i fail to see the practical difference. if would-be predators are staying home, it is still safer for kids to go play outside.
If kids are safer because they are staying at home, then we can’t criticise parents for not letting them out to play by themselves. That would be like saying Donald Trump doesn’t need bodyguards since very few presidents have been attacked.
I don't have children yet so I'm probably way out of turn when I say I like the "be home for dinner" method after a certain age.
Sometimes we'd come home scraped up and dirty, but we'd be okay. My mother was about 10 feet away when my brother broke his arm.
It's just such a game of chance. It's probably best not to train for fear, though. (as a general philosophy, not addressing any anecdotes here)