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Re:Current Inflation Has Different Effects on Different Age ... by aphextron on Friday June 08, 2018 @02:02PM (#17268065)
I feel like technology has led to such an efficient form of capitalism over the past 20 years, that there's no room left for any possibility of social mobility. It's this system where there is just enough room for you to live and get by, but never get ahead. Prices for everything are so efficiently optimized at this point that there is no more "wiggle room" for a working person to build wealth. The basic necessities of life have risen to perfectly match your income. It's a new kind of slavery. As a single male with no family or debt, making 3x the median wage, I am just barely doing ok. I literally can't even imagine how other people are still surviving.
Re:Current Inflation Has Different Effects on Different Age ... by 3pt14159 on Friday June 08, 2018 @02:23PM (#17268323)
Guys, downvoting aphextron isn't helpful. He's sharing his perspective.

I get that some of us are poor students living off of almost nothing, but try to listen when people talk about their own personal situation. People struggle with different things and we should try to learn from them instead of dismissing them.

Aphextron, I actually kinda get where you're coming from. Things like housing are appreciating so fast that you can be forced to rent, then pushed out of a neighbourhood that you helped gentrify because the rent is going up way faster than your ability to pay. The rent controls don't work because landlords can get around them, rarely get caught, and relationships can end without warning.

Re:Current Inflation Has Different Effects on Different Age ... by smnrchrds on Friday June 08, 2018 @03:16PM (#17268788)
To be clear, I haven't downvoted aphextron, but I disagree with them. Here is my objection:

> The basic necessities of life have risen to perfectly match your income

No, the basic quality of life has risen to perfectly match your income. Houses are more expensive compared to decades ago, but they have nice things like indoor plumbing, electricity, and fire retardant walls; all of which would have been a luxury if you go back long enough. Medical costs have ballooned, but so has the quality of care, life expectancy, and medical technology; so many incurable diseases of generations ago are now easily cured, e.g. Hepatitis C.

There is an argument to be made that we should be able to afford all these things for less, that the price has risen above the rate of its utility, that we have reached the point of diminishing returns for basic necessities, and I agree with that to some extent.

There is also another argument (a libertarian one) that says government has illegalized poverty by raising the floor on the quality of goods and services. For example, if you want to build a 1920-style home (with asbestos-laced walls, without plumbing and electricity, without smoke or CO detectors, etc.) at 1920-level prices, you cannot legally do that due to regulations. The minimum quality set by government regulations have made everything more expensive and one should not be forced to abide by these quality rules if they want to break them knowingly and of free will. There was an story about a (Mexican?) car which was priced at 5000$ new. But it would not pass safety regulations in the US. In that country, you would have a choice to buy a safe car and pay the higher price for it, buy an unsafe car and pay a much lower price, or don't buy a car. In the US, you lose one of these choices and you are more severely affected if you are poor. I see the point in this argument, but I don't agree with it. I like raising minimum standards to match the level the society can afford as it gets more prosperous.

But in either case, let's not pretend we are paying more for getting the same or lower utility. We are living longer and better lives compared to generations past. If we are going to debate about prices across generations, we should also take quality and utility into account. Otherwise the comparison would be meaningless.

Re:Current Inflation Has Different Effects on Different Age ... by thesagan on Friday June 08, 2018 @03:27PM (#17268898)
“We are living longer and better lives compared to generations past”

I appreciate all your writing, but statistics show lifespans in the U.S. are declining and housing is out of reach for increasing populations. On a mass society level that means something is very wrong and has been for some time. (Lots of folks like to also blame drug use but those have been around for ages.)

I think you’re missing the big picture.

“No, the basic quality of life has risen to perfectly match your income.”

What? That sounds ideological.

Re:Current Inflation Has Different Effects on Different Age ... by smnrchrds on Friday June 08, 2018 @03:59PM (#17269176)
> I appreciate all your writing, but statistics show lifespans in the U.S. are declining

Living in Canada, my perspective is a bit different. We have not observed the drop in life expectancy that the US has. But then again, let's keep things in perspective. Even after the drops, life expectancy in the US is higher than even early 2000s, let alone 60s or 70s:

https://data.oecd.org/chart/5ccg

>> “No, the basic quality of life has risen to perfectly match your income.”

> What? That sounds ideological.

Not ideological. Maybe my phrasing was ambiguous, but that sentence was supposed to be a summary of what I expanded on for the rest of my comment.

Re:Current Inflation Has Different Effects on Different Age ... by 3pt14159 on Friday June 08, 2018 @04:53PM (#17269597)
If it is any consolation I've upvoted all you. I think in many ways things are better (I don't even think when I put stuff in my grocery basket, and I buy "expensive" humane stuff) but in many ways things are harder. Programmers are in a social class where certain goods are really expensive in either time or money or both and because housing is so out of reach for some people it just feels impossible to even get a downpayment.

I also really think that two forces have simultaneously make the west worse. First, we try to educate everyone in the same subjects until they're almost adults. It's dumb. The level of skill you can get working with wood or computers from the age of 5 just pales in comparison with what you can pickup at 18. There should be a baseline, absolutely, but there should also be a measurable amount of tailored specialization from a young age. The second thing that is making the west worse is an absolutism on thinking about rights around property. Car-centric cultures are so stupid and inefficient. Everyone builds their own pool. Everyone builds their own gym. Nobody is happy because we're all separated from each other.

Re:Current Inflation Has Different Effects on Different Age ... by joefourier on Friday June 08, 2018 @02:21PM (#17268293)
Where do you live, and what on earth are you spending your money on? Housing may be absurdly costly in many cities but $5.5k a month after tax (assuming you're American) is enough to do much better than "barely ok" almost anywhere. Are you significantly in debt or living above your means?
Re:Current Inflation Has Different Effects on Different Age ... by aphextron on Friday June 08, 2018 @02:34PM (#17268425)
>Where do you live, and what on earth are you spending your money on?

Bay area

~$5,000 net monthly

$2500 Rent/PGE

$1000 Car/Insurance/Gas/Parking/Phone/Internet

$500 Food/Clothing

$500 IRA

That leaves ~$500 monthly discretionary income, which I usually try to save as much as possible but inevitably gets eaten up by all the stupid little things in life that cost too much nowadays. I can't even imagine supporting a family on this income and it is far higher than most people will ever see.

Re:Current Inflation Has Different Effects on Different Age ... by kcorbitt on Friday June 08, 2018 @03:10PM (#17268732)
Yes, housing is extremely expensive in the Bay Area. However, consider your options before deciding that there's no way to save more. I pay $500/month for your "Car/Insurance/Gas/Parking/Phone/Internet" category (old car, cheap MVNO, don't take the car to places where they charge for parking) and $300 for food/clothing. And that's for a family of 3. I do pay a bit more than you for Rent/PGE ($2750 all told) but again, family of 3 -- we need the second bedroom (and lived in a 1-bedroom for the first two years after my son was born anyway).

I'm certainly not saying that my choices are the "right" ones, but I am saying that if you make saving for the future a high priority it's possible to do at your income level, even in the Bay Area.

Re:Current Inflation Has Different Effects on Different Age ... by IncRnd on Friday June 08, 2018 @02:53PM (#17268587)
Living the Bay Area and paying $2,500 for rent, you have $1,000 net discretionary income. Even if you decide not to shrink your expenses or grow your income, you are still in a great position.

PS One day you will realize that things you once thought important are actually unimportant. If you keep saving for that day, you will be in fine shape. There is no need for angst, today. If I might make a recommendation - run some numbers as to where you will be if you decrease your expenses, increase your income, save more, etc. Do all that, forecasting for a set period of time, and do not pay any financial advisors or ask anyone else. Just use your own efforts to investigate. If you do that, I believe you will make the best decision for what to do.

Re:Current Inflation Has Different Effects on Different Age ... by user5994461 on Friday June 08, 2018 @04:59PM (#17269633)
Money is relative, $500 a month is nothing. It will take a year of savings to pay the deposit if he ever has to move out, or to cover the rent if he ever gets unemployed.
Re:Current Inflation Has Different Effects on Different Age ... by IncRnd on Friday June 08, 2018 @05:41PM (#17269946)
You're talking about things that have nothing to do with my comment.

But, on your point - you did the math wrong. He has $12,000 discretionary income not $6,000. He likely already paid his last month's rent of $2,500, and he already mentioned savings. So, it makes no sense for you to infer that it will take him a year to move if he loses his job.

Re:Current Inflation Has Different Effects on Different Age ... by majormajor on Friday June 08, 2018 @02:54PM (#17268595)
I'd consider that too low a salary premium to justify Bay Area rent. There's an aspect of "because people are willing to put up with it" to "why are prices so high in some areas."
Re:Current Inflation Has Different Effects on Different Age ... by jessaustin on Friday June 08, 2018 @06:18PM (#17270191)
Lots of people in the Bay Area make less than that. If they left, there would be many difficulties.
Re:Current Inflation Has Different Effects on Different Age ... by refurb on Friday June 08, 2018 @03:09PM (#17268728)
Socking away 10% of your take home income for retirement is not "barely making it".

Also, do you have a 401k contribution coming out as well? I assume the $500 IRA is a Roth IRA?

By that same argument I could make $200K, sock $5000 per month away in savings and say "I only have $500 in discretionary funds each month! I'm barely making it!"

Re:Current Inflation Has Different Effects on Different Age ... by aphextron on Friday June 08, 2018 @09:57PM (#17271089)
That's basically my point though. I'm doing just OK, not getting rich or anything, just not worried about bills and able to save for a retirement. But this used to be the standard for American families. Not the 90th percentile outlier. The economy has changed so fundamentally that it's either get rich or die.
Re:Current Inflation Has Different Effects on Different Age ... by 3pt14159 on Friday June 08, 2018 @05:49PM (#17270010)
Eh. If he ever wants to own his own home it kinda is, yeah.
Re:Current Inflation Has Different Effects on Different Age ... by refurb on Friday June 08, 2018 @05:51PM (#17270018)
I don't think owning your own home in the most expensive markets in the US should define whether you're "barely making it" or not.
Re:Current Inflation Has Different Effects on Different Age ... by jerf on Friday June 08, 2018 @02:52PM (#17268575)
That is definitely a localized phenomenon. I don't live in the Valley and my expenses are generally lower than that. (Or at least they are if I translate my expenses into single life. Though my "rent"/mortgage is just straight-up lower than that and you'd probably cry to see what I get for it.)

I tend to agree with you. In your position, you need to really want to live in SV for it to be worth it; you're paying a huge premium for the benefit of paying that huge premium.

Re:Current Inflation Has Different Effects on Different Age ... by scarface74 on Friday June 08, 2018 @03:06PM (#17268702)
There are plenty of major metropolitan areas where the salary vs cost of living make a lot more sense.

I live in one of the 25 most affluent counties in the US and just bought a brand new build 5 bedroom 3.5 bath house 2900 square feet for a little over 320K.

Re:Current Inflation Has Different Effects on Different Age ... by WalterBright on Friday June 08, 2018 @02:45PM (#17268531)
I don't think the bay area housing situation is at all representative of capitalism.
Re:Current Inflation Has Different Effects on Different Age ... by mobilefriendly on Friday June 08, 2018 @02:12PM (#17268204)
High marginal income tax rates are designed to keep you from building wealth-- the capital-holding classes don't want the competition for assets.
Re:Current Inflation Has Different Effects on Different Age ... by aphextron on Friday June 08, 2018 @02:46PM (#17268539)
>High marginal income tax rates are designed to keep you from building wealth-- the capital-holding classes don't want the competition for assets.

This was my first thought as well when looking at the new Republican tax brackets. They're throwing peanuts at the poor in the form of a minuscule tax break, while simultaneously cutting off their ability to ever actually build wealth by raising the middle rates.

Re:Current Inflation Has Different Effects on Different Age ... by seiferteric on Friday June 08, 2018 @03:28PM (#17268911)
I actually just had this thought the other day. It used to be that most people didn't even pay income tax. I realized that income tax is like "regulatory capture" for the wealthy and acts as a barrier from the poor/middle class from moving up. If we really want to touch the rich, we would have to have more capital gains tax, wealth tax, inheritance tax etc.
Re:Current Inflation Has Different Effects on Different Age ... by vkou on Friday June 08, 2018 @02:52PM (#17268572)
That's because income tax for workers is a tax on revenue. The rich are taxed on capital gains - which is a tax on profit.

As it turns out, getting taxed on revenue is far more punishing.

Re:Current Inflation Has Different Effects on Different Age ... by moorhosj on Friday June 08, 2018 @02:35PM (#17268430)
Income tax rates are not the problem, stagnating wages are the problem.
Re:Current Inflation Has Different Effects on Different Age ... by WalterBright on Friday June 08, 2018 @02:47PM (#17268541)
High marginal tax rates create a major barrier for building wealth.
Re:Current Inflation Has Different Effects on Different Age ... by dylrich on Friday June 08, 2018 @02:08PM (#17268160)
You make ~$90,000 a year and are barely getting by with no debt or children? Where do you live?
Re:Current Inflation Has Different Effects on Different Age ... by dsfyu404ed on Friday June 08, 2018 @02:32PM (#17268403)
Silly Valley, probably.

I was making 90k in the Boston area within the past few years.

On that salary I was able to support two adults, pay back student loans faster than needed, max out my 401k (company match up to $10k or something like that) and build saving at a rate of about $1k/mo, go out to dinner every 3wk or so and have enough to direct meaningful amounts into my hobbies and other discretionary spending.

That said, if you try to live like you're wealthy (shopping at whole foods, $2k+ rent, going out to drink, take uber everywhere, expensive cable, phone and internet, etc, etc) and generally hemorrhage money I can see how one could live little better than paycheck to paycheck on 90k in the Boston area.

Re:Current Inflation Has Different Effects on Different Age ... by ghaff on Friday June 08, 2018 @03:35PM (#17268979)
One thing that probably distinguishes Silicon Valley from other high-cost areas is that it's almost uniquely difficult to get out of the high cost zone while maintaining anything like a reasonable commute.

Metro Boston/Cambridge is pretty expensive these days as are some especially tony suburbs but you can get out toward reasonable property/rents relatively quickly. And, with the exception of newer outposts of companies from SV and elsewhere, a lot of existing tech is outside the city anyway.

Re:Current Inflation Has Different Effects on Different Age ... by ttul on Friday June 08, 2018 @02:23PM (#17268316)
In the Bay Area, $90K is not sufficient. A one bedroom might cost $3500/month - that’s $40K of your net income.
Re:Current Inflation Has Different Effects on Different Age ... by xtian on Friday June 08, 2018 @02:31PM (#17268393)
If you are making $90k and living in SF you should be looking at studios or for roommates, not at one bedrooms. A one bedroom in a city like SF is a luxury.
Re:Current Inflation Has Different Effects on Different Age ... by smichel17 on Friday June 08, 2018 @02:54PM (#17268596)
Isn't that kind of the point of the original comment? That cost of living rises by location in almost perfect parallel to wages? So even though they make a relative lot of money, their standard of living doesn't actually increase much.
Re:Current Inflation Has Different Effects on Different Age ... by xtian on Friday June 08, 2018 @07:40PM (#17270631)
No, your standard of living absolutely won’t increase. I would actually say almost everyone living in that kind of city is (perhaps unknowingly?) choosing to sacrifice in that column. Depending on what you value, however, your quality of life may increase dramatically. And any efforts in frugality will likely yield a greater absolute return than they would in a less costly locale.
Re:Current Inflation Has Different Effects on Different Age ... by majormajor on Friday June 08, 2018 @03:04PM (#17268682)
Wages don't rise exactly like that. There's a threshold under which it doesn't make much sense at all. If you're making under 100K - and certainly under 50k - I wouldn't be surprised if you could be much more financially comfortable in, say, Dallas. Chop your rent budget in half, lower your tax burden, you'll probably get a bigger chunk of monthly spending money.
Re:Current Inflation Has Different Effects on Different Age ... by ProfessorLayton on Friday June 08, 2018 @03:02PM (#17268670)
90K is comfortably above the median per capita income literally anywhere in the Bay Area:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_California_locations_b...

I'm not saying 90K is a lot, but it is complete hyperbole to say it isn't sufficient to live in the Bay. 90K is right up there with the highest median household incomes.

Re:Current Inflation Has Different Effects on Different Age ... by refurb on Friday June 08, 2018 @03:13PM (#17268761)
$3500 if you want to live in a new building. I've been looking at 1 bedrooms and rent has come down in SF. Not hard to find one for less than $2500 now (in a good neighborhood).
Re:Current Inflation Has Different Effects on Different Age ... by asfasgasg on Friday June 08, 2018 @11:40PM (#17271409)
No matter where you work in the Bay, there are decent 1br apartments within a fifteen minute bike ride that cost less than $2500 a month.
Re:Current Inflation Has Different Effects on Different Age ... by umanwizard on Friday June 08, 2018 @02:58PM (#17268635)
You can’t build wealth on $90K in Monaco either, but that says something about Monaco, not about “capitalism”.
Re:Current Inflation Has Different Effects on Different Age ... by refurb on Friday June 08, 2018 @03:11PM (#17268744)
That's what I don't get. People with high rent are typically living in one of the most expensive areas of the country. They are still wealthy, they are just spending it on living there.
Re:Current Inflation Has Different Effects on Different Age ... by wufufufu on Friday June 08, 2018 @02:04PM (#17268108)
{sum of your total monthly subscriptions/bills} = {your monthly paycheck}
Re:Current Inflation Has Different Effects on Different Age ... by scarface74 on Friday June 08, 2018 @03:02PM (#17268671)
The median wage is $37K (https://dqydj.com/united-states-income-brackets-percentiles/). That means you are making about $110K as a single person you can’t live off of that?
Re:Current Inflation Has Different Effects on Different Age ... by gaius on Friday June 08, 2018 @02:16PM (#17268252)
Especially now that websites can jack up the price based on tracking data.