I literally remember standing there listening a microsoft rep tell me that 'When you don't have much market share, there's always room for great growth".
...just saying, you can spin the story however you like, but the fact is that Vue currently has a reasonably insignificant market share.
Beyond that, all we can do is speculate.
Sound familiar? (and I assure you, that 3.6% is a whole lot more than a 135k measly installs a day).
:P
That's called 'unsustainable small scale growth'; and it's what you're seeing with vue right now.
A good year over year growth of 2 or 3% is far far far more compelling than a tiny 100% growth rate from nothing to nothing.
Look at chrome's history of growth and that's what you'll see. In fact, if you look at the long term history of all three, that's what you'll see with reacts growth as well: https://npm-stat.com/charts.html?package=react&package=vue&p...
Sure, maybe vue and windows phone are different beasts and they're difficult to compare... but the comparison to chrome makes zero sense either at this point.
This '100% growth' stuff is pure hand waving nonsense. Its obviously unsustainable.
The question is, can vue turn its current trend into a sustainable consistent growth and take on react? I dunno, but I can guarantee you the answer to that question is something that no one knows at this point.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Usage_share_of_web_browsers#W3...
Which one do you use now?
I remember that when Larry Page granted the Founder's Award to Chrome, there were several TGIF questions saying "Isn't it premature? Chrome's market share is only 5%, and the vast majority of web users have barely even heard of it."
Larry's response was "In my mind, Chrome has already won," and in hindsight, this is probably what he was referring to. When a large number of users are flooding into a brand new product, even though there's already an alternative that's pretty good on the market and still growing, that usually means that the new product fills some burning need or deficiency that existing alternatives don't. That comparison will continue to hold unless competitors address it. That's why investors look so heavily at growth rates: if you're growing 15x faster than your competitors, you're probably going to end up with the whole market, given enough time.