Re:Daniel Kahneman “I placed too much faith in underpowered ...
by felon123 on Tuesday September 12, 2017 @01:23PM
(#15229250)
He goes on to say that he still believes actions can be primed.
I believe that chapter on priming Has been widely cited and used in practice. For example, law enforcement agencies use the ideology behind priming whenever they run a sting operation, and clearly believe it actually works. Look at the new prevalence of terrorism, gun, Drug, and rape stings.
Re:Daniel Kahneman “I placed too much faith in underpowered ...
by rhizome on Tuesday September 12, 2017 @01:10PM
(#15229132)
are you quoting from something?
Re:Daniel Kahneman “I placed too much faith in underpowered ...
by skmurphy on Tuesday September 12, 2017 @11:25PM
(#15235271)
yes I put the link first before the quote
https://replicationindex.wordpress.com/2017/02/02/reconstruc...
Re:Daniel Kahneman “I placed too much faith in underpowered ...
by SapphireSun on Tuesday September 12, 2017 @01:14PM
(#15229160)
Daniel Kahneman responded to this blog in the comments section.
"I accept the basic conclusions of this blog. To be clear, I do so (1) without expressing an opinion about the statistical techniques it employed and (2) without stating an opinion about the validity and replicability of the individual studies I cited.
What the blog gets absolutely right is that I placed too much faith in underpowered studies. [...] My position when I wrote “Thinking, Fast and Slow” was that if a large body of evidence published in reputable journals supports an initially implausible conclusion, then scientific norms require us to believe that conclusion. Implausibility is not sufficient to justify disbelief, and belief in well-supported scientific conclusions is not optional. This position still seems reasonable to me, but the argument only holds when all relevant results are published."
[Edit/add] Kahneman also outlined an approach to address concerns in 2012 in an open letter in Nature see https://www.nature.com/polopoly_fs/7.6716.1349271308!/suppin... [linked from https://replicationindex.wordpress.com/2017/02/02/reconstruc...] which was apparently ignored by the priming researchers.