News for hackers. Stuff that matters.
Re:Why Throwing 92 Heads in a Row is not Surprising [pdf] by pcmonk on Thursday December 14, 2017 @11:22AM (#15923478)
He addresses this in the article if you read a little further down. Briefly, any sequence of 1 million coin flips is equally unlikely, so why are most of them not surprising?
Re:Why Throwing 92 Heads in a Row is not Surprising [pdf] by ythn on Thursday December 14, 2017 @11:24AM (#15923504)
He addresses this in the article if you read a little further down. Briefly, any sequence of 1 million coin flips is equally unlikely, but because most fall within our expectations, they are not surprising. 1 million heads in a row does not fall within our expectations and is unlikely, and hence is surprising.