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Re:Is there a Moore's Law for Machine Intelligence? by albertzeyer on Saturday July 03, 2010 @06:23PM (#1484611)
First, you need a mathematical definition of intelligence. Leave the problem aside that you will probably not find a common definition which will be generally accepted (mostly because people have different understandings/interpretations about intelligence). It will still be very difficult to find a mathematically definition at all (which somehow matches what at least some people might consider as intelligent). And that mathematical definition of intelligence must be measurable.

Once you have sth. like this, I would like to see a graph plotting of it with some of the research results of the last 50 years or so. And then I probably can answer your question. :)

Re:Is there a Moore's Law for Machine Intelligence? by markan on Sunday July 04, 2010 @12:41AM (#1485144)
Exactly. The closest thing to a mathematical definition of intelligence is probably Marcus Hutter's AIXI model (http://www.hutter1.net/ai/uaibook.htm). But it's not widely accepted and not practical to measure.
Re:Is there a Moore's Law for Machine Intelligence? by r3570r3 on Saturday July 03, 2010 @03:53PM (#1484321)
None that know of. Intelligence cannot be related to time. It is unpredictable, even a stochastic model cannot do it justice. There are too many unpredictable points.
Re:Is there a Moore's Law for Machine Intelligence? by nazgulnarsil on Saturday July 03, 2010 @08:43AM (#1483743)
no, progression of intelligence follows an unknown scale. it is thus impossible to say anything useful about doubling time.
Re:Is there a Moore's Law for Machine Intelligence? by messel on Saturday July 03, 2010 @09:32AM (#1483777)
While I agree "There’s no clear path forward for machine intelligence to mimic human problem solving ability."

It's also intriguing how programming language design has improved from a readers standpoint. I enjoy browsing clean ruby (& python) more than well written C++/C/Assembly. It's easier for me to follow the logical flow and organization.