I think blowski is suggesting the kids are safer because the kids are staying at home, safe from the prowling predators outside.

Exactly. I’m not sure I believe this, and definitely don’t have any evidence to back it up.

If kids are safer because they are staying at home, then we can’t criticise parents for not letting them out to play by themselves. That would be like saying Donald Trump doesn’t need bodyguards since very few presidents have been attacked.

More accidents happen at home than anywhere else, so perhaps kids are safer outside. As an example, my brother broke his arm in a pillow fight when he got knocked off the bed.

More accidents happen at home for the same reason more car accidents happen close to home...that's where the people are often spending time.

And mine broke his outside jumping from the compost bin. (We were all doing it...)

I don't have children yet so I'm probably way out of turn when I say I like the "be home for dinner" method after a certain age.

Sometimes we'd come home scraped up and dirty, but we'd be okay. My mother was about 10 feet away when my brother broke his arm.

It's just such a game of chance. It's probably best not to train for fear, though. (as a general philosophy, not addressing any anecdotes here)

Is that adjusted for time spent?