Also battery tech doesn't follow mores law so we aint going to get an order of magnitude change in battery tech ever
A "modest" 5-10 percent improvement like we've seen historically, for another 7-10 years, and we have more or less doubled the energy density of batteries. Plenty for EVs to beat combustion engine cars.
https://www.economist.com/blogs/graphicdetail/2017/08/daily-...
https://www.quora.com/Is-it-true-that-battery-energy-density...
There is no need for a nobel prize level breakthrough.
These modern technologies like photovoltaic and eletric vechiles are already viable today. They are within the same order of magnitude as the technology they are replacing and the gap is decreasing with every year.
There is a lot of useless crap out there that doesn't at all work like gravity batteries. EVs and PV are not part of that category.
- drastically reduce air pollution
- make more money selling electricity than just charging for parking
they will quickly start installing plugs everywhere.
Battery range is already at around 500 km for Tesla model S and X and the long range version of model 3, and close to 1,000 km for the new roadster. With the current incremental improvements, in 4-5 years battery range for ordinary medium priced EVs will go beyond 7-800 km on a single charge, super chargers and other chargers will be abundant, and charging will become a non-issue. Within 8-10 years, even the lowest priced EVs will have a range beyond that of combustion engine cars (6-800 km), unless innovation mysteriously were to end.