Re:Doomsday planning for less crazy folk
by the_prepared on Sunday August 27, 2017 @11:26PM
(#15114230)
There are frameworks for common situations. Too many to list here, but a very common one is being lost while hiking / in the wilderness. People, especially men, will die not because they got lost, but because they moved afterwards when they should've sheltered in place and created signals for rescue.
Then on the other hand, if you're in a civil unrest situation outside of your home, moving is better than not.
Re:Doomsday planning for less crazy folk
by AndrewKemendo on Sunday August 27, 2017 @09:29PM
(#15113860)
I haven't studied it beyond recognizing that people who I have seen in a bad situation, and then subsequently saw them as one of a few remaining survivors, were either the first out of some place before a shit storm, or found a way to bunker down and wait for help while everyone else got lost/killed/starved.
Isn't that just survivor bias? Those people who survived when most people died were the ones who didn't do what most people did. But most of the time in life, most of the people survive and it is the few who don't.
Re:Doomsday planning for less crazy folk
by AndrewKemendo on Monday August 28, 2017 @11:50AM
(#15117403)
Ha I think this is one of the few cases where survivorship bias might not be a bias.
@andrewkemendo, can you say more about this? Is there a framework for making that decision based on situation on the ground, etc?