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Re:FedEx reserves 20 Tesla Semi all-electric big rig trucks by ams6110 on Monday March 26, 2018 @09:44PM (#16684438)
Electric semis for true long haul will never be viable unless there is a major breakthrough in battery tech. 300 gallons of diesel fuel has so much more energy than even the best batteries could pack into a reasonable size and weight.
Re:FedEx reserves 20 Tesla Semi all-electric big rig trucks by paranoidrobot on Monday March 26, 2018 @10:37PM (#16684704)
Most trucks are driven by a single driver, rather than a team of drivers - this means that they legally must have 30-60 minute breaks every few hours, and can only drive a certain number of hours.

So, lets throw some numbers around:

- Range: 500 miles - Time to recharge 80% (+400 miles) capacity - 30 minutes - Speed Limit (Interstates): 50-75MPH - Maximum Driving Times (USDOT): - 8 hours (followed by a 30min break), - 14 hours (followed by a 10 hour break) - 60/70 hours (in any 7/8 days)

So lets assume 60MPH moving average speed (very high) - gives us over 8.3 hours of driving time.

You add in a 30min break at a megacharger and you've now got yourself another 400 miles of range, which would let you drive for 6.6 hours - at which point you'll be out of hours again.

So you park up and let the truck charge overnight.

I don't see how this is so difficult.

Re:FedEx reserves 20 Tesla Semi all-electric big rig trucks by hueving on Tuesday March 27, 2018 @12:42AM (#16685302)
Where are you getting 400 mile range on a semi towing a load coming from 30 minutes of charging?
Re:FedEx reserves 20 Tesla Semi all-electric big rig trucks by paranoidrobot on Tuesday March 27, 2018 @02:49AM (#16685918)
For the range - you can order either 300 or 500 mile range options.

The range options were said by Tesla to be the range of the truck plus trailer and maximum load, at highway speeds.

The 400 mile mention is the 80% capacity of a 500 mile range pack you'd get by a 30 minute charge. Also information given during the announcement.

[1] https://www.tesla.com/semi

Re:FedEx reserves 20 Tesla Semi all-electric big rig trucks by dogma1138 on Tuesday March 27, 2018 @10:08AM (#16688485)
That is for their “megawatt” chargers not the current infrastructure.

And that is a problem just count the average number of semis in a truck stop they’ll all have to share power.

Also many of these truck stops are in the middle of nowhere and while they have electricity they aren’t connected to anything that can provide that much power.

Say you get 100 500kWh semis in a stop that need to be charged 80% that’s 4mW if we’re taking Tesla’s 30min turn around that’s 8mW which is not an unnoticeable portion of what a power plant produces and hour.

Re:FedEx reserves 20 Tesla Semi all-electric big rig trucks by paranoidrobot on Tuesday March 27, 2018 @11:10AM (#16689221)
> That is for their “megawatt” chargers not the current infrastructure.

I never mentioned 'current' infrastructure, whatever that means. We're clearly talking about Tesla Semi here, that's pretty clearly not going to fit in your ordinary Tesla supercharger stall.

As for the other 'problems' - they are all solvable. I'm sure Fleet operators and major truck stops will all be jointly cooperating to add MW charging infrastructure along the trial routes. It benefits the fleet operator, it benefits the truck stop operator.

Electrical grid operators won't have an issue with it - if you look back at previous postings on HN you'll find several examples where grid operators are struggling to find demand for the grid, given the rise in household efficiency and offshoring of major production infrastructure.

Yes it'll require some work to ensure there's not huge spikes in demand, but that's solvable too. Tesla (and others) are already implementing local battery storage at some of their superchargers. This lets them have a more consistent draw on the grid.

The ends result of this is that you end up having a huge amount of deployed battery storage at truck stops all over, able to take advantage of spikes in energy production, respond to grid shortages, and smartly manage charging of trucks.

Given it's all integrated, there's no reason a major fleet operator wouldn't sign some kind of contract allowing their fleet charging to be slowed or suspended momentarily in return for lower charging costs.

I also suspect that there will be (at least) two categories of charger - the immediate "I'm on a short break" MW charger, where you're expected to move on after getting 80% or more capacity, and then an overnight charging slot where you park up for your 10+ hour break.

Re:FedEx reserves 20 Tesla Semi all-electric big rig trucks by BinaryIdiot on Tuesday March 27, 2018 @02:04AM (#16685704)
Tesla was mentioning 400 miles. I _could have sworn_ they specified those numbers were all with an average load but it seems official numbers are a bit annoying to source. So now I'm curious if that's accurate or not.
Re:FedEx reserves 20 Tesla Semi all-electric big rig trucks by _ph_ on Tuesday March 27, 2018 @02:06AM (#16685718)
That is the number Tesla promised for their megachargars at the presentation of the semi. So they seem to have clear plans to deploy megawatt chargers at their charging stations.
Re:FedEx reserves 20 Tesla Semi all-electric big rig trucks by paranoidrobot on Tuesday March 27, 2018 @02:51AM (#16685924)
ugh, fixing the formatting, because I keep forgetting this isn't markdown.

- Range: 500 miles

- Time to recharge 80% (+400 miles) capacity - 30 minutes

- Speed Limit (Interstates): 50-75MPH

- Maximum Driving Times (USDOT):

-- 8 hours (followed by a 30min break),

-- 14 hours (followed by a 10 hour break)

-- 60/70 hours (in any 7/8 days)

Re:FedEx reserves 20 Tesla Semi all-electric big rig trucks by KillerRabbitt on Monday March 26, 2018 @09:49PM (#16684459)
Major breakthroughs in autonomous driving may change that. If drivers are eliminated, the costs of waiting 30-60 minutes while charging becomes almost 0.
Re:FedEx reserves 20 Tesla Semi all-electric big rig trucks by hughes on Monday March 26, 2018 @10:09PM (#16684570)
Especially if the truck can hand off its payload to a fully charged & waiting replacement cab.

If you have access to a fleet or don't need the same truck back, it becomes more of a baton relay than a marathon.

Re:FedEx reserves 20 Tesla Semi all-electric big rig trucks by TillE on Monday March 26, 2018 @10:11PM (#16684580)
With the kind of infrastructure required for that, I can't help but think it would just be a lousy version of an electric railway. At least for long hauls with high throughput.
Re:FedEx reserves 20 Tesla Semi all-electric big rig trucks by tomhschmidt on Monday March 26, 2018 @10:36PM (#16684700)
How would it be lousy? The cars can now go anywhere and dynamically route instead of being stuck on rails and the infrastructure costs are orders of magnitude less.
Re:FedEx reserves 20 Tesla Semi all-electric big rig trucks by colordrops on Monday March 26, 2018 @10:40PM (#16684733)
That's like saying that circuit switched networks are better than packet switched.
Re:FedEx reserves 20 Tesla Semi all-electric big rig trucks by amluto on Monday March 26, 2018 @11:37PM (#16685009)
They would be if packets had enormous per-packet overhead.
Re:FedEx reserves 20 Tesla Semi all-electric big rig trucks by Gibbon1 on Monday March 26, 2018 @11:09PM (#16684872)
At some point you start wondering about improving intermodal transportation. Using rail for longer distances with trucks handling the last 50-100 miles.
Re:FedEx reserves 20 Tesla Semi all-electric big rig trucks by hobofan on Tuesday March 27, 2018 @03:12AM (#16686034)
Isn't it the other way around? With drivers, you can fit the charging inside the already mandated breaks, while without driver, you have to introduce longer breaks to get enough charge.

Idle time of EV-rig per day (30min charge every 4 hours): ~11% Idle time of Non-EV-rig per day (5min refueling every 4 hours): ~2%

Sure, for short distance trips where loading/unloading takes as long as charging the EV-rig, it doesn't make a difference, but for longer hauls, the charging pauses of EV-rigs will severely cut into utilization of the fleet.

Re:FedEx reserves 20 Tesla Semi all-electric big rig trucks by Retric on Monday March 26, 2018 @10:12PM (#16684591)
Semi's actually get ~6.5 MPG so they only need around 5x the batteries to get the same distance as normal electric cars. The huge tanks are over 24 hours driving time and are most there so you can pick the states to refuel in.

Battery volume and weight density is not that bad when you consider the weight savings without an IC engine, transmission etc. Gasoline gallon equivalent tables ignore the vastly lower efficiency of IC engines. Costs are mostly non issue as trucks would charge daily making them break even before cars.

The actual problem is manufacturing capacity which has been ramping up but has a long way to go.

Re:FedEx reserves 20 Tesla Semi all-electric big rig trucks by ams6110 on Monday March 26, 2018 @10:32PM (#16684678)
Yes but long haul trucking involves distances much farther then the range of any normal electric car.

Good point about substituting the weight of the engine for batteries. Still I think you're going to be way short in total energy density.

And it's not like you can just pack the trailer with batteries either, you still need to allow for the weight of the cargo and there is a gross weight limit on 18-wheelers.

Re:FedEx reserves 20 Tesla Semi all-electric big rig trucks by Retric on Tuesday March 27, 2018 @07:37AM (#16687312)
They don't exceed highway speed so swapping batteries every X miles will be worth it if they reduce total costs by doing so.

As to weight the engine weighs ~3000 lb and 300 gallons of gas weigh ~1,900 gallons. Transmission is another 700lb, include tank weight and verious odds and ends and you can get ~5 hours at highway speed. Assuming a battery swap takes 10 minutes. That's easily worth saving 50+k per year in operating expenses.

Re:FedEx reserves 20 Tesla Semi all-electric big rig trucks by femidav on Thursday March 29, 2018 @08:20AM (#16706365)
2200lb for gas, 3000lb for the engine, 700lb for the transmission. Say 7k lb total. Compare this now to the electric one. The battery alone would weight 33k pounds. Engine and transmission would add another 2k. 5 times more than ICE. The battery would also cost $200k.
Re:FedEx reserves 20 Tesla Semi all-electric big rig trucks by Jesus_Jones on Tuesday March 27, 2018 @01:41AM (#16685591)
they are already driving them, they seem to have about the range. you can read about this in tesla newsgroup sites, like tmc.
Re:FedEx reserves 20 Tesla Semi all-electric big rig trucks by colordrops on Monday March 26, 2018 @10:38PM (#16684713)
Are you suggesting that Tesla hasn't done the math or are just flat out lying?
Re:FedEx reserves 20 Tesla Semi all-electric big rig trucks by greglindahl on Tuesday March 27, 2018 @02:06AM (#16685717)
He used the weasel words "true long haul". Tesla was clear about what the truck can do; you're replying to someone who wants to argue with unclear statements. Not a good plan.
Re:FedEx reserves 20 Tesla Semi all-electric big rig trucks by MichaelApproved on Monday March 26, 2018 @09:53PM (#16684486)
Would a hybrid system using an electric generator to recharge the batteries be more efficient given the advantages of electric vehicles, such as regenerative braking?
Re:FedEx reserves 20 Tesla Semi all-electric big rig trucks by ams6110 on Monday March 26, 2018 @10:05PM (#16684549)
I would think if a series hybrid were more efficient than a conventional mechanical drive and transmission, it would already have been adopted. Trucking companies will spend money even for small gains in fuel efficiency because they drive so many miles.

I also think that regen braking in semis would be trickier because a lot of the braking happens on the trailer wheels so you would need to fit all the trailers with regenerative braking equipment.

Re:FedEx reserves 20 Tesla Semi all-electric big rig trucks by Retric on Monday March 26, 2018 @10:14PM (#16684598)
Long haul trucks fairly hit the breaks as that ends up costing a lot of money. However, a truck specifically for mountainous areas may benifit from a hybrid transmission.