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Re:Delta Goes Big, Then Goes Home by omegant on Thursday September 07, 2017 @03:55PM (#15195151)
Commercial pilot here, currently flying transatlantic routes. I avoided Irma last week while flying to Buenos Aires (it was not this big yet). I have partners in San Juan at this moment, bunkered in the hotel. We see this as a crazy move, very well executed, but too risky for the plane itself (not so much for the crew).

Let me explain, the metar and tafors (the airport meteorological reports we use) during the flight in San Juan show that the flight was doable. No crazy winds during landing, and worsening during take of but well within the limits you may find in a local thunderstorm. The predictions allowed them to see the window to fly in and out. If arriving the weather was too bad or you see the hurricane getting too close to the airport,they could have got away without landing. For take off either you have the right conditions (under the legal limits) or you don't.

What they risked IMHO is having some kind of technical problem or delay once in San Juan and having to stay there to weather the hurricane. That could mean heavy damage to the airplane while on the airport, even a total loss.

That said for me the most amazing of it all, is not the short stay at the ground. While very fast is not uncommon to see them with an experieced team, the slower part is the disembarking and embarking of the passengers, and they surely were all motivated to hurry.

The most impressive is how they followed the quite thin alley between the hurricane arms till they were clear of the bad weather. In a situation like that you only see red and magenta in your radar and a narrow black or green zone where you can fly safely. That's surely was the most scary part for them beyond the adrenalin of a fast and potentially dangerous operation.

Looks like the typical movie scene of a spaceship passing between closing doors!! Certainly brass balls.

Edit: some typos and a "don't" that I left behind and was changing the meaning of a sentence. Sorry written from the cellphone.

Re:Delta Goes Big, Then Goes Home by unionemployee on Thursday September 07, 2017 @10:17PM (#15197430)
It's interesting that a commercial pilot would buy in to the "risk" bent of this article. Are you an inexperienced/new pilot? I flew into and out of the outer bands of Harvey last month. That portion of the system is no different than any storm. Nor is flying between the bands. That gap is huge compared to a little tiny airplane. No "adrenaline" or "balls" were involved here. Just competence. I'm sure the pilots have had far more harrowing experiences flying back and forth across the US in the summer and the departing passengers were in no danger.
Re:Delta Goes Big, Then Goes Home by digi_owl on Thursday September 07, 2017 @06:21PM (#15196333)
Now i wonder who in Delta management were willing to put the plane, never mind the crew, on the line for this flight.

It if was totaled by the hurricane it would not have looked good on the company books.

Re:Delta Goes Big, Then Goes Home by joering2 on Thursday September 07, 2017 @07:13PM (#15196643)
Very good question. Whether Im stockholder or shareholder in this position I want to know why and why is risking hundreds of millions of dollars in my rolling stock not to mention lost lives and PR disaster.

Honestly there is NO reasonable explanation. But wait few days to find out there was some high ranking company member or CEO/C level exec or his/her family stuck over there and thats why they send a plane.

And no - if it wouldnt take off that minute, you are talking about wreck taken off the books.

Re:Delta Goes Big, Then Goes Home by whack on Thursday September 07, 2017 @07:26PM (#15196706)
The optimist in me would like to believe that Delta took this risk, because they considered their humanitarian mission more important that the mechanical integrity of one plane. I would encourage each and every company I own stocks in, to prioritize their goals similarly.
Re:Delta Goes Big, Then Goes Home by _jal on Thursday September 07, 2017 @08:52PM (#15197125)
Every situation is going to look different. But if I found out a company I was invested in had an opportunity to save lives at a reasonable risk[1] and chose not to due to concerns about whiny shareholders and PR, I'd dump them and write comments about their shitty morals on message boards.

[1] Whatever that means. And I have no personal opinion about the risk involved in what Delta did, because I'm not qualified to form one.

Edited to add: it is nice to be able to applaud an airline for a change. Yay, Delta.

Re:Delta Goes Big, Then Goes Home by tempestn on Thursday September 07, 2017 @09:25PM (#15197247)
Given that lives were not in fact at significant risk, it's conceivable to me that they considered the amount of free publicity this would likely get. Given that, and the relatively small chance of serious damage or loss of the plane, and it could be a decision with positive financial expected value.

Plus, of course, there is the humanitarian benefit.

Re:Delta Goes Big, Then Goes Home by Reason077 on Thursday September 07, 2017 @08:15PM (#15196954)
As explained by omegant in the post above, lives were not at risk here.

The risk was to the aircraft: if it had been delayed on the ground at SJU for any reason, it might not have be able to depart before the storm hit and would likely have suffered severe damage.

Re:Delta Goes Big, Then Goes Home by mmirate on Thursday September 07, 2017 @08:51PM (#15197120)
Normally I would think that

> hundreds of millions of dollars in my rolling stock

would refer to the aircraft ... except that's a nearly 1-order-of-magnitude overestimate of it's value (a single $100M, not multiple).

Re:Delta Goes Big, Then Goes Home by narvind on Thursday September 07, 2017 @04:07PM (#15195230)
Not sure if there were really any passengers disembarking in San Juan. I would guess that it was pretty much an empty flight flying in.

What a heroic effort! Salute to the entire team!

Re:Delta Goes Big, Then Goes Home by what_ever on Thursday September 07, 2017 @04:14PM (#15195284)
There were 30 people on the flight to San Juan.
Re:Delta Goes Big, Then Goes Home by Jare on Thursday September 07, 2017 @04:45PM (#15195551)
Each one of them must be quite a story. Being in San Juan despite the danger must have been very important for most, and they almost were unable to make it.
Re:Delta Goes Big, Then Goes Home by hueving on Thursday September 07, 2017 @06:19PM (#15196308)
Airfare was cheap to make it an attractive mileage run.
Re:Delta Goes Big, Then Goes Home by imbriaco on Thursday September 07, 2017 @07:03PM (#15196585)
But MQDs.
Re:Delta Goes Big, Then Goes Home by hueving on Friday September 08, 2017 @04:34AM (#15198726)
Get that waived with the spend on the credit card.
Re:Delta Goes Big, Then Goes Home by snowwrestler on Thursday September 07, 2017 @04:50PM (#15195587)
Perhaps disaster response folks pre-positioning. Red Cross, etc.
Re:Delta Goes Big, Then Goes Home by Chaebixi on Thursday September 07, 2017 @06:21PM (#15196331)
Or people rejoining elderly relatives or other dependents...
Re:Delta Goes Big, Then Goes Home by giancarlostoro on Thursday September 07, 2017 @07:58PM (#15196867)
Honestly wondered if Jim Cantore was on that plane.
Re:Delta Goes Big, Then Goes Home by AceyMan on Friday September 08, 2017 @12:54AM (#15197932)
Heh, great comment. I wrote The Weather Channel a letter (yes, on paper, sent by mail) years ago specifically in appreciation of Jim's demonstrable love of severe weather. He is a guy who clearly loves his work.
Re:Delta Goes Big, Then Goes Home by mschaef on Thursday September 07, 2017 @04:25PM (#15195379)
This comment is a great example of why I read the comments on this site. Thanks for the answer. It provided some context I'd been wondering about.
Re:Delta Goes Big, Then Goes Home by KeepTalking on Thursday September 07, 2017 @07:09PM (#15196622)
One often neglected risk is the risk to the ramp crew from lightning. For a quick turn around in the middle of a storm like this, someone needs to neglect their own personal safety. Many times lighting is less risky to the plane but even before the storms roll in the lighting picks up.
Re:Delta Goes Big, Then Goes Home by wtallis on Thursday September 07, 2017 @08:22PM (#15196992)
Hurricanes tend to have far less lightning than everyday storm fronts.
Re:Delta Goes Big, Then Goes Home by jshelly on Thursday September 07, 2017 @05:23PM (#15195863)
Thank you for the details from a Pilot's point of view. I was watching this flight play out live and it was certainly a nail biter. I couldn't believe they were going to land let alone take off.
Re:Delta Goes Big, Then Goes Home by collinmanderson on Thursday September 07, 2017 @04:49PM (#15195585)
Amazing. Anyone have a video of the flight path with radar?
Re:Delta Goes Big, Then Goes Home by CoffeeDregs on Thursday September 07, 2017 @05:03PM (#15195690)
Re:Delta Goes Big, Then Goes Home by MichaelApproved on Thursday September 07, 2017 @05:11PM (#15195756)
Is it possible to show the playback of the flight with weather?
Re:Delta Goes Big, Then Goes Home by digi_owl on Thursday September 07, 2017 @06:26PM (#15196359)
seems various weather layers are included in the higher tiers of payment packages (the business package in particular).

Not sure if they are also part of recorded flights though.

Re:Delta Goes Big, Then Goes Home by omegant on Thursday September 07, 2017 @05:08PM (#15195732)
Pictures of the departure with weather radar.

http://www.miamiherald.com/news/nation-world/world/article17...

Re:Delta Goes Big, Then Goes Home by lucb1e on Thursday September 07, 2017 @04:14PM (#15195288)
Thank you for the insightful explanation!
Re:Delta Goes Big, Then Goes Home by malmsteen on Friday September 08, 2017 @07:30AM (#15199422)
Stupid question: what about flying above the hurricane on the way back ? Possible ?
Re:Delta Goes Big, Then Goes Home by blorsh on Friday September 08, 2017 @10:38PM (#15205282)
This is exactly what you'd do in a Concorde, U-2, SR-71, F-15, or F-22. All of these can get to the required FL600, at 60000 feet.

The F-15 and F-22 have an extra bonus. They can climb straight up through the eye. The U-2 could probably manage a spiral climb within the eye.

Re:Delta Goes Big, Then Goes Home by askvictor on Friday September 08, 2017 @07:55AM (#15199531)
Depends how tall the storm is. Planes engines breathe air, and there is less air the higher you go, so there's a limit to how high you can go; roughly 10km for commerical jets (actually it's a factor of altitude and speed; at high altitude, you need to go at least a certain speed to get enough air into the engines, but if you go too fast the plane breaks apart). I think big storms are about 10km tall.
Re:Delta Goes Big, Then Goes Home by rowyourboat on Friday September 08, 2017 @08:18AM (#15199617)
It's actually less about the engines and more about the wings. As altitude increases, the air becomes thinner. That means that wings stall speed increases. At the same time, as the air becomes thinner, the speed of sound decreases - and breaking the sound barrier will break your plane. As you go higher, the stall speed and the speed of sound converge.

The point where they meet is called "coffin corner". It is really not a nice place to be: If you are in coffin corner, if you try to descend, you risk speeding up and breaking the plane. If you try to slow down, you risk stalling - although it is possible to recover from a stall, you cannot recover without speeding up.

It is generally advisable stop climbing before you box yourself in like that.

Re:Delta Goes Big, Then Goes Home by colejohnson66 on Friday September 08, 2017 @07:21PM (#15204684)
What would a pilot do in a situation like that?
Re:Delta Goes Big, Then Goes Home by Dylan16807 on Saturday September 09, 2017 @04:06AM (#15206041)
Descend very gently.
Re:Delta Goes Big, Then Goes Home by parisivy on Monday September 11, 2017 @01:52PM (#15220526)
Did you fly Atlanta - Buenos Aires? I flew on Wednesday 6th. Were you my pilot? :)