Daniel Kahneman “I placed too much faith in underpowered studies”

Re:Daniel Kahneman “I placed too much faith in underpowered ... by KGIII on Tuesday September 12, 2017 @04:41PM (#15232366)

In regards to your last paragraph, I'd like to mention that we made use of electricity while still having erroneous ideas about the electron. We even made use of it before the electron was theorized.

I'd also like to mention that I am a scientist, albeit retired. I'm wrong more times, by 09:00, than most people are all day. I have no reason to believe we are at some sort of apex of knowledge.

The other day, they released findings that showed they can mathematically predict quantum chaos. I'm still pondering the implications. There is so much we don't know, and that's a great thing.

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Re:Daniel Kahneman “I placed too much faith in underpowered ... by brianberns on Wednesday September 13, 2017 @09:23PM (#15244274)

To me, this is the difference between a "good enough" theory vs. a "totally flawed" theory. Obviously, there's a gray area between the two, but I think the distinction is valid. We had a working model of electricity that was good enough for some initial applications. Contrast with, say, Lysenkoism in Russia, which was totally flawed.

BTW, I never said we were at an apex of knowledge. I'm trying to quell the concern that what little we do know is somehow going to turn to mud one day. That's very unlikely.

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Re:Daniel Kahneman “I placed too much faith in underpowered ... by xelxebar on Tuesday September 12, 2017 @05:27PM (#15232962)

Off topic, but mind linking the paper you mention?

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Re:Daniel Kahneman “I placed too much faith in underpowered ... by KGIII on Tuesday September 12, 2017 @05:40PM (#15233095)

Start here:

https://www.sciencealert.com/researchers-have-managed-to-fit...

I'm going to give it a serious investigation over the winter. I don't have the time to devote to it until then.

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