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Re:Microsoft surges 8% after Morgan Stanley says it will rea... by endorphone on Monday March 26, 2018 @08:34PM (#16684096)
Until Windows is threatened, this will be the status quo.

Windows is under enormous threat, and much of our computing now takes place on alternate devices. The example of O365 is the perfect example, that platform being equally usable across many platforms (because it had to to have any market influence).

And if Microsoft is just discounting everything to get your business, that doesn't support the theory of Microsoft dominance. It is yesteryear trying to desperately hang on to have relevance. That is not an example of why Microsoft is a 1T company, but is an example of why the future doesn't look so hot.

Re:Microsoft surges 8% after Morgan Stanley says it will rea... by bri3d on Monday March 26, 2018 @08:55PM (#16684199)
Is there real competition in the front-office / back-office "alternate devices" space? There are certainly niche players but at least at the $bigcos I've worked at, most "real" tasks aren't easily accomplished on a tablet, phone, or Chromebook. Web spreadsheets tend to be feature-incomplete, presentation and document creation is a mess, and that's not even starting in on the hundreds of proprietary front-office tools for appointment scheduling and client management and back-office tools for analytics and finance, which are strongly Windows-based. I've only seen a few people use tablets day-to-day and they're all mid-to-upper level execs whose jobs are far more delegation-and-communication oriented and who have the liberty of sending someone an email when they need "the numbers" pulled or a slide presentation whipped together.

Even the BigCos I've worked at who use GSuite have had an additional subscription to Office365 for employees who need Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. I've seen very few larger companies who can subsist on Google Sheets alone.

This could be something that changes in the next 5-10 years, certainly, but it's been a prophecy that's underdelivered for years. Kind of feels like the "year of Linux on the desktop" all over again.

Re:Microsoft surges 8% after Morgan Stanley says it will rea... by mattferderer on Monday March 26, 2018 @11:31PM (#16684974)
I've worked with Office 365 & helped setup & admin several GSuite businesses. GSuite is a nice light alternative. It's online Office apps seem to trump Office 365's online Office apps but the desktop version that comes with most Office 365 subscriptions is in a league of its own. You have to purchase GSuite plugin after plugin to try & replace its capabilities.
Re:Microsoft surges 8% after Morgan Stanley says it will rea... by bonesss on Tuesday March 27, 2018 @03:10AM (#16686024)
I think if you're trying to replace user-facing Excel, Access, or Word usage of a meaningful sort with anything but other specialized tool is a fools errand.

At the same time: GSuite is leagues better, more intuitive, homogenous, more collaborative, friendlier to sysadmins, and friendlier to document-based data manipulation. It's also more than "good enough" for the 99% use cases of PowerPoint, Excel, Word, Paint, etc.

GSuite for all, Thick Old Office for the accountants and data crunchers who need it, all docs on Google Drive... why not?

O365 is kinda ok (things that should work dont, the split between online and offline is ass, the tools are heavy, the collaboration is semi-hidden), but it's the sharepoint and up-selling of Azure services that make it kinda Evil. I think a hybrid approach preserves the moral high ground and best-tool-for-the-job.

Re:Microsoft surges 8% after Morgan Stanley says it will rea... by pavs on Monday March 26, 2018 @11:14PM (#16684900)
Airbus with 130,000 employees is moving to gsuite.

https://www.geekwire.com/2018/google-picks-another-win-g-sui...

Re:Microsoft surges 8% after Morgan Stanley says it will rea... by Vulkum on Tuesday March 27, 2018 @12:00AM (#16685113)
Only in part. The part of Airbus that deals with confidential information [1] will stay on the Microsoft stack for a while (at least for e-mails).

[1] https://www.theregister.co.uk/2018/03/19/sorry_microsoft_hat...

Re:Microsoft surges 8% after Morgan Stanley says it will rea... by pavs on Tuesday March 27, 2018 @10:10AM (#16688514)
I think it's fair to assume that moving so many users to a new platform (new to the users) - will take some time and getting used to. Email being one of the biggest pain points.

If anything, such a large migration from software suite to another is most likely very rare. So probably begs the question why would a company do something like this if there isn't obvious benefit of doing this.

Since I haven't used Microsoft products in a long time, I can't tell gsuite is vastly superior, other than very specialized edge cases for excel and word. For most people, it probably is more than good enough and not worth the extra money or (presumably) worse user experience.

Re:Microsoft surges 8% after Morgan Stanley says it will rea... by AFNobody on Tuesday March 27, 2018 @12:55AM (#16685369)
I worked at two GSuite companies that handed out Chromebooks to the outside Sales team.

Automated Google Sheet reports, easy to maintain organizational documentation.

One was acquired by a S&P 509 and forced to convert to O365. The CFO quietly carved out an exception in the budget citing "conversion costs" so Accounting and Sales don't have to convert.

Re:Microsoft surges 8% after Morgan Stanley says it will rea... by bonesss on Tuesday March 27, 2018 @03:13AM (#16686044)
That is a highly interesting comparison...

Lots of shops struggle to avoid O365 because "everyone is used to Word", and once you have an Excel macro that's mission critical... game over.

I think the automation and Enterprise document management story in GSuite is just better than the Sharepoint nightmare and heavyweight knowledge-graph approach of O365. I think going over to O365 would be a lot harder than the opposite, for an advanced user, thanks to how automation works on those platforms...

Re:Microsoft surges 8% after Morgan Stanley says it will rea... by AFNobody on Friday March 30, 2018 @01:22AM (#16713878)
> Lots of shops struggle to avoid O365 because "everyone is used to Word", and once you have an Excel macro that's mission critical... game over.

Correct and in this case, that was exactly what happened except with the GSuite benefiting.

There was a number of Google Sheets that were automatically populated by database queries on an hourly basis. These were regularly viewed by the L1s (such as daily orders, distribution statistics, accounting summaries) and the Sales team (who wanted to know their commissions ASAP daily).

Then you had a bunch of managers who used those sheets to do light analysis with macro magic.

Re:Microsoft surges 8% after Morgan Stanley says it will rea... by ksec on Tuesday March 27, 2018 @05:13AM (#16686629)
>"real" tasks aren't easily accomplished on a tablet, phone, or Chromebook.

I have been thinking would this means the return of Desktop. The combination of Desktop + Tablet, instead of Laptop.

Re:Microsoft surges 8% after Morgan Stanley says it will rea... by thaumaturgy on Monday March 26, 2018 @08:52PM (#16684189)
They discount it to sweeten the deal for your company's accounting department, who are almost always 100% suits who want what's familiar and have enough influence over the accounts to be able to get their way.

But the reality is that for a 100% single-vendor, integrated system that works well with everything that's already installed in an SMB or larger, there are no competitors for O365.

Back when I was doing SMB consulting gigs, I tried to steer a few folks away from it, because I think it's a bad long-term move to rely on too many services from a single vendor, and especially when those are all off-premises services that depend on a lot of working technology between you and the vendor. But, it became clear before long that I was giving bad advice. The clients that ignored me and went with O365 were happier, and when something went wrong, they just shrugged and said, "oh well, Microsoft will fix it soon."

Whereas if something went wrong with any other system, it was my fault because I recommended it, even if I couldn't do anything about whatever particular piece was broken.

Anyway, point is, every customer that signs up for O365 at any price is going to be a Microsoft customer for a very long time, and I don't see anybody on the horizon that is going to be changing anyone's mind about it.

Re:Microsoft surges 8% after Morgan Stanley says it will rea... by chii on Monday March 26, 2018 @09:58PM (#16684507)
Nobody got fired for choosing IBM. Still just as true as it was easy back when.
Re:Microsoft surges 8% after Morgan Stanley says it will rea... by zapita on Monday March 26, 2018 @09:51PM (#16684467)
> It is yesteryear trying to desperately hang on to have relevance.

What an incredibly misguided comment.

Microsoft is a major player in the business software market, and there's no sign that will change anytime soon.

Sure, Windows is not a growth center, but it's still a huge business and will continue to be for several years. Meanwhile Office 365 is adequately protecting their productivity business, and Azure is growing at an enormous rate.

Most importantly, Microsoft has a massive home advantage when selling to businesses. They are the masters of cross-selling, and unlike consumer companies like Google, they know how to compete in markets without winner-takes-all outcomes (enterprise buyers, unlike consumers, know how to play vendors against each other to limit lock-in).

As long as they deliver good enough products, it will be very hard to uproot them.

Re:Microsoft surges 8% after Morgan Stanley says it will rea... by endorphone on Monday March 26, 2018 @10:19PM (#16684620)
>What an incredibly misguided comment.

You strangely follow this by essentially supporting my comment.

This whole conversation is a bit surreal, in a way, because we've been having it for literally a decade while Microsoft stagnates and becomes less and less important in this industry, a bit like IBM. The absolutely domination that Microsoft held in the late-90s to early-00s is something that is seems many in here are blissfully unaware. I remember desperately getting those technet early release discs to try to get a headstart on whatever Microsoft was doing next. Now...who cares? Like literally, Microsoft initiatives that are anything more than "yup, still selling that thing we got some entrenchment in a decade ago...and if we go outside of the lines even a bit it will spell doom" just fizzles. Remember when Exchange/MAPI integration was Microsoft's beachhead? BOOM. Then it was Office, but Microsoft had to rebuild Office to work on virtually every device or they would have had a mass exodus. Windows CE/Windows Mobile...all the Microsoft pull in the world was worth exactly nothing.

Now, astonishingly few shops are actually making Windows apps. In-house development is overwhelmingly web apps, or even Android/iOS. People have mentioned contact management, scheduling, etc -- all overwhelmingly web and mobile apps, or at a minimum cross-platform.

In the financial world the entire next generation of platforms are cross-platform or web-based. No one is pinning anything on Microsoft.

I'm not anti-Microsoft by any measure -- I'm typing this on Windows 10 right now -- and the various fanboy "boooo, stop hating on M$" type replies are boorish. It's just a completely different world, and Microsoft is another IBM now.

Re:Microsoft surges 8% after Morgan Stanley says it will rea... by zapita on Monday March 26, 2018 @10:46PM (#16684762)
Sure, Microsoft is no longer the monopolistic behemoth it was back in the 90s. Nobody here has claimed otherwise.

There is a wide spectrum between "absolute domination" (your strawman) and "desperately trying to stay relevant" (your argument).

> Microsoft is another IBM now

Only someone with very little actual experience of the business software market would make such a claim.

Re:Microsoft surges 8% after Morgan Stanley says it will rea... by endorphone on Monday March 26, 2018 @11:34PM (#16684993)
>There is a wide spectrum between "absolute domination" (your strawman) and "desperately trying to stay relevant" (your argument).

I said that Microsoft is fighting to stay relevant, which is most certainly in contrast to their once position of domination. These statements are supporting, not in conflict. There is no fallacy.

>Only someone with very little actual experience of the business software market would make such a claim.

I guess.

Re:Microsoft surges 8% after Morgan Stanley says it will rea... by adventured on Tuesday March 27, 2018 @03:05AM (#16685994)
Microsoft has $90 billion in sales. They'll likely generate ~$25 billion in net income this year. Both their sales and profit figures for 2018 are likely to be record highs based on how their business is performing the last few quarters.

They're the worlds largest software company by both sales and profit.

They're also the world's most valuable software company and the third most valuable company period.

If this is what qualifies as fighting to stay relevant, there are only a few companies in world history that have ever been relevant.

Re:Microsoft surges 8% after Morgan Stanley says it will rea... by fauigerzigerk on Tuesday March 27, 2018 @06:13AM (#16686899)
I guess it depends on what you consider relevant. If being relevant is to continue to exist as a large company then yes Microsoft is relevant, as is IBM, Oracle or SAP. If being relevant means to shape the future of tech then I think the jury is still out.

Microsoft certainly has potential. Their AI research and offerings are right up there next to Google's. Combining AI with SQL and Office could enable some real productivity advances. Microsoft is also top notch at PC gaming, a significant consumer niche.

But I think Microsoft also has one rather big problem that is currently masked by their Azure growth rates. That problem is Windows. I think Windows may be in permanent decline.

I know this sounds far fetched given the seemingly unassailable dominance of Windows on corporate desktops. It's indispensible for a very wide array of tasks right now. No need to reiterate all of them.

But Windows has largely lost personal computing to Android and iOS (as well as some Mac and Chrome OS in the US). Where it's still being used for personal computing it's often as a mere host for a web browser with the added benefit of a physical keyboard.

Windows has effectively lost the generation that will shape corporate environments in the years and decades to come, and that has the potential to erode both Office and their server-side offerings. Windows is losing share everywhere, even on Azure.

It's one thing to talk an entreched Windows shop into using Azure. They certainly get some impressive growth numbers out of it. But it's quite a different challenge for Microsoft to sell to people who went from school through university using iOS or Android, collaborating via Google Docs and Google Drive for free. It's going to be a very hard sell for Microsoft.

There is an avalanche of these folks that's going to hit corporate environments in the coming years. They have no attachment to Microsoft and they have zero tolerance for Microsoft's obscure sales language and licensing terms.

Re:Microsoft surges 8% after Morgan Stanley says it will rea... by mistermann on Tuesday March 27, 2018 @01:14PM (#16690651)
It seems to me that Microsoft doesn't consider desktop Windows to be strategic any longer (in that quite frankly it fucking sucks in so many ways that could be fixed with not that much effort, and I say this as a "fanboy"), which I think is a massive miscalculation but I see no sign that they're going to change and it will continue to wither on the vine.
Re:Microsoft surges 8% after Morgan Stanley says it will rea... by hungerstrike on Tuesday March 27, 2018 @10:30AM (#16688720)
> Windows has effectively lost the generation that will shape corporate environments...

No they haven't. As evidence - there is an avalanche of young gamers and streamers using Windows. Almost every streamer and gamer using Twitch.tv are on Windows. Watch the programming streams - it's almost exclusively done on Windows.

Those "entrenched Windows shops" are everywhere as well. Throw a stone and you'll hit one. I bought a car the other day and everyone on the sales floor and in their finance office is running Windows. My wife is a teacher and guess what they use in their administrative offices and guess what every teacher uses to get email?

Every insurance shop I've seen runs Windows. Every call center I've ever seen runs Windows. Every sales office I've ever seen runs Windows, even in industries such as publishing where the Mac is popular.

> But Windows has largely lost personal computing to Android and iOS.

I wouldn't call this computing...it's more like consumption. People who need to work at home aren't using Android and iOS. My brother in law works for a big financial house. When he works at home, he isn't using Android or iOS. Same with my sister in law who works for a big insurance company.

> They have no attachment to Microsoft [people who went from school through university using iOS or Android]...

New employees don't start off by being able to change whatever they want. Furthermore, they will learn more on the job than they did in school. If they simply cannot find alternatives to things that need to be done on Windows, they'll use Windows and other Microsoft tools. And finally, I doubt anyone makes it through university using only iOS and Android.

I'd like to see some evidence for your claims.

Re:Microsoft surges 8% after Morgan Stanley says it will rea... by fauigerzigerk on Tuesday March 27, 2018 @11:46AM (#16689601)
>No they haven't. As evidence - there is an avalanche of young gamers and streamers using Windows.

That's a niche. Most games are played on mobile these days. Just look at the sales numbers of gaming PCs. I did mention gaming by the way, so yes that is an area of hope for Microsoft, but it's small.

>Those "entrenched Windows shops" are everywhere as well.

Absolutely, and I said as much. But being entrenched doesn't necessarily make you relevant.

It's not a safe bet that anyone would choose to build anything new on Microsoft tech just because the insurance sales guy still has his Windows laptop or because everyone logs into the corporate network via AD.

Microsoft knows that. It's why they scramble to diversify away from Windows. They want us to use Azure. They want us to use their AI. They want us to use Office. They don't want to get dragged down by Windows, and I think Satya Nadella is doing a great job executing this strategy. But I also think the most difficult phase in this transition away from Windows is still ahead of us and it's not going to be easy.

>I wouldn't call this computing...it's more like consumption.

You do have a point there, but the things we do with computers and networks have changed. Even consumption requires a lot of computing, just not on the end user's device.

When I do research as part of my work I use Google and sometimes Duckduckgo. There's a lot of computing going on, but it's mostly done on some Linux server.

Even most line of business apps are now web based (with important exceptions). As a share of all computing that is done to keep a business running, I bet that even the most entrenched Windows shops now use less Windows specific tech than they used to.

Re:Microsoft surges 8% after Morgan Stanley says it will rea... by hungerstrike on Wednesday March 28, 2018 @06:49PM (#16702752)
> There's a lot of computing going on, but it's mostly done on some Linux server.

Microsoft IIS has maintained close to 30% of public Web servers and that’s not even counting intranet servers where IIS likely has a majority market share.

https://news.netcraft.com/archives/2016/02/22/february-2016-...

Re:Microsoft surges 8% after Morgan Stanley says it will rea... by endorphone on Tuesday March 27, 2018 @11:06AM (#16689167)
I think the term stay is being misinterpreted rather bizarrely.

Microsoft is relevant. They are fighting to stay relevant because the future is, in every way, moving against them. Yes, they are fantastically profitable on the inertia they achieved in prior decades, exactly like IBM was. If Microsoft doesn't gain a lot of relevance they going to eventually hit exactly the same sort of curve.

I mean...their revenue has stagnated for half a decade now.

Re:Microsoft surges 8% after Morgan Stanley says it will rea... by mistermann on Tuesday March 27, 2018 @09:37AM (#16688165)
What you seem to be missing is, someone with zero knowledge whatsoever of this market who read your comment would have an understanding dramatically different than reality. Your words are misleading.
Re:Microsoft surges 8% after Morgan Stanley says it will rea... by hungerstrike on Tuesday March 27, 2018 @10:04AM (#16688444)
Microsoft is very, very far from "desperately trying to stay relevant" in the realm of business software but I also wanted to point something else out which pretty much wrecks your argument.

Have you ever been to Twitch.tv? It's perhaps the biggest thing in gaming right now and guess what desktop OS everybody runs there if they're not running a console?

Oh and if they are running a console, guess what half of those consoles are?

Re:Microsoft surges 8% after Morgan Stanley says it will rea... by endorphone on Tuesday March 27, 2018 @11:03AM (#16689118)
That doesn't really "wreck" my argument. Twitch.tv might seem big in your world, but in the overall computing space it is absolutely tiny. Minuscule.

But yes, lots of people game on Windows. Lots of people have Windows installed. You seem to think that is a counterpoint, and I daresay it comes from a terribly naive perspective.

Re:Microsoft surges 8% after Morgan Stanley says it will rea... by hungerstrike on Tuesday March 27, 2018 @02:11PM (#16691213)
Well it seems like everybody else here thinks that your perspective is the naïve one.

That one of the top three companies in the world is struggling to stay relevant is ridiculous really.

Re:Microsoft surges 8% after Morgan Stanley says it will rea... by wdr1 on Monday March 26, 2018 @10:14PM (#16684597)
It is a major player, but in the same way that IBM is.

What it is not is a Netflix, Amazon, Facebook or Google.

Re:Microsoft surges 8% after Morgan Stanley says it will rea... by spiderPig on Monday March 26, 2018 @10:58PM (#16684817)
I would say Google is the new Microsoft of the 2000s now. From what I hear from friends, it’s very slow moving and filled with empire building leaders like Microsoft had. Amazon is really commendable in this aspect. Culture really does make a big difference no matter how smart your engineers are. I mean just look at how many chat/messenger products they have now.

Gsuite may be lightweight now but it’s only a few years away from feature creep with PMs pushing their shit and making it a bloated mess.

Re:Microsoft surges 8% after Morgan Stanley says it will rea... by AceJohnny2 on Monday March 26, 2018 @08:41PM (#16684132)
> And if Microsoft is just discounting everything to get your business, that doesn't support the theory of Microsoft dominance.

Microsoft has always discounted everything for volume licensing. That's how they lock you in.

Re:Microsoft surges 8% after Morgan Stanley says it will rea... by skookumchuck on Monday March 26, 2018 @09:57PM (#16684502)
I'll summarize based on what Microsoft charges:

1. more than the competition - gouging! Those bastards!

2. same as the competition - collusion! Those bastards!

3. less than the competition - locking people in! Those bastards!

Re:Microsoft surges 8% after Morgan Stanley says it will rea... by Analemma_ on Monday March 26, 2018 @09:54PM (#16684490)
Hardly any enterprise software companies don’t discount for volume licensing. This is a standard business model, not some sinister Microsoft plot.
Re:Microsoft surges 8% after Morgan Stanley says it will rea... by bonesss on Tuesday March 27, 2018 @03:24AM (#16686117)
In fairness: if management is choosing a Widget vendor, which offers volume licensing, then we're talking about a standard business model in many industries.

If management is choosing a Document vendor, one of which is offering cheaper OS licensing in order to lock the purchaser into a treadmill of neverending consultant fees and half-baked integration work where the vendor will constantly push unrelated services and licensing to fix their own products because of walled gardens obscured by lacking technical and business competence on the part of the purchaser, we're talking MS. It's a highly successful strategy, but it undermines their customers and has left a sour taste in many a mouth.

I don't know if Embrace, Extend, Extinguish counts as a "sinister plot"... I can't say I'm the most competent here to speak to what lies in the heart of "marketing" or "sales" people, much less at a giant like MS... I can say that the sellers I know would gleefully participate in sinister plots if it meant a better office and parking space.

Re:Microsoft surges 8% after Morgan Stanley says it will rea... by shitloadofbooks on Monday March 26, 2018 @11:14PM (#16684899)
If you do enough volume with ANY vendor (AWS, GCP, Red Hat, Dell, Cisco) they'll offer you discounts.
Re:Microsoft surges 8% after Morgan Stanley says it will rea... by bonesss on Tuesday March 27, 2018 @03:29AM (#16686148)
My issue isn't the discounting, it's the discounting on things that require large addition investments to get working 'properly' in a modern context, and large ongoing investments into that same suppliers ecosystem.

Office "needs" Sharepoint. Lots of Sharepoint and automation "needs" BizTalk. Neither of these are practically made to be customer managed, both require armies of external (MS partnered...), consultants.

This implicit subscription to supplier monotheism undermines correct business decisions and creates economic impedence against correct business action. Sharecropping has never been a good fit for businesses who need to lead.

Re:Microsoft surges 8% after Morgan Stanley says it will rea... by autokad on Monday March 26, 2018 @08:42PM (#16684136)
the O365 argument reminds me of when people said blackberry would never go away
Re:Microsoft surges 8% after Morgan Stanley says it will rea... by jjeaff on Monday March 26, 2018 @09:10PM (#16684279)
I think the lock-in for blackberry was miniscule compared to office products. The feature set of blackberry wasn't even that extensive.

On the other hand, there is no comparable suite of software that competes with Microsoft office on more than just the basics.

Re:Microsoft surges 8% after Morgan Stanley says it will rea... by autokad on Tuesday March 27, 2018 @09:16AM (#16687983)
i think you forget how locked in people thought blackberry was.