For instance, what "good" has Facebook brought us so far? After we have determined this, is it not reasonable to extrapolate a little into the future? Also, entertainment is not unimportant, but everyone would agree it certainly does not belong anywhere near the top of the list, yet I see a lot of effort going in that direction lately, also on HN. It seems out of balance if you ask me.
I truly mean it, it's an unanswerable question, educated guesses or not. Too subjective.
For instance... is it better for Earth to have 1 Billion people on it, or is it better to have 25 Billion? If a "tragic" disaster drastically reduced the population levels for 100 years, but also allowed our species to evolve at a more sustainable pace in the long-term, was the disaster good or bad?