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A comment on A Double First in China for Advanced Nuclear Reactors. Parent comment

Re:A Double First in China for Advanced Nuclear Reactors by ummonk on Thursday July 05, 2018 @04:52PM (#17466734)
That happens in basically every industry. The problem is that if you double your own estimate, but no one else does, then your project doesn't get selected. Also, if you double your estimate and go ahead with the project, it will have a psychological impact which causes wasteful spending and slow work that will result in additional overruns...
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Re:A Double First in China for Advanced Nuclear Reactors by greglindahl on Thursday July 05, 2018 @05:40PM (#17467072)
I haven't heard much about cost overruns for wind farms and solar panel farms.

Solar thermal, yes, that's a startup industry.

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Re:A Double First in China for Advanced Nuclear Reactors by ummonk on Friday July 06, 2018 @03:19AM (#17469594)
To clarify, it happens in basically any industry with megaprojects.
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Re:A Double First in China for Advanced Nuclear Reactors by greglindahl on Friday July 06, 2018 @03:44AM (#17469704)
So, it applies to all of the recent large solar, wind, and battery projects... which appear to hit their budgets and dates? Or are those not megaprojects?
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Re:A Double First in China for Advanced Nuclear Reactors by angry_octet on Friday July 06, 2018 @07:29AM (#17470547)
Most megaprojects have mega complexity. In contrast, wind, solar and batteries are scaling by having many units, feeding in to a dumb grid, and don't have the complexity explosion.

Distributed generation and smart loads were invented to add enough complexity (technical, regulatory) to allow them to achieve massive system failure :-)

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Re:A Double First in China for Advanced Nuclear Reactors by CompelTechnic on Friday July 06, 2018 @08:39AM (#17470890)
This is why I think solar can win in the long term (wind already has won) - just scale up linearly. Doing so is geared toward standard assembly line production, standardized installation for the technicians, regardless of scale.
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