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Re:U.S. Files Criminal Charges Against Theranos’s Elizabeth ... by dghughes on Friday June 15, 2018 @11:37PM (#17325678)
Even speeding tickets or anything most normal people would find a burden are nothing to super rich. But making few days in jail mandatory is a major deterrent.

Then again even people texting and driving are not swayed by fines. In my region of the world a $3,000 fine is not a deterrent to many people. I say jail time would change that attitude.

Re:U.S. Files Criminal Charges Against Theranos’s Elizabeth ... by jcadam on Saturday June 16, 2018 @08:58AM (#17327214)
Compliance is not the goal of speeding tickets (at least in the US). You think local governments would be happy if everyone woke up one day and decided to begin fastidiously obeying all traffic laws?

Putting people in jail costs money and is hence undesirable, so unless you're drag racing through a school zone or driving drunk/stoned, you're not going to jail.

The view of governments in the US toward traffic enforcement as revenue-source was made clear during the Great Recession. When a lot of folks were struggling with unemployemnt, pay cuts/freezes, etc., and morale was generally in the toilet, local governments began jacking up speeding fines in order to make up for lost tax revenue. And people wonder why the relationship between citizens and LEOs in this country has become so antagonistic.

Re:U.S. Files Criminal Charges Against Theranos’s Elizabeth ... by dragonwriter on Saturday June 16, 2018 @10:18AM (#17327511)
> Compliance is not the goal of speeding tickets

It's the goal of the state policy authorizing them, even if it isn't the goal of the local government issuing them.

Re:U.S. Files Criminal Charges Against Theranos’s Elizabeth ... by sundvor on Saturday June 16, 2018 @12:25AM (#17325824)
Try fining in N% of annual salary, Finland style, and see how long it takes for that tune to change.
Re:U.S. Files Criminal Charges Against Theranos’s Elizabeth ... by vowelless on Saturday June 16, 2018 @12:49AM (#17325911)
What about Mark Zuckerberg who has an annual salary of $1.00?
Re:U.S. Files Criminal Charges Against Theranos’s Elizabeth ... by Terr_ on Saturday June 16, 2018 @01:06AM (#17325952)
They misspoke, Finland fines a percentage of income, which would include money from selling Facebook stock to pay for rent, food, yachts, etc.

IANATaxLawyer, but I imagine gaming the system would require you to take out non-taxable loans using that company stock as collateral, and hope that your lawlessness is caught during the living-on-a-loan years rather than the liquidate-and-repay years.

Re:U.S. Files Criminal Charges Against Theranos’s Elizabeth ... by ThrustVectoring on Saturday June 16, 2018 @03:25AM (#17326379)
Or liquidate a portion of your holdings and realize your gains in a non-penalty year. Either works.
Re:U.S. Files Criminal Charges Against Theranos’s Elizabeth ... by Retric on Saturday June 16, 2018 @05:44AM (#17326758)
That's harder to predict especially if fines are based on last years income.

Really though a ~0.1% speeding ticket fine is not going to be an issue even if the press is impressed by a very large number fine.

Re:U.S. Files Criminal Charges Against Theranos’s Elizabeth ... by xmodem on Saturday June 16, 2018 @05:58AM (#17326791)
I’m not Finnish or a lawyer but I think their courts would see right through that sort of bullsbit
Re:U.S. Files Criminal Charges Against Theranos’s Elizabeth ... by jakobegger on Saturday June 16, 2018 @01:09AM (#17325960)
Make it a percentage of taxable income or something like that. Lots of people have non-salary income.
Re:U.S. Files Criminal Charges Against Theranos’s Elizabeth ... by steelframe on Sunday June 17, 2018 @04:14AM (#17331414)
Zuckerberg gets his cash from loans against his unsold stock. He could keep doing that his entire life and never pay a dime of income-based tax.
Re:U.S. Files Criminal Charges Against Theranos’s Elizabeth ... by loeg on Saturday June 16, 2018 @01:56AM (#17326103)
Or a percent of wealth. Although that isn't really effective punishment for people who blow all their income and don't save anyway.
Re:U.S. Files Criminal Charges Against Theranos’s Elizabeth ... by briandear on Saturday June 16, 2018 @03:33AM (#17326409)
So should jail sentences be done the same way? If I am in jail 10 days, I lose a hell of a lot more money than some bum spending the same 10 days. So the cost of jail is much greater to me on a per day basis. This “based on wealth” concept is fine, assuming that also applies to jail sentences. We can’t expect an egalitarian scheme for fines if we neglect the same consideration for jail. Assuming our goal is inflicting pain proportionally. But people wouldn’t like a rich CEO spending a day in jail and a cab driver spending 25 years in jail for the same crime — even though the relative financial costs would be similar in terms of opportunity cost. Should a CEO pay $100,000 for a drivers license?

This leads down a very slippery slope.

Is there really an epidemic of rich people committing crimes at a higher rate than the non-rich? It doesn’t seem like criminality rates are higher among the rich, thus the premise that rich people should have a larger deterrent doesn’t seem to have much support in terms of evidence.

Re:U.S. Files Criminal Charges Against Theranos’s Elizabeth ... by jakobegger on Saturday June 16, 2018 @04:53AM (#17326634)
The idea of jail is that your personal freedom is taken away as punishment for a number of days.

How much opportunity cost those days have, or how much money you lose as a result of your jail time, is irrelevant. The punishment is taking away your personal freedom.

Jail time is a fair punishment: Nobody likes having their freedom taken from them. There is no need to scale it.

But its different for fines. If you drive a 100k€ car, you're not going to give a shit about a 50€ fine for speeding. And my personal experience seems to suggest this is true: Drivers of expensive cars often ignore speed limits and "no parking" signs.

So one thing we could do is add a mandatory jail sentence for speeding. You drive to fast, you go to jail for a day. But that seems a bit harsh, so maybe we stick with the fine, but make it so that it also hurts people who make a lot of money.

Re:U.S. Files Criminal Charges Against Theranos’s Elizabeth ... by masklinn on Saturday June 16, 2018 @05:57AM (#17326787)
> The idea of jail is that your personal freedom is taken away as punishment for a number of days.

In fact, the finnish fining above is a system of day-fine: the sentence is expressed in day-fine, each "day" of the fine is multiplied by the offender's day-fine factor (baseline is about half the daily disposable income — daily income after taxes & basic living allowance) and that yields the fine's actual amount.

For court-ordered fines of sufficient size they can also be converted to a prison sentence at a ratio of 3 day-fine to 1 day in prison (rounded down).

Re:U.S. Files Criminal Charges Against Theranos’s Elizabeth ... by drodgers on Saturday June 16, 2018 @04:23AM (#17326564)
No. Scaling jail sentences based on income would mean that the monetary size of the punishment was (roughly) constant between a rich and poor offender; just like if they were charged the same number of dollars as a fine. However, just as with fines, it would mean that the subjective effect of the punishment is much greater for the poorer person.

If the goal is deterrence, then we need care about how subjectively costly the punishment will be to each person. Having a high income doesn't make your time subjectively more valuable, but it does mean that you can trade it for more money. A rich and a poor person would likely value a day of their own time quite similarly, but they would each value $100 quite differently.

Re:U.S. Files Criminal Charges Against Theranos’s Elizabeth ... by galvin on Saturday June 16, 2018 @04:55AM (#17326636)
The goal is deterrence, not inflicting pain. If speeding fines where set at $3 people would probably just treat them as a cost of traveling. To someone very wealthy current fines may essential be that.

Jail has both the purpose of deterrence and rehabilitation. Since the method is essentially depriving criminals of their time and freedom then wealth has nothing to do with it. Either way it's probably equally painful for a CEO as a factory worker.

As for driving licenses, they are administrative expenses not fines. I assume you already know this so I'm not sure what your point is.

Re:U.S. Files Criminal Charges Against Theranos’s Elizabeth ... by tomxor on Saturday June 16, 2018 @07:25AM (#17326985)
> Even speeding tickets or anything most normal people would find a burden are nothing to super rich.

I'm not sure how it works in your country but in the UK too many speeding tickets and you will loose your license. The exact number depends on the severity of each offence, but we get max of 12 points over 3 years [1] so they stick with you - repeat offenders are given even stricter rules after getting their license back.

I get a sinister smile when observing rich people in those big shiny 4x4s on some stretches of motorway I know are littered with speed traps... It's a funny equaliser - I do the limit, but those types of people always gota be in front of someone with a shitter car - but the regret is apparent in their latent brake lights after the flash.

[1] https://www.gov.uk/driving-disqualifications

It's a shame this type of law that equalises wealth isn't more common, for instance in a related matter - I've heard plenty of stories about rich people basically using parking fines as parking tickets, there doesn't seem to be a limit or anything beyond a monetary disincentive. It's also more common to see expensive cars parked in places they shouldn't be, and i'm convinced this is the reason.

Re:U.S. Files Criminal Charges Against Theranos’s Elizabeth ... by Amezarak on Saturday June 16, 2018 @08:02AM (#17327086)
Is that really equalized? Poor people are much more severely impacted by a loss of their license than rich people. Outside cities, for example, your driver's license is pretty intimately connected to your livelihood. I imagine this is why so many people get busted for driving with a suspended or no license. They have to get to work reliably and at a specific time, or they don't get paid. They have to pick up and drop off their kids.

A rich man can just get a driver, take an Uber, etc., and is not likely to be fired for being late, assuming he works.

Re:U.S. Files Criminal Charges Against Theranos’s Elizabeth ... by tomxor on Saturday June 16, 2018 @08:04AM (#17327088)
If they don't care about driving and they were being a shit driver then didn't the law also work? either they are forced to drive like less of an idiot or they don't drive... I don't really care if they get a professional driver - good, less dead people on the road.
Re:U.S. Files Criminal Charges Against Theranos’s Elizabeth ... by Amezarak on Saturday June 16, 2018 @08:36AM (#17327165)
Right, but then you're worried about getting bad drivers off the road, not proportionate impact. For a poor person, losing their license (and not continuing to drive anyway) is devastating and can mean the impossibility of keeping a job or even raising their kids.

For a rich person, it just means they can't enjoy the pleasure of driving themselves around. You were talking about equalized impact to start with, I really don't see how this is a good example.

> If they don't care about driving and they were being a shit driver

These are also pretty big assumptions. I assume because of my demographic category, the times I was driving, and my car, several years ago, I received nearly two dozen tickets in a five-year period. None of the offenses were for speeding, but for various infractions like not coming to a complete stop (I was absolutely positive in every case that I did, especially after #3 or so I got paranoid about it), failure to yield, etc.

The only reason I have a license today is because I had a professional job, which allowed me the free time to go to court every single time without losing money and fight the ticket. I won every single time. Most people don't even know you can do that, they think you have to pay the fine.

If I had lost my license, I ultimately would have lost even that job. I would have to work remotely.

Re:U.S. Files Criminal Charges Against Theranos’s Elizabeth ... by tomxor on Saturday June 16, 2018 @09:57AM (#17327410)
> You were talking about equalized impact to start with, I really don't see how this is a good example.

I am _not_ talking about equalised impact i'm talking about equalised results... the OP was suggesting that speed tickets don't stop rich people from speeding, but if you loose your license it does - that is the purpose of these laws, not to try to figure out how much punishment to deal out in relation to your personal wealth, punishment is a means to an end, not an end in itself - the end being to stop you from doing something damaging to society, in this case endangering other people's lives.

Taking away licences is an equaliser in this respect, because being rich doesn't give you more points to spend.

Licenses are for individuals, if some rich person wants to pay some _other_ individual who can actually keep their license that is fine, the law won because a safer person is driving.

Re:U.S. Files Criminal Charges Against Theranos’s Elizabeth ... by amorphid on Saturday June 16, 2018 @10:28AM (#17327554)
Do you have a 1 or more recommendations for how to fairly treat poor who are also crappy drivers? Poverty sucks, and I don't have any bright ideas that would keep poor+bad drivers behind the wheel.
Re:U.S. Files Criminal Charges Against Theranos’s Elizabeth ... by astura on Saturday June 16, 2018 @08:05AM (#17327089)
So?

What is stopping someone who loses their license from just driving anyway? They've already shown not to give a shit, so they'll continue driving without a license.

My dad lost his license many years ago and never stopped driving. He gets arrested once in a while, doesn't stop him.

Re:U.S. Files Criminal Charges Against Theranos’s Elizabeth ... by tomxor on Saturday June 16, 2018 @09:59AM (#17327420)
> My dad lost his license many years ago and never stopped driving. He gets arrested once in a while, doesn't stop him.

You live in a very strange country, in the UK your dad would have had his car taken away from him and crushed... and if he repeatedly found other cars to drive without a license he would probably end up in prison.

Re:U.S. Files Criminal Charges Against Theranos’s Elizabeth ... by astura on Sunday June 17, 2018 @12:53AM (#17330934)
My dad has been to jail before for driving without a license, but driving without a license is not a life sentence so he's back out on the road driving next month.
Re:U.S. Files Criminal Charges Against Theranos’s Elizabeth ... by tomxor on Sunday June 17, 2018 @05:46AM (#17331634)
There is no repeat offenders law?
Re:U.S. Files Criminal Charges Against Theranos’s Elizabeth ... by CyberDildonics on Saturday June 16, 2018 @01:35PM (#17328384)
Really? They take your car and then crush it?
Re:U.S. Files Criminal Charges Against Theranos’s Elizabeth ... by DanBC on Saturday June 16, 2018 @01:41PM (#17328416)
There's probably some youtube video of it. Here's an article from 2011 about uninsured vehicles: https://www.telegraph.co.uk/motoring/news/8247837/Cars-to-be...

I don't know how many they actually crushed, but it was some.

Re:U.S. Files Criminal Charges Against Theranos’s Elizabeth ... by vcfg on Saturday June 16, 2018 @09:00AM (#17327222)
That’s odd. Here driving without a licence is a crime and will land you in prison for sure if caught. Why would you have a licence if there are no consequences for not having it?
Re:U.S. Files Criminal Charges Against Theranos’s Elizabeth ... by astura on Sunday June 17, 2018 @12:59AM (#17330950)
There are certainly consequences, but my point was some people have established they don't care about consequences.

My dad has gone to jail for driving without a license before, but he'll go out driving when he gets out of jail. But usually his lawyer finds some sort of technically that gets him out of major trouble. I don't know the exact details, I try to ignore him as much as possible.

Re:U.S. Files Criminal Charges Against Theranos’s Elizabeth ... by celticninja on Saturday June 16, 2018 @08:22AM (#17327121)
Then your father is a selfish individual. If he isn't licensed then he isn't insured. If he caused an accident, even without causing injury or death, he could still make someone else's life incredibly difficult.
Re:U.S. Files Criminal Charges Against Theranos’s Elizabeth ... by astura on Saturday June 16, 2018 @08:25AM (#17327136)
Yes, my dad is a horrible person,I thought I was extremely clear about that.

Other family members I know who have lost their license, it's stopped extractly zero people from driving. If you don't care about the other laws enough to get caught breaking them enough to lose your license you don't care about breaking "no driving without a license" law.

Re:U.S. Files Criminal Charges Against Theranos’s Elizabeth ... by occamrazor on Saturday June 16, 2018 @08:56AM (#17327210)
Not sure in which country you live. Since the GP talks about the UK, It is good to remid that in the EU/EFTA victims of traffic accident are always entitled to compensation from a state fund, even if the driver or the vehicle is uninsured.
Re:U.S. Files Criminal Charges Against Theranos’s Elizabeth ... by astura on Saturday June 16, 2018 @01:14PM (#17328257)
In the US many people purchase uninsured/underinsured motorist policies to protect themselves.
Re:U.S. Files Criminal Charges Against Theranos’s Elizabeth ... by celticninja on Saturday June 16, 2018 @01:59PM (#17328518)
Yes but you know who pays that for fund? Everyone who pays for insurance.
Re:U.S. Files Criminal Charges Against Theranos’s Elizabeth ... by occamrazor on Saturday June 16, 2018 @05:13PM (#17329459)
Yes. It makes sense to share the burden among all drivers, instead of letting a few unfortunate people go bankrupt because of irresponsibility of others.
Re:U.S. Files Criminal Charges Against Theranos’s Elizabeth ... by arethuza on Saturday June 16, 2018 @11:01AM (#17327651)
Around here in this part of Scotland it is mostly average speed cameras - I am amazed at the number of people who don't seem to have grasped what this means and slow down at the cameras (which are very visible) only to speed up afterwards.
Re:U.S. Files Criminal Charges Against Theranos’s Elizabeth ... by tomxor on Saturday June 16, 2018 @07:56PM (#17330156)
We have some of those down here too but not many, they do make more sense - I see the same thing though, people slowing down and speeding up after the cameras, i think they just don't read - their loss.
Re:U.S. Files Criminal Charges Against Theranos’s Elizabeth ... by klodolph on Saturday June 16, 2018 @07:35AM (#17327003)
In the US it depends on the state. Most states have a point system like you describe, except some states don’t (Hawaii, Kansas, Louisiana, Minnesota, Mississippi, Oregon, Rhode Island, Washington, and Wyoming don’t).
Re:U.S. Files Criminal Charges Against Theranos’s Elizabeth ... by tluyben2 on Saturday June 16, 2018 @12:02AM (#17325756)
Losing your license is a major deterrent as well: as someone who finds driving a waste of time I cannot understand why rich people do it, but they do and they get extremely upset if that privilege is taken away. So 3 times and you lose your license for life? That would solve the reckless behavior and cannot be fixed with money. Ofcourse for less well off people this would be very bad (maybe not being able to go to work etc) but then again; they had 2 opportunities to better themselves.
Re:U.S. Files Criminal Charges Against Theranos’s Elizabeth ... by vincentmarle on Saturday June 16, 2018 @01:21AM (#17325992)
> That would solve the reckless behavior and cannot be fixed with money.

I knew a rich person once with a drinking problem: he kept losing his license but his solution would be to just hire a private driver the next day.

Re:U.S. Files Criminal Charges Against Theranos’s Elizabeth ... by tluyben2 on Saturday June 16, 2018 @01:49AM (#17326076)
Why is that an issue, it solved the problem. And kept losing means he gets it back: just do not give it back. Then we have one less drunken driver on the streets.
Re:U.S. Files Criminal Charges Against Theranos’s Elizabeth ... by lokedhs on Saturday June 16, 2018 @01:30AM (#17326012)
But from the perspective of wanting drunk drivers off the road, it worked, yes?
Re:U.S. Files Criminal Charges Against Theranos’s Elizabeth ... by RaceWon on Saturday June 16, 2018 @04:57AM (#17326641)
IDK if that's true. Consider that a real alcoholic drinks all day long and truly can not control this. Typically they tolerate alcohol better than the rest of us, but still, there also comes a time when they are simply bombed and then they are (really) a huge danger.

A casual partier though or even someone heading out and thinking they will take the chance of driving home and getting there ok, then yes I agree.

Re:U.S. Files Criminal Charges Against Theranos’s Elizabeth ... by RaceWon on Saturday June 16, 2018 @04:42AM (#17326607)
> I cannot understand why rich people do it

This one's mine: Because it's more fun than sex.

Re:U.S. Files Criminal Charges Against Theranos’s Elizabeth ... by lsc on Saturday June 16, 2018 @05:09AM (#17326674)
I.. must be using my car incorrectly.
Re:U.S. Files Criminal Charges Against Theranos’s Elizabeth ... by ksaxena on Saturday June 16, 2018 @05:38AM (#17326743)
This comment made my day. Thanks :)
Re:U.S. Files Criminal Charges Against Theranos’s Elizabeth ... by tluyben2 on Saturday June 16, 2018 @05:26AM (#17326722)
Yeah, I know quite a lot of people who have that opinion, but they are talking about the edge cases; they speed, handle phone calls (dropped concentration), text, chat, etc and then say they have so much freedom. But they use illegal ways to not make things boring. If it’s not commuting then I can see how it would be ‘interesting’; I drove sportscars and terrain wagons, but most driving is a->b and without doing something illegal I cannot even stay awake generally. At least that is why in my friend group everyone speeds; they would pass out otherwise. And that’s basically one of the things we are discussing here.

But if you are a model driver AND find it more fun than sex, damn you are lucky.

Re:U.S. Files Criminal Charges Against Theranos’s Elizabeth ... by gameswithgo on Saturday June 16, 2018 @04:22AM (#17326563)
>Losing your license is a major deterrent as well:

People still drive when they lose their license. They have to.

Re:U.S. Files Criminal Charges Against Theranos’s Elizabeth ... by ryan-allen on Saturday June 16, 2018 @12:43AM (#17325893)
In Australia we have 'demerit points', so if you rack up enough of them, you can lose your license, which takes away your right to drive a car. If you drive without a license and get caught, you have no insurance and you can go to jail as it's considered contempt of court.

So the fines are no big deal to the rich here, but the right to drive is incentive enough to stop being an asshat.

Re:U.S. Files Criminal Charges Against Theranos’s Elizabeth ... by foobar1962 on Saturday June 16, 2018 @09:46AM (#17327365)
In Australia, one reasonably well known business identity kept getting infringement notices from speed cameras. The car was owned by the company, and the company would never identify the driver and just paid the fine. So the driver never received the demerit points.

I believe that because of this, the fines were made significantly higher for companies that did not identify the driver.

Re:U.S. Files Criminal Charges Against Theranos’s Elizabeth ... by trumped on Saturday June 16, 2018 @01:28AM (#17326011)
there is the same system in the US and Canada... not sure if it is in all states and provinces though...
Re:U.S. Files Criminal Charges Against Theranos’s Elizabeth ... by glangdale on Saturday June 16, 2018 @01:58AM (#17326109)
Actually, rich people in Sydney just paid their employees to say "oh, I was driving that car at the time". Pretty scandalous.
Re:U.S. Files Criminal Charges Against Theranos’s Elizabeth ... by sgt101 on Saturday June 16, 2018 @03:31AM (#17326400)
Surely that is a criminal conspiracy; most places would rate that as far more serious than a license confiscation. There was a case in the UK where a politician did this with his wife and it resulted in prison for both! https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chris_Huhne I think that if money had changed hands and if guilty pleas hadn't been entered it would have been a longer sensor.
Re:U.S. Files Criminal Charges Against Theranos’s Elizabeth ... by slavik81 on Saturday June 16, 2018 @04:39AM (#17326604)
Wow. That's a divorce that went rather poorly.

He has an affair. They get a divorce. To get revenge, his ex-wife tells a journalist that he once cheated a speeding ticket. Investigation reveals she knows that because she helped him do it. They both go to prison.

This revenge idea was planned with a lawyer/judge friend of the ex-wife. When the plan backfired, the judge falsified documents to mislead investigators. The judge got the longest sentence of the three of them and was disbarred.

What a trainwreck.

Re:U.S. Files Criminal Charges Against Theranos’s Elizabeth ... by narag on Saturday June 16, 2018 @03:28AM (#17326387)
That's another good reason to forbid photo-only fines. Force police to actually stop the car. Also if you lie authorities to protect another person, it's a stronger offense than speeding. Give jail to those and few people would take the risk.
Re:U.S. Files Criminal Charges Against Theranos’s Elizabeth ... by ryan-allen on Saturday June 16, 2018 @09:34PM (#17330470)
Not even rich people do this, but I wouldn't want to be party to either side of such an arrangement. Between the cameras and tracking of phones, if someone's out to get you they can get you on fraud.
Re:U.S. Files Criminal Charges Against Theranos’s Elizabeth ... by glangdale on Sunday June 17, 2018 @06:25PM (#17334697)
It was in the news a while back, so I'm not sure why the skepticism. It's not super-widespread - I don't think you can just do it with any car. Maybe the rort was set up to involve a company car.
Re:U.S. Files Criminal Charges Against Theranos’s Elizabeth ... by setr on Sunday June 17, 2018 @06:27AM (#17331745)
A $3000 fine doesn't matter if no one ever fines you, and while I have no statistics, I'm pretty sure its very rare for a cop to pull you over for texting while driving. Like the seatbelt laws, it only ever comes into play as additional item to a stop, and afaik, only really when the cop is being a dick, or you are.

I'm sure it'd come up if you get in an accident as well, but probably the bigger fine in that case is the insurance company will use it for fault.

The primary detterant of it is likely that, because its a fineable offense, its less accepted by the general public, and you'll do it less flagrantly.

Re:U.S. Files Criminal Charges Against Theranos’s Elizabeth ... by eric-hu on Saturday June 16, 2018 @04:10AM (#17326531)
An interesting, though inhumane twist, would be to seek a shorter but more severe punishment, like 1 year in a maximum security prison.
Re:U.S. Files Criminal Charges Against Theranos’s Elizabeth ... by jobigoud on Saturday June 16, 2018 @04:20AM (#17326556)
Jails are already overcrowded understaffed in most places though.
Re:U.S. Files Criminal Charges Against Theranos’s Elizabeth ... by taeric on Saturday June 16, 2018 @12:03AM (#17325759)
And you would almost certainly be wrong.