Just own the damn robots

Re:Just own the damn robots by pdog on Tuesday October 17, 2017 @02:23PM (#15493367)

Interesting investment thesis, but isn't there a better way to hedge yourself than buying tech stocks?

That's just a huge bet on a tiny number of cyclical revenue sources: online shopping, online advertising, cloud services, iPhones, Microsoft Office, and Windows.

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Re:Just own the damn robots by leggomylibro on Tuesday October 17, 2017 @04:15PM (#15494505)

What will that tech need to survive?

Lithium, for batteries. Heavy metals, for processing. Energy, most of all. I wonder how long it'll be until we replace fiat currencies with a balance of kilowatt-hours.

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Re:Just own the damn robots by philipkglass on Tuesday October 17, 2017 @05:15PM (#15495019)

I wonder how long it'll be until we replace fiat currencies with a balance of kilowatt-hours.

It won't be any time soon. A kWh of potential energy is actually pretty bulky/heavy if it's stored as anything but nuclear fuel. Different forms of energy are not fungible. You'd either be bartering a large number of actual energy sources, or you'd be exchanging "normalized" energy-currency units whose normalization WRT different forms of energy is set by fiat.

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Re:Just own the damn robots by Apocryphon on Tuesday October 17, 2017 @04:38PM (#15494713)

Energy is the currency of the future.

- CEO Nwabudike Morgan, "The Centauri Monopoly"

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Re:Just own the damn robots by endgame on Tuesday October 17, 2017 @11:11PM (#15496617)

That game was incredibly prescient.

I was going to link to its page on Paean to SMAC but it turns out that quote is from "Global Energy Theory", a tech that didn't make it into the final game (but had data set up for it). So there's no write-up about it.

Instead, I'll link to the Paean's "First Time Here?" page: https://paeantosmac.wordpress.com/first-time-here/

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Re:Just own the damn robots by KekDemaga on Wednesday October 18, 2017 @02:20PM (#15501553)

"No check, no tech." is something I use often.

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Re:Just own the damn robots by ucontrol on Wednesday October 18, 2017 @07:33AM (#15498244)

That game man... It's really a piece of art.

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Re:Just own the damn robots by hodder on Tuesday October 17, 2017 @05:24PM (#15495115)

The problem with those is they are capital intensive industries with commodity products. Not exactly the kind of thing that compounds capital at fast rates.

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Re:Just own the damn robots by politician on Tuesday October 17, 2017 @05:17PM (#15495034)

Well, if we can get some variant of the ARC reactor or ITER working, never. Or if we see grid-scale energy storage systems become cost effective to deploy.

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Re:Just own the damn robots by adrianN on Wednesday October 18, 2017 @12:43AM (#15496933)

"Too cheap to meter" was already the promise of fission. Fusion won't be much cheaper. The actual fuel doesn't make up the bulk of the cost of fission power. Building the plants and operating them is not cheap. Those costs have to amortized into the electricity price.

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Re:Just own the damn robots by bykovich2 on Tuesday October 17, 2017 @03:45PM (#15494228)

I didn't read this as an investment thesis. I don't think he's trying to prescribe an investment strategy.

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Re:Just own the damn robots by empath75 on Tuesday October 17, 2017 @04:08PM (#15494425)

I bought nvidia rather than FAANG stocks. I did pretty well ($30 -> $190)

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