Re:False memories, or why we’re so sure of things we’re wron...
by jamesrcole on Thursday March 15, 2018 @07:47AM
(#16591945)
That doesn't contract my claim at all. It would only contradict it if I had claimed that the incompetent people estimated their rant as above some competent group. All that is required for my claim is that they overestimate their abilities.
[ Parent
| on HN ]
Re:False memories, or why we’re so sure of things we’re wron...
by Nomentatus on Thursday March 15, 2018 @12:33PM
(#16594295)
Right - you claimed mere imperfection, in a limited case. But we also know that experts making predictions outside their field are on average more confident but less accurate than non-experts. So the "folk mythology" version of D-K actually does apply at times, just not to "people of low ability."