It really does seem like luck is the thing, even in something like the ivory tower. It stinks, but all that hard work is the price of the lotto ticket; it still ends up being just plain luck in the end.

I also feel like it's a race to the bottom now. It used to be 'publish or perish', now it's 'funding or famine'. The paper numbers, impact, and truthfulness have nothing to do with anything. I see so many PIs that essentially end up as one income households, their spouse's, not their own. The 'good ones' just get pushed out or leave, an evaporative effect, leaving only the liars. The academy is in real trouble these days. It isn't on life support yet, but it's not able to climb the stairs anymore.