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Re:Dying Alone in Japan: The Industry Devoted to What’s Left... by spaceflunky on Sunday July 29, 2018 @03:39PM (#17639873)
I see this happening in the US now.

For example with homes, when grandparents died in the 80s/90s a home was sold at a modest value and split among 3-5 heirs. Which amounted to very little per family after taxes.

Nowadays you have millennials set to inherit homes that are overvalued in the $1MM+ range and split among 1-2 heirs. Which can be a life changing sum of money. I personally know of people who feel little pressure in their lives because they know they stand to inherit a $1.5MM home plus whatever else their parents have at some point in their life.

Re:Dying Alone in Japan: The Industry Devoted to What’s Left... by lotsofpulp on Sunday July 29, 2018 @04:58PM (#17640240)
I doubt there is a significant portion of Americans with parents who have $1M+ mortgage-free houses. Maybe a few in CA and the other hotspots in the west and around DC, but most people are not set to make any life changing amounts of money from their parents dying.
Re:Dying Alone in Japan: The Industry Devoted to What’s Left... by adventured on Sunday July 29, 2018 @08:05PM (#17641154)
You might be surprised at the scale of it. Tens of millions of Americans are going to get an immense wealth transfer in the coming decades.

There are currently around 11 to 13 million millionaire households (excluding primary residence value) in the US.

Credit Suisse claimed in 2015 that there were 15.7 million individual millionaires in the US, so perhaps that figure is approaching 18 to 20 million today. Per that report, the US had about ~47% of all the world's millionaires (since that was 2015, China has no doubt climbed further). In that report, they listed that nearly half of all people on earth worth more than $50m were in the US (around ~60,000 in the US, plausibly quite higher now).

There are 1.35 million households worth between $5m and $25m. And 172,000 households worth over $25m.

The stock market move in 2017 alone added 700,000 new millionaires for example.

The US has about five to six million high net worth individuals, that control at least $20 trillion in wealth.

Re:Dying Alone in Japan: The Industry Devoted to What’s Left... by onion2k on Monday July 30, 2018 @03:30AM (#17642671)
Tens of millions of Americans are going to get an immense wealth transfer in the coming decades.

You're right, but not in the way you think. It won't be the children of those old people who get the money; it'll be the people who provide services for the elderly. People are living much longer and they often don't have pension provision that scales well, so as they get older they have to rely on selling assets to pay for things like healthcare.

Re:Dying Alone in Japan: The Industry Devoted to What’s Left... by shados on Sunday July 29, 2018 @05:38PM (#17640413)
It doesn't have to be a significant portion...just a visible one. Think of all the people who work in tech or other high paying professions and own places in NYC, Boston, SF, etc. A lot of them don't have kids, or have at most 1, maybe 2. These are homes that the kids may want to keep rather than sell, locking the "wealth" within a family.
Re:Dying Alone in Japan: The Industry Devoted to What’s Left... by nshelly on Monday July 30, 2018 @01:07AM (#17642201)
And in California, they (and their children) can also inherit the low tax basis from when their parents bought the property. Thank you Property 13.
Re:Dying Alone in Japan: The Industry Devoted to What’s Left... by icantdrive55 on Monday July 30, 2018 @06:32AM (#17643436)
Again with the Prop 13?

I'm about to give up, and let history repeat itself.

Yes--if an child inherits a house, they can inherit the property tax their parents paid, if they fill out the paperwork within 120 days-- I believe. Multiple children usually inherit the family home, with the eventual angry sale. The home goes back on the market, and full property taxes are paid.

Most kids aren't inheriting mansions. The're usually track houses in need of repairs. Most of the kids had blue collar parents, and never thought their bungalow would be worth a million dollars.

It's really getting old. If the younger set had any idea how politicians wasted that Prop 13 money; we wouldn't be blaming our current problems on Prop 13.

Blame your boss who who just has to live in the best neighborhood, with the best climate.

I guarantee if Prop 13 was repealed REITS, rich foreigners, and Zuckerburg types would swoop in and buy up most of the stock, and rent it back to employees.

Person who didn't see their dad crying at the dinner table, "But at least we would have more tax money?". Look at how your county spends your property taxes now; Not so good?

Re:Dying Alone in Japan: The Industry Devoted to What’s Left... by Swizec on Sunday July 29, 2018 @05:37PM (#17640403)
I bet you that if you asked those people they’d tell you inheriting $100k would be a life changing event.

Life changiness scales with your environment.

Re:Dying Alone in Japan: The Industry Devoted to What’s Left... by jpindar on Sunday July 29, 2018 @06:01PM (#17640527)
Here in the HN bubble, $100K is pocket change.
Re:Dying Alone in Japan: The Industry Devoted to What’s Left... by mrhappyunhappy on Monday July 30, 2018 @11:19AM (#17645006)
Can I be in the bubble please :)
Re:Dying Alone in Japan: The Industry Devoted to What’s Left... by mirimir on Sunday July 29, 2018 @03:48PM (#17639922)
> I personally know of people who feel little pressure in their lives because they know they stand to inherit a $1.5MM home plus whatever else their parents have at some point in their life.

Unless said parent(s) get clever with reverse mortgaging, and spend all the cash on travel or whatever ;)

Re:Dying Alone in Japan: The Industry Devoted to What’s Left... by sandworm101 on Sunday July 29, 2018 @05:17PM (#17640319)
Or they give it to charity to spite thier kids. There is no reason to assume that elderly people plan on giving anything to thier children. The days of that societal norm are long over.
Re:Dying Alone in Japan: The Industry Devoted to What’s Left... by ryandrake on Sunday July 29, 2018 @04:02PM (#17639986)
Grossly generalizing a whole generation, but chances are, those Baby Boomer parents were in debt up past their eyeballs, and that $1.5MM home is going to get sold along with all their other assets in order to square everything up. This generation may be having fewer kids, but it's going to be leaving fewer net assets behind.
Re:Dying Alone in Japan: The Industry Devoted to What’s Left... by mirimir on Sunday July 29, 2018 @04:19PM (#17640057)
I gotta say that one of my goals in life is to maximize my debt at death :) It's a delicate thing, of course, because dying with no cash or credit would suck. But hey.
Re:Dying Alone in Japan: The Industry Devoted to What’s Left... by ars on Sunday July 29, 2018 @04:30PM (#17640102)
Be very careful. Elderly without children to check in on them are seen as ATM's.

Extract as much money as possible and don't care about the person. Drug them so they don't complain, and schedule as many medical procedures as possible. Use providers that give you kickbacks, and charge very high rates for things like haircuts, or even drug delivery (why buy in advance, when you can deliver, and charge for it, that same day).

All this changes when they have children who check in on them, ideally every day.

> because dying with no cash or credit would suck.

That all depends on if you retained your mental faculties until the end.

If yes, you are going to want lots of cash! You will need to pay someone to do so many things you used to do yourself.

If no, then any remaining cash will rapidly be taken from you anyway, so there's no point in holding on to it.

My advice? Have children and love them. You will be much happier as an elderly person if you do that.

Re:Dying Alone in Japan: The Industry Devoted to What’s Left... by jdietrich on Sunday July 29, 2018 @05:43PM (#17640435)
*In America.

Here in the UK, medical care is free at the point of use. Prescription medicines are free to to anyone over 60, including delivery if needed. Residential care homes are not automatically free, but your costs will be fully paid by the local authority if you lack the income and capital to pay the fees yourself. All care homes are regulated by the Care Quality Commission.

If you lose the capacity to make your own decisions and have not granted someone lasting power of attorney, the Court of Protection may appoint a deputy to supervise your affairs. If you have no suitable friend or relative to act in this role, a panel deputy will be chosen; these deputies must be approved by the Office of the Public Guardian. All deputies must file an annual report with the OPG, listing and justifying every financial decision they make. If these decisions are not in the best interests of the individual, the deputy can be removed or criminally prosecuted.

I'm not saying that elder abuse is non-existent in the UK, but a lot of the issues you mention are failures of government rather than facts of life.

Re:Dying Alone in Japan: The Industry Devoted to What’s Left... by ars on Sunday July 29, 2018 @06:55PM (#17640815)
Every single thing you wrote is identical in the US.

There is free healthcare, power of attorney, everything you described is the same in the US other than the terminology.

People out of the US have a very skewed view of healthcare in the US.

All children, all elderly, and poor people with serious illness are all covered fully.

Re:Dying Alone in Japan: The Industry Devoted to What’s Left... by jdietrich on Sunday July 29, 2018 @08:15PM (#17641195)
You seem to be arguing that a) old age in the US is a horrifying nightmare of financial exploitation and b) everything about the US system is fine and dandy. Which is it? Is financial exploitation of the elderly by legal guardians a relatively rare occurrence that public bodies are doing an effective job of preventing, or are there grievous systemic failings in the US health, social care and legal systems?
Re:Dying Alone in Japan: The Industry Devoted to What’s Left... by mirimir on Sunday July 29, 2018 @08:38PM (#17641279)
The horrible part is getting manipulated by the medical industry into becoming destitute. And then being kept alive while they bleed Medicare.
Re:Dying Alone in Japan: The Industry Devoted to What’s Left... by ars on Sunday July 29, 2018 @08:38PM (#17641280)
I think you have an inaccurately rosy view of the situation in the UK.

Have you taken care of an elderly person there?

Every single thing you mentioned in your post happens in the US. All of it, all the coverage, the protection, the oversight. It's not any different.

> Is financial exploitation of the elderly

Maybe you misunderstood. They aren't directly exploiting the elderly - they are exploiting the government, who is the one paying for their care.

> or are there grievous systemic failings in the US health, social care and legal systems?

Please google: "over drugging elderly UK"

I read the articles that came up, it's pretty much identical here and there.

Re:Dying Alone in Japan: The Industry Devoted to What’s Left... by jdietrich on Sunday July 29, 2018 @09:48PM (#17641520)
>Have you taken care of an elderly person there?

Yes. I have also worked as a welfare advisor, with direct involvement in cases involving issues of mental capacity, legal guardianship and residential care.

>It's not any different.

Clearly it is very different. There's no financial incentive here for over-treating elderly patients - NHS trusts are not paid per treatment. If a doctor or hospital chooses to administer unnecessary treatment, they have less money in their budget and their performance targets are negatively impacted. A service provider cannot arbitrarily rack up fees, because that's not how we fund health or social care.

In many states in the US, a completely unvetted person can apply for guardianship of someone they have never met. In many states, there is effectively no oversight of legal guardianship due to a lack of funding. In many states, guardianship is administered by local courts with no specific expertise.

https://www.gao.gov/products/GAO-10-1046

>Please google: "over drugging elderly UK"

I did. On the first page of results I found some tabloid news articles, a Scientology front group and an NHS summary of the research paper they were all citing. The paper concluded that, while neuroleptic drugs are prescribed more frequently in care homes than in community prescribing, it is not clear whether that is due to inappropriate prescribing or selection bias.

I am not arguing that the UK is a utopia, but I cannot reconcile "Elderly without children to check in on them are seen as ATM's" and "Extract as much money as possible and don't care about the person" with my knowledge and experience of elderly care in the UK. Parts of our system are chronically under-funded, we have unreasonably long waiting times for many services, there's a shortage of care workers, but I've seen nothing to suggest that elderly people are being used as cash cows.

Re:Dying Alone in Japan: The Industry Devoted to What’s Left... by cm2012 on Sunday July 29, 2018 @08:04PM (#17641149)
you have to be very, very poor for that to apply. there's a huge number of people in the middle.
Re:Dying Alone in Japan: The Industry Devoted to What’s Left... by adventured on Sunday July 29, 2018 @08:18PM (#17641202)
You have a point, to an extent. Coverage and welfare state benefit programs have continued to move considerably higher however. The US is now at the OECD middle on its welfare state spending as a percentage of GDP.

Half of Americans receive coverage via the government in some form. 70 million Americans are on Medicaid & CHIP (~22% of the population). Then you have Medicare, VA, SS disability, numerous state & smaller federal programs, and then partial subsidies via the ACA.

If you make minimum wage in the US, you're going to qualify for free healthcare in nearly all states via Medicaid. Via the ACA, the cost with subsidization when you're a little bit higher economically still comes out to tens of dollars per month (which is not a terrible price given how expensive healthcare is in the US, although the coverage is still not what it should be).

The bottom 25% is mostly able to get free or cheap healthcare. The next 25% bracket gets frequently royally screwed, they're stuck in a bad spot and often bounce in and out of having coverage. The top ~50% are covered by their employers commonly.

Re:Dying Alone in Japan: The Industry Devoted to What’s Left... by mirimir on Sunday July 29, 2018 @08:40PM (#17641290)
Well, the topic here is old people. And managed care benefits under Medicare don't kick in until you're destitute.
Re:Dying Alone in Japan: The Industry Devoted to What’s Left... by mirimir on Sunday July 29, 2018 @04:45PM (#17640185)
Yes, those are all valid concerns.

But I'm not the trusting sort. I have guns, and I know how to use them. And I'm planning to kill myself before I lose it completely. I have a cache of morphine and phenobarbitol. So maybe I'll die alone, but with luck, not exploited.

Re:Dying Alone in Japan: The Industry Devoted to What’s Left... by ars on Sunday July 29, 2018 @05:21PM (#17640337)
> And I'm planning to kill myself before I lose it completely.

This is a common plan, but it doesn't work. When that moment arrives when you would want to, you no longer have the mental faculties to do it.

Before then, you'll be feeling like everything is going just fine, so why end it?

Assisted suicide or DNR's don't really work without family members to enforce them. Medical providers are incentivized to keep you alive: Both morally and financially (you can chose which counts for more depending on how cynical you are, but either way the two motives are in sync).

Re:Dying Alone in Japan: The Industry Devoted to What’s Left... by mirimir on Sunday July 29, 2018 @05:30PM (#17640376)
Time will tell, I guess.

But re medical providers, why would they keep me alive if there's no money left? It's a pretty good bet that even AmEx would start declining charges, at some point.

Re:Dying Alone in Japan: The Industry Devoted to What’s Left... by ars on Sunday July 29, 2018 @06:57PM (#17640829)
The government pays for healthcare for retirees.

They are bilking the government, not the individual. They actually prefer it that way since there isn't anyone checking on them.

Re:Dying Alone in Japan: The Industry Devoted to What’s Left... by mirimir on Sunday July 29, 2018 @07:15PM (#17640910)
I didn't think that Medicare was that generous.
Re:Dying Alone in Japan: The Industry Devoted to What’s Left... by ars on Sunday July 29, 2018 @07:28PM (#17640966)
It's for people who are destitute. They insist you spend all your own money first, and then you are covered fully for everything, with a small monthly allowance from social security.

Providers are happy to help you spend all your own money, and then be fully covered.

Re:Dying Alone in Japan: The Industry Devoted to What’s Left... by mirimir on Sunday July 29, 2018 @10:47PM (#17641710)
That's Medicaid, I think. Medicare coverage for old people is much more limited.

But I do agree that fraudulent exploitation of Medicaid and Medicare by the medical industry is all too common.

Re:Dying Alone in Japan: The Industry Devoted to What’s Left... by aeontech on Sunday July 29, 2018 @07:36PM (#17641009)
Well, your heirs/estate would be still liable for any debts you incur?
Re:Dying Alone in Japan: The Industry Devoted to What’s Left... by mirimir on Sunday July 29, 2018 @08:33PM (#17641262)
Heirs aren't liable for debt, unless they've cosigned on loans.
Re:Dying Alone in Japan: The Industry Devoted to What’s Left... by jpindar on Sunday July 29, 2018 @06:07PM (#17640572)
I think there might be a market for a dead-man switch (no pun intended, honest), but you'd never be able to get a doctor to implant it.
Re:Dying Alone in Japan: The Industry Devoted to What’s Left... by mirimir on Sunday July 29, 2018 @08:34PM (#17641267)
I rather like that idea :) Except for the risk of bugs, and getting pwned :(
Re:Dying Alone in Japan: The Industry Devoted to What’s Left... by jpindar on Sunday July 29, 2018 @09:39PM (#17641484)
I wasn't thinking of anything that can connect to a network!
Re:Dying Alone in Japan: The Industry Devoted to What’s Left... by mirimir on Sunday July 29, 2018 @10:48PM (#17641713)
Well, there's virtually always an interface :)
Re:Dying Alone in Japan: The Industry Devoted to What’s Left... by quaQuaQua on Sunday July 29, 2018 @04:54PM (#17640220)
No one said anything about being elderly or infirm/feeble at time of death. Growing old is something of a terrible idea.
Re:Dying Alone in Japan: The Industry Devoted to What’s Left... by ars on Sunday July 29, 2018 @05:28PM (#17640368)
> Growing old

Ever heard the saying "Age is just a number"? If you took care of yourself you never feel like "Now I'm old".

It's typically only the young that look at the elderly and think "they are old".

Re:Dying Alone in Japan: The Industry Devoted to What’s Left... by mirimir on Sunday July 29, 2018 @05:51PM (#17640476)
True. It's amazing how little my sense of self has changed. I'm still basically ~14. Maybe it was not having kids. Or maybe it was all the LSD.
Re:Dying Alone in Japan: The Industry Devoted to What’s Left... by mirimir on Sunday July 29, 2018 @05:26PM (#17640360)
That reminds me of something Old Bill Burroughs wrote about in his last trilogy. But then, he had some outlandish fantasies about reincarnation through simultaneous suicide and conception. Or asexual spiritual materialization. So it was best to die in prime health.

In reality, he died at 83, after a heart attack.

Re:Dying Alone in Japan: The Industry Devoted to What’s Left... by taneq on Sunday July 29, 2018 @09:08PM (#17641390)
Really? Because most Baby Boomer parents I know bought those $1.5MM houses for $26k back in 1977 and paid them off 20+ years ago.
Re:Dying Alone in Japan: The Industry Devoted to What’s Left... by alkonaut on Sunday July 29, 2018 @04:48PM (#17640193)
I thought ppl sold their homes at around the age where they can no longer clean and walk stairs, and spent the lot travelling or just paying for living in some home for the elderly. At least that's what my parents did :D
Re:Dying Alone in Japan: The Industry Devoted to What’s Left... by electriclove on Sunday July 29, 2018 @04:39PM (#17640153)
And with people living longer, much of this wealth won't be just parent to child but also grandparents to grandchildren in roughly a 1:1 ratio. 4 grandparents wealth going to 4 grandkids
Re:Dying Alone in Japan: The Industry Devoted to What’s Left... by Someone on Sunday July 29, 2018 @08:12PM (#17641184)
If the population decreases, the values of many of these homes will decrease fairly rapidly.
Re:Dying Alone in Japan: The Industry Devoted to What’s Left... by toomuchtodo on Sunday July 29, 2018 @08:38PM (#17641278)
People will always want to immigrate, creating a demand floor.
Re:Dying Alone in Japan: The Industry Devoted to What’s Left... by Someone on Monday July 30, 2018 @01:39PM (#17646337)
Potentially a very low floor. If villages far away from major population centers die out, people may still want to immigrate, but those people may not be wealthy or willing to pay a decent sum.

For example, one euro plus the commitment to renovate for $25,000 buys you a house on Sardinia https://edition.cnn.com/travel/article/ollolai-italy-one-eur...