Launch HN: Promise (YC W18) – Cost-effective, more humane alternative to jail

Re:Launch HN: Promise (YC W18) – Cost-effective, more humane... by phaedradiana on Tuesday March 20, 2018 @03:55PM (#16631954)

Thank you. This is a beautiful answer. We agree on the criteria for evaluating what someone's risk is. Currently, it is primarily decided by the court. We are learning and adapting our own tool based on tools such as the one by the Arnold Foundation but also using qualitative analysis.

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Re:Launch HN: Promise (YC W18) – Cost-effective, more humane... by charlesmzhu on Sunday March 25, 2018 @01:37PM (#16673294)

Some lit, Stanford CS paper: "Even accounting for these concerns, our results suggest potentially large welfare gains: one policy simulation shows crime reductions up to 24.7% with no change in jailing rates, or jailing rate reductions up to 41.9% with no increase in crime rates." Judges are famous for not even being close to the pareto optimal curve.

https://cs.stanford.edu/~jure/pubs/bail-qje17.pdf

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