this could very well be true, but it does seem unfair in the first place to be able to deduct state income tax. it's great that some states have decided to increase their income taxes to offer more services to their citizens, but why should tax payers in other states have to subsidize them without receiving any benefit?
The argument for the deduction, which has always existed, is to prevent people from being double taxed. A higher-tax state may tax its citizens to pay for infrastructure or services, whereas a low-tax state relies on the federal government to pay for the same stuff. There are tons of people in poverty in a lot of southern lower-tax states. Who do you think pays for all of the government services these people need?
The tax plan was specifically designed to harm blue states and to make residents of blue states pay and even higher, even less balanced share of tax receipts in the country.
Triple is a little hyperbolic, as you could probably best describe it with a number between 2 and 3 depending on the tax rate.
I'm not sure how I feel about the concept, but one rationalization is that if a basic need, like road funding, is suitably taken care of at the state level by high state income taxes, then the state needs less federal funding. It's sort of a usage qualifier I guess.
still, this is a valid point. the net flow of cash is certainly an important thing to consider, but i do think it is worth making the distinction between federal and state taxes. i happen to live in a (very blue) state that receives more federal dollars than we pay in taxes. if i lived in a creditor state, i would certainly not be thrilled with the situation, but i would accept that the tax is raised (at least ostensibly) for the national interest and may not be spent evenly among the states. state taxes, on the other hand, are raised exclusively for the benefit of that state. we can argue about how to allocate federal dollars most fairly, but i really feel that state taxes should not be directly subsidized by citizens of other states.
[0] https://www.theatlantic.com/business/archive/2014/05/which-s...
Otherwise, they're competing with employer-provided health insurance, which is already tax-exempt. That gives employer-provided insurance a huge artificial advantage and makes single-payer a lot more expensive in comparison.
The more cynical view is that this was done on purpose to harm blue states that tend to have higher state income taxes