The current "valuation" suffers from the same issues as the valuation of any asset.
A quick, rough calculation - if ~30 TWh were spent on mining Bitcoin, and the marginal rate of death for electricity generation is at least 100 per TWh (https://www.forbes.com/sites/jamesconca/2012/06/10/energys-d... or https://www.nextbigfuture.com/2016/06/update-of-death-per-te...), this means that we have sacrificed the lives of at least 3000 people to make this happen. Are the benefits worth this cost?
Or, said another way: what service does bitcoin provide, as opposed to say banking? Because that is what it is "trying" to replace. How many deaths does banking produce? Will replacing a part of the banking activities with bitcoin increase or decrease the death rate?
If I look at the headcount structure of a typical bank or at the tasks where the wider financial industry employs people, the settlement of payments takes 1%, perhaps 2% depending on how widely you interpret the area. So total worldwide adoption of Bitcoin (or some newcoin) might replace at most 1%-2% of the current banking employment and energy cost. As far as I understand, this energy cost is already smaller than Bitcoin's despite processing multiple orders of magnitude more transactions.
Second, the resources used by the banking industry to provide the services they do are not limited to the direct associated costs: we also have technology development, personnel costs (including energy used by the banking personnel to reach their workplace, the costs of turning on the lights in all the bank offices, and the fuel consumed by the bank managers to attend the party on the other side of the country without which the industry can not function, since, you know, you need some fun in order to sign the required contracts), the fuel consumed by the customers to reach the branch where, for the third time, they are going to evaluate their mortgage application, ... A long list.
In summary, yes, you are probably right that bitcoin is currently inefficient, and that currently it is not providing much value. But the sector is ripe for disruption, it is easy to disrupt, and any change in the current status quo will be an improvement, since the banking industry is so hugely inefficient for society as a whole.
At the core, the banking industry is just information processing, and that is the cake that technology is eating at the moment.
Clearing transactions, the (comparably small) part of a financial transfer that Bitcoin does, is comparably simple and easy and constitutes a minority of both the effort and cost of financial transactions. Things like dispute resolution, fraud control, client-side tools, customer service and acquisition, etc take more than that, but that's not included in the standard Bitcoin transaction fee / miner's expense.
Hm? In the stock market, you pay a current stockholder for their share(s). The company sees no money from the transaction. It sounds like what you're thinking of is banking, which is something different.
There's not a lot of love here on HN for a lot of that effort, but it's not terribly controversial to say that there are a large number of dev teams working on products in a multitude of fields that are putting the blockchain to work.
The controversy seems to be whether blockchain tech is a sensible solution to some of these problems (that is, people ARE actually building lots of things, but the verdict is contentiously out on how sensible/lasting those things will be).
When corporate bylaws are written in code, you can replace a single legal entity with thousands of former employees operating as sole proprietorships.
Like I said, it depends on how you define "the blockchain". Many problems don't involve an open set of untrusted peers, and many problems don't require proof-of-work. So if you include those in the definition, then the blockchain isn't appropriate for a lot of those problems. And if you exclude those aspects, then what do you have left? A chain of cryptographically signed nodes that each point to their predecessor? That's been an underpinning of x.509 for, what, over 20 years? It's nothing new.
(I do agree that 99% of the decentralization of protocols can happen off the blockchain, amongst trusted parties... just saying that doesn’t get you all the way to “McDonalds Corp Replacement”.)
One positive effect this is possibly having (I haven't seen a direct analysis of this) is to boost GPU R&D. Right now it sucks for people who want to use GPUs for other things, because it's causing shortages, but that's presumably not a permanent state of affairs. And better GPUs will be good for a lot of other fields, particularly AI.
It's also used to speculate.
It's also used in industry.
It's actually pretty easy to turn gold into fiat and vice versa outside of north America. It's also fairly easy to do it in North America as well. The spread between buy/sell is also quite low.
Note: I am not a big fan of the stock market either (it's pretty much a fake investment), we need investing 2.0, we have the tools, we just need the "Elon Musk" of finance
Note #2: I don't do what i'm preaching. I do own Ethereum because i'm hoping the smart contract layer might actually become useful someday (right now there are about 1000 DApps and they aren't that useful just yet IMHO)