Re:Doomsday planning for less crazy folk
by nl on Monday August 28, 2017 @12:44PM
(#15117970)
if you discount all the Russia-provoked conflicts
Hmm. I'm not sure that is a great way of looking at it while Russia is still there.
Poland
I'm not sure about that. The Kaliningrad Oblast is a real problem - historically oblasts haven't been very stable politically.
Generally speaking though, I think most of those countries are NATO members (not sure about Albania?). That means that if any NATO member country is attacked they will all be dragged in.
If the US got dragged into a war on the Korean peninsular then I'm not sure Putin could resist the temptation of Estonia or Latvia. And I'm not sure what would happen then.
Or who knows what will happen in (NATO Member) Turkey. Three years ago they nearly got in a shooting war with Russia. Now they are good friends.. at the moment.
I've spent some great times in Central Europe, and I'm cautiously optimistic about the area. But that doesn't mean there aren't real, significant risks.
Hmm. I'm not sure that is a great way of looking at it while Russia is still there.
Poland
I'm not sure about that. The Kaliningrad Oblast is a real problem - historically oblasts haven't been very stable politically.
Generally speaking though, I think most of those countries are NATO members (not sure about Albania?). That means that if any NATO member country is attacked they will all be dragged in.
If the US got dragged into a war on the Korean peninsular then I'm not sure Putin could resist the temptation of Estonia or Latvia. And I'm not sure what would happen then.
Or who knows what will happen in (NATO Member) Turkey. Three years ago they nearly got in a shooting war with Russia. Now they are good friends.. at the moment.
I've spent some great times in Central Europe, and I'm cautiously optimistic about the area. But that doesn't mean there aren't real, significant risks.