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A comment on The Time Everyone “Corrected” the World’s Smartest Woman (2015). Parent comment

Re:The Time Everyone “Corrected” the World’s Smartest Woman ... by grigri9 on Saturday August 04, 2018 @12:20PM (#17687416)
No, In that

P(3/12) = 25%

The remaining doors have 75% probability and choosing 1/5 only gives you 15% chance of winning.

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Re:The Time Everyone “Corrected” the World’s Smartest Woman ... by ColinWright on Saturday August 04, 2018 @12:50PM (#17687532)
Correct.

Explaining that to muggles, though, is non-trivial.

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