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A comment on Goldman Sachs model to predict World Cup game results didn’t come close. Parent comment

Re:Goldman Sachs model to predict World Cup game results did... by systoll on Monday July 16, 2018 @08:00AM (#17540579)
To make that be specific -- in 44 of 64 games, and in every single penalty shoot-out, turning one goal into not a goal or vice-versa would've changed the outcome.
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Re:Goldman Sachs model to predict World Cup game results did... by ufo on Monday July 16, 2018 @09:36AM (#17541146)
It is not so simple because goals in football are not independent from each other. A team that scores first has the opportunity to play more cautiously and go for more counter attacks.
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