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Re:Warning Signs About Another Giant Bitcoin Exchange by goialoq on Tuesday November 21, 2017 @07:57PM (#15753246)
Why does volume matter? BTC is failing as a currency because it's in a speculating bubble. So, volume is just BTC circulating among traders and storage systems, not being used for anything.
Re:Warning Signs About Another Giant Bitcoin Exchange by peteretep on Tuesday November 21, 2017 @08:15PM (#15753362)

    > BTC is failing as a currency because
    > it's in a speculating bubble
This feels pretty inevitable. There's no reliable tie to any economic activity, virtually no raw materials are priced in Bitcoin, and there's no central institution that can price stabilize, so pricing anything in Bitcoin (rather than: x USD/EUR/GBP/whatever as Bitcoin) seems a long way off.

It's also -- comparative to fiat or commodities -- massively untested, so price shocks seem inevitable. Regulatory or technical risks that could reduce (or massively inflate) the value seem almost certain.

Re:Warning Signs About Another Giant Bitcoin Exchange by ActsJuvenile on Tuesday November 21, 2017 @09:34PM (#15753744)
Apparently Bitcoin is trying to re-position itself as Digital Gold instead of currency now.

https://multicoin.capital/2017/09/21/bitcoin-better-digital-... https://medium.com/@tuurdemeester/bitcoin-digital-gold-or-di...

Re:Warning Signs About Another Giant Bitcoin Exchange by umanwizard on Tuesday November 21, 2017 @11:33PM (#15754265)
What does it mean that "Bitcoin is trying to re-position itself" ? There is no central "Bitcoin" organization, and the only person who might have been able to speak with authority about the goals of the project hasn't been heard from in years.
Re:Warning Signs About Another Giant Bitcoin Exchange by kobeya on Wednesday November 22, 2017 @01:22AM (#15754751)
Bitcoin was always digital gold. That was it’s value proposition from the beginning: a return to the gold standard, in digital form.
Re:Warning Signs About Another Giant Bitcoin Exchange by dlwdlw on Tuesday November 21, 2017 @09:32PM (#15753735)
I think btc is being more and more recognized as a store of value rather than a currency. Gold/stocks also fail as currencies and are also prone to speculation bubbles.
Re:Warning Signs About Another Giant Bitcoin Exchange by eldavido on Tuesday November 21, 2017 @09:42PM (#15753786)
Funny, that's exactly opposite of my perception.

It seems too volatile to use as a unit of account or store of value, but almost perfect as a medium of exchange.

Re:Warning Signs About Another Giant Bitcoin Exchange by joshfraser on Tuesday November 21, 2017 @10:23PM (#15753979)
Are we looking at the same charts? https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/bitcoin/
Re:Warning Signs About Another Giant Bitcoin Exchange by kobeya on Wednesday November 22, 2017 @01:23AM (#15754756)
Mediums of exchange need to encourage usage, not hoarding.
Re:Warning Signs About Another Giant Bitcoin Exchange by nsomaru on Wednesday November 22, 2017 @02:03AM (#15754900)
Here's an interesting thought: you need a certain amount of liquidity to overcome the liquidity premium (https://www.investopedia.com/terms/l/liquiditypremium.asp). However, if the velocity of your asset is too high (nobody has incentive to HODL), then your asset becomes a medium of exchange because nobody wants to hold it due to price risk relative to fiat.

So the best digital currency is one that is valuable to be _held_ but still has high transaction counts.

The article that stimulated my thoughts on the matter: https://docs.google.com/document/d/1-ix9BDmGie8tPAwrfRKqe9CN...

Re:Warning Signs About Another Giant Bitcoin Exchange by kobeya on Wednesday November 22, 2017 @02:07AM (#15754920)
Do you mean something other than velocity? It doesn’t make sense I’m hat context. (I’m not opening a google doc for security reasons).
Re:Warning Signs About Another Giant Bitcoin Exchange by nsomaru on Wednesday November 22, 2017 @02:50AM (#15755075)
The article is great and gives context. Maybe use a service like Pocket or a proxy to open the link?
Re:Warning Signs About Another Giant Bitcoin Exchange by kobeya on Wednesday November 22, 2017 @04:32AM (#15755521)
Velocity is how quickly money changes hands. Did you mean volatility?
Re:Warning Signs About Another Giant Bitcoin Exchange by mrb on Tuesday November 21, 2017 @08:51PM (#15753542)
> not being used for anything

That is a common misconception on HN, almost repeated on every Bitcoin thread. There is, in fact, evidence usage for payments is sharply increasing:

https://blog.bitpay.com/bitpay-growth-2017/

Re:Warning Signs About Another Giant Bitcoin Exchange by bduerst on Wednesday November 22, 2017 @01:14AM (#15754709)
Transactions != Payments

The increases in transactions are due to HFTs speculating: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-01-16/high-spee...

Also, 70% of bitcoins won't be moved for 6+ months, making it more speculative than currency: https://www.coindesk.com/analysis-around-70-bitcoins-dormant...

Re:Warning Signs About Another Giant Bitcoin Exchange by kss238 on Wednesday November 22, 2017 @03:55AM (#15755372)
Did you read the webpage? BitPay is a payment processor. They mention the increase in total BTC transactions but it focuses on their growth as a payment processor
Re:Warning Signs About Another Giant Bitcoin Exchange by bduerst on Wednesday November 22, 2017 @11:42AM (#15758190)
They're converting Bitcoins to USD and back again, which is HFT activity. People are not using it to make payments to people but converting it to/from other currencies, which is speculative and not currency behavior.
Re:Warning Signs About Another Giant Bitcoin Exchange by wc- on Wednesday November 22, 2017 @12:53PM (#15758824)
Bitpay is a payment processor, they receive bitcoin on behalf of a store, and then give the store USD or EURO or whatever. When Bitpay says their activity has gone up, that means more bitcoin is being used to pay for real goods, services, etc.

Please go back and read the article, or just look at their homepage...

Re:Warning Signs About Another Giant Bitcoin Exchange by bduerst on Wednesday November 22, 2017 @09:17PM (#15762302)
Neither of those two articles mention bitpay. Did you reply to the right comment?
Re:Warning Signs About Another Giant Bitcoin Exchange by mrb on Wednesday November 22, 2017 @11:38AM (#15758150)
You didn't even read the page. They showed an increase in payments.
Re:Warning Signs About Another Giant Bitcoin Exchange by alt2501 on Wednesday November 22, 2017 @12:57AM (#15754606)
HN seems to be very negative towards crypto currency in general lately. Disappointing really.
Re:Warning Signs About Another Giant Bitcoin Exchange by pfisch on Tuesday November 21, 2017 @08:47PM (#15753529)
If I was going to pay you 100k, would you rather receive it in btc or yuan? You are a chinese citizen in this scenario.
Re:Warning Signs About Another Giant Bitcoin Exchange by CamTin on Tuesday November 21, 2017 @11:07PM (#15754141)
If you have the means to manage offshore funds, you'd want it in BTC so you can stash it somewhere outside China. If you're an ordinary Chinese dude, you'd want it in Yuan since that's the only thing you can spend.