Re:Observable Universe contains 10x more galaxies than previ...
by monktastic1 on Thursday January 04, 2018 @09:17AM
(#16070435)
Phrased differently: the expected number of such planets is 1.
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Re:Observable Universe contains 10x more galaxies than previ...
by Lon7 on Thursday January 04, 2018 @09:36AM
(#16070561)
In most variations of such a calculation the expected number of planets would be 0. The fact that the actual answer is >= 1 might suggest that the calculation is not an accurate representation of reality.
Re:Observable Universe contains 10x more galaxies than previ...
by monktastic1 on Thursday January 04, 2018 @09:43AM
(#16070600)
I'm not sure I'm understanding. It is a well-defined probability question to ask about the "expected number" of planets with life if there are 10^24 of them each with probability 10^-24, and the answer is 1.
Re:Observable Universe contains 10x more galaxies than previ...
by V-2 on Thursday January 04, 2018 @09:50AM
(#16070642)
Yes it will be approaching 1, the same as for 10^24 coin tosses the number of heads would be approaching 50% (or 5*(10^23)).
Re:Observable Universe contains 10x more galaxies than previ...
by monktastic1 on Thursday January 04, 2018 @09:54AM
(#16070671)
Given the definition of "expected value," it is identically 1 (as opposed to merely "approaching it"). Sorry, I'm not trying to be pedantic.