quick. See the recent (bit)coin hype train(s).

And to top that off most of the people are absolutely without disposable money. They don't even have rainy day savings, and talking about investment portfolios is laughable. Again, millions are without basic health care and we want to make empower the individual.

Yeah, let's do that, but before turning everybody into an junior investment banker on coke let's educate folks. (That'd help with having a middle class again too.)

Re:The Stock Market Is Shrinking by ianai on Sunday August 05, 2018 @11:01AM (#17691641)
That’s the most shocking part of the other commenters for me. Just having the ability to own stock moves someone well beyond the median - When I say “empower individuals” I mean everyone from the homeless to the families with kids and a mortgage. We need an approach that can’t be robbed or is directly given to the few.
Re:The Stock Market Is Shrinking by jandrewrogers on Sunday August 05, 2018 @01:06PM (#17692252)
The median US household has $12k/year in disposable income. That is income after all other taxes and living expenses -- housing, transportation, healthcare, food, clothing, etc -- are paid for. In other words, beer (or investment) money. You can build a real investment portfolio from that basis.

The assertion that Americans do not, on average, have money to invest is a false one.

Re:The Stock Market Is Shrinking by pas on Sunday August 05, 2018 @02:57PM (#17692852)
I'm aware of stats, but maybe 12K is barely enough to dispose of for goals - such as going out, or buying presents to others, etc. (Saving rate is around 5%, which is less than 1K/year, that's nowhere near enough for anything. Though allegedly it's not calculated "properly".)
Re:The Stock Market Is Shrinking by ianai on Sunday August 05, 2018 @03:41PM (#17693076)
At the median they’re probably not paying for healthcare. Also national well being distribution is a place statistics fail. The median is just slightly more useful than talking about actual income levels and worker benefits. Either society finds a way to house, bathe, feed, and tend the basic healthcare needs of everyone or we really are not better than we were in the 1860s.
Re:The Stock Market Is Shrinking by mpax on Sunday August 05, 2018 @02:40PM (#17692759)
I’m not sure empowering individuals is the solution when they’re operating inside a major attractor space.
Re:The Stock Market Is Shrinking by abhiminator on Sunday August 05, 2018 @10:25AM (#17691469)
> besides for having money to invest

That is the exact barrier of entry I'm referring to. Ballooning stock prices of well-performing stocks and shrinkage of the number of listed companies in a stock market narrow the opportunities for middle-class investors.

Re:The Stock Market Is Shrinking by paulpauper on Sunday August 05, 2018 @10:26AM (#17691472)
Fewer but higher-quality companies helps retail investors.
Re:The Stock Market Is Shrinking by adventured on Sunday August 05, 2018 @02:43PM (#17692770)
The middle class + upper classes have expanded, not shrank. [1][2]

That means there should be more potential buyers, not fewer.

The premise of a shrinking middle class isn't strictly a myth, however it ignores the fact that what is actually happening is that the middle class is moving up faster than the bottom economic tier is expanding. That process is contracting the middle class - it's not contracting due to eg increased poverty, as poverty in the US has gone down over time. The sole reason there has been any net expansion in the bottom economic tier, is due to extreme low skill / low wage labor importation since the late 1970s.

[1] https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/is-the-middle-class-...

[2] https://i.imgur.com/TwQhMaT.png

Re:The Stock Market Is Shrinking by briandear on Sunday August 05, 2018 @02:22PM (#17692670)
Are there more poor people in America percentage wise than there was 80 years ago? Are standards of living higher today than they were 40 years ago? The classist argument that the middle class is disappearing fails to address where those middle class people actually went. One less person in the middle class does not represent one person “losing” but just as much of a likelihood as that person winning.

Here is an alternate viewpoint on the “shrinking” middle class: http://www.aei.org/publication/yes-the-us-middle-class-is-sh...

Re:The Stock Market Is Shrinking by sonnyblarney on Sunday August 05, 2018 @12:14PM (#17691993)
I don't think for a moment that the centralization or decentralization of exchanges themselves has anything to do with the problem.

I don't see any reason why the current exchanges pose in any way some kind of problem to the creation of smaller, more healthy, competitive and robust firms.

Yes, there are regulations, and each exchange has a bunch of rules, but that's generally for the benefit of everyone involved. Any kind of decentralized system would have to have rules.

The exchanges do make money, but it's trivial relative to the underlying financial transactions.

I suggest 'the problem' has more to do with globalization and the consolidation of mature industries, and the availability of large, private funds. Both activities have advantage and disadvantages.

Re:The Stock Market Is Shrinking by chiefalchemist on Sunday August 05, 2018 @11:44AM (#17691862)
> "This trend, imo, is connected up with the deeper issue of ever-widening rift between the (shrinking) middle class and the calcifying wealth of the upper classes -- there isn't a lot of opportunity for folks in the middle class to invest in quality 'fast-rising upstart' stocks (like the article talks about) today"

Agreed. Kinda. The question is: which is causing which? Or is there something else for which these are symptoms?

Re:The Stock Market Is Shrinking by excalibur on Sunday August 05, 2018 @11:50AM (#17691886)
A better solution would be to require companies to prioritize employee compensation above shareholder profits. There has been a trend since the '80s for executives and investors to team up and line one another's pockets at the expense of the rank-and-file workers, and it's the biggest and most direct contributing factor to the decline of the middle class.