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A comment on Simpson's Paradox and the Hot Hand in Basketball (1995). Parent comment

Re:Simpson's Paradox and the Hot Hand in Basketball (1995) by lhuser123 on Saturday November 25, 2017 @08:12PM (#15778924)
> A player with a hot hand is one that is feeling especially focused and confident for a specific period of time

Yeah, like Kay Thompson dropping 37 points in 1 quarter and not missing any shoots. Even himself seems confused about what’s going on.

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Re:Simpson's Paradox and the Hot Hand in Basketball (1995) by pocketsquare2 on Saturday November 25, 2017 @09:39PM (#15779184)
Case further in point, MJ with "The Shrug Game"

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=daP4JysFcUg

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Re:Simpson's Paradox and the Hot Hand in Basketball (1995) by harry8 on Saturday November 25, 2017 @10:10PM (#15779255)
Means nothing. Get a thousand people to toss a coin 20 times in a row. Repeat 82 times each. Someone probably throws 20 heads in a row. Monte Carlo sim it.

That model I've just described does not disprove the hot hand. It does show that an occasion of a good shooting run also is not evidence that it exists.

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