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Re:The Decline of Investment in San Francisco Startups by epicureanideal on Friday July 21, 2017 @11:26AM (#14821272)
BMR is a scam in my opinion. It just prevents wages rising as they would naturally need to if housing became increasingly unaffordable to the point that workers can't even commute in. It recruits people into a program of lucky allocation rather than working for more. Busy or I'd write more.

Look how rent control turned out.

Re:The Decline of Investment in San Francisco Startups by vadym909 on Wednesday July 26, 2017 @02:23PM (#14858767)
I agree BMR is a scam, but not because of its effect on wages. It is too small of a factor, but because it is not market-based and leads to quotas, lotteries, middlemen, bribes- all bad.

To offset crazy high demand and prices, the only option is to increase supply (build taller, denser apartments/condos) or limit demand (disallow foreign buyers who speculate or invest, increase property taxes for owners that rent out their houses)

Re:The Decline of Investment in San Francisco Startups by ido on Sunday July 23, 2017 @03:49AM (#14831315)
Rent control works great when it cover the entire rental stock.

See e.g. Berlin vs LA: https://goo.gl/aNHzGQ

In Berlin all rents are controlled by default[1]. And despite similar purchase prices, rental prices are half of LA's.

[1] only newly built units or those renovated for more than 1/3 the value of the unit are allowed to be rented without price restrictions. This keeps the vast majority under rent control.

Re:The Decline of Investment in San Francisco Startups by Zahlmeister on Sunday July 23, 2017 @09:06AM (#14832091)
Affordable housing is actually quite scarce inside the city right now, people on average don't really earn that much. The rent controls had no actual effect on price increases. It has been suggested that the rules are simply being ignored and most tenants won't pick a legal fight with their landlords when housing is so scarce:

https://www.welt.de/finanzen/immobilien/article150877146/Die...

There's more than enough housing for higher-income people, so rent control there is moot.

Re:The Decline of Investment in San Francisco Startups by ido on Sunday July 23, 2017 @12:36PM (#14833076)
Rent control in berlin goes beyond the mietpreisbrmese - most significant is that you can't increase the rent once you get a tenant beyond the rate of inflation and that you (almost) can't kick out a tenant.

I have friends in London whose rent (in the same apartment) went up 10% every year for years until they had to leave the apartment. This is not happening in Berlin.

Re:The Decline of Investment in San Francisco Startups by Zahlmeister on Sunday July 23, 2017 @11:06PM (#14835625)
You can increase the rent up to 15% (Berlin) within three years, well above the rate of inflation. This forces some people to move out, as well.

Rents in Berlin are a joke compared to London. You can actually get cheap and plentyful housing just outside the city, but then you'll need a car as well.

Re:The Decline of Investment in San Francisco Startups by ido on Monday July 24, 2017 @12:57AM (#14835982)
I didn't know that, every place I lived in here had much slower rent increases (despite the market around the apartment raising more than that - in fact in my current place I'm still paying then same rent 3 years into living here).

Either way 15% in 3 years is still rent control.

Re:The Decline of Investment in San Francisco Startups by Zahlmeister on Monday July 24, 2017 @01:26AM (#14836077)
Like I said, there's a demand for affordable housing and in Berlin that means very affordable. Lots of students, lots of artistans, and also lots of unemployed people.

> Either way 15% in 3 years is still rent control.

...which affects very few people.

There are some places that suddenly became "hip", where rent increases drove out lots of low-income people, which caused political backlash. These people really just had to move to less popular places.

Re:The Decline of Investment in San Francisco Startups by ido on Monday July 24, 2017 @03:44AM (#14836567)
Well I don't know what your point of comparison is, but my wife and I have been looking at buying or renting a bigger place (new baby) and all the stats I see when looking at places indicate purchase pricing going up at about double the rate of rental prices (often 5-7% YoY rent increase vs 10-15% YoY purchase price increases).

This has been the case for the last couple years at least. What do you attribute the discrepancy in rent increases vs purchase price increases if not for rent controls?

Do you know nobody living cheaply with an old contract that they would never get today, and that their landlord can't increase to market rate? Cause I know loads such people and this would not happen in a place without rent controls.

Re:The Decline of Investment in San Francisco Startups by Zahlmeister on Monday July 24, 2017 @05:03AM (#14836885)
Real estate prices all over the world have gone up as a consequence of zero-interest monetary policy. Berlin is still on the cheap end, so it's still attractive to buy there even now.

Rents don't go up proportionally, simply because the demand isn't there. During the US housing bubble, rents didn't go up either, while property prices went through the roof.

> Do you know nobody living cheaply with an old contract that they would never get today, and that their landlord can't increase to market rate? Cause I know loads such people and this would not happen in a place without rent controls.

That's because most contracts specify that increasing the rent follows the standard procedure: Over three years, rent can rise by up to 20% (15% in Berlin), if the comparable rents in the area have risen as well (which is influenced by market rate). Ultimately, this limits the pace at which rents rise, but not the extent. In Berlin, only very few areas could sustain such growth, whereas in places like Munich where people earn way more, rents have risen much higher.

This is also not the rent control specific to Berlin (which is what you originally referred to), these are federal regulations.

Re:The Decline of Investment in San Francisco Startups by ido on Monday July 24, 2017 @06:52AM (#14837344)
I refereed to rent controls in the sense that the american OP said are causing price increases in SF (afaik this is simply limiting rent increases for existing contracts, which is the default in Germany).

All of Germany is under rent control in that context, and IMO it works compared to exploding rents in the US and other countries (UK, Israel, most places really aside from some of continental Europe).

    That's because most contracts specify that 
    increasing the rent follows the standard 
    procedure: Over three years, rent can rise 
    by up to 20% (15% in Berlin), if the comparable 
    rents in the area have risen as well (which is
    influenced by market rate). Ultimately, this 
    limits the pace at which rents rise, but not 
    the extent.
This is a form of rent control almost nobody in the rest of the world outside of continental europe enjoys - prices generally rise as quick for current tenants as they do for everyone there: your landlord can tell you tomorrow than the next time your contract is up to renewal (usually yearly), the price will be 2x the current one and if you don't like that you have to leave.
Re:The Decline of Investment in San Francisco Startups by Zahlmeister on Monday July 24, 2017 @08:04AM (#14837717)
> your landlord can tell you tomorrow than the next time your contract is up to renewal (usually yearly), the price will be 2x the current one and if you don't like that you have to leave.

It all depends on your contract. Some contracts may put limits on rent increases in. Yes, in Germany there effectively is rent control that prevents a doubling of the rent within a year, but generally rents don't double within a year.

If those rent controls were good enough to satisfy the affected people, why are there protests and demands for additional laws for even more rent control in places like Berlin? Why is living in Munich so hard to afford? At what point does rent control start to "work"?

Re:The Decline of Investment in San Francisco Startups by ido on Monday July 24, 2017 @09:52AM (#14838432)
It works, it's just not enough. It's still better than the situation in the US, UK, etc where there's even less (I remind you that the OP's argument was that rent control was a bad thing).
Re:The Decline of Investment in San Francisco Startups by et-al on Sunday July 23, 2017 @04:45AM (#14831428)
There's too many variables to say that rent control for the entire housing stock is what keeps Berlin's rents down.

For starters, Berlin is known to be one of the cheaper German cities until recently ("poor but sexy"). In addition, the climate, geographies, and economies between LA and Berlin are significantly different.

Re:The Decline of Investment in San Francisco Startups by ido on Sunday July 23, 2017 @12:32PM (#14833048)
Compare berlin to any big American city and you would see that the rent-to-purchase-prices ratio is always much lower in berlin.
Re:The Decline of Investment in San Francisco Startups by user5994461 on Sunday July 23, 2017 @06:17AM (#14831625)
>>> Rental prices are half of LA's.

Because income is one half of LA.

Re:The Decline of Investment in San Francisco Startups by ido on Sunday July 23, 2017 @12:32PM (#14833050)
And yet purchase prices are the same. Rents are controlled and purchase prices are not.
Re:The Decline of Investment in San Francisco Startups by vedanta on Friday July 21, 2017 @01:15PM (#14822159)
I don't think it's a scam. I would agree on rent control, but I think that has it's uses too in the current rental market.
Re:The Decline of Investment in San Francisco Startups by Zahlmeister on Sunday July 23, 2017 @02:00AM (#14831083)
Wages don't naturally rise just because rent is higher, if anything the converse is true.

You'd end up paying 25$ for a coffee just so that the barista can afford their overpriced housing.

If you're just raising the cost of living, but not the standard, you're not gaining anything for anyone.

Re:The Decline of Investment in San Francisco Startups by TuringNYC on Sunday July 23, 2017 @05:40AM (#14831550)
>> Wages don't naturally rise just because rent is higher, if anything the converse is true.

I'll offer a lay-person first-person view in contradiction to this theory: rents set a solid bottom salary level acceptable to people. A typical Bay Area rent can consume 100% of your salary once you have a family involved.

As countless HN threads discuss, i'll pre-answer the typical nay-sayers. Yes, i realize I can raise my entire family of four in a studio apartment. I choose not to. Most people I know choose not to. Yes, i realize I can raise my entire family on ramen noodles, i choose not to. Yes, perhaps i'm picky. Yes, I realize I can drive 5hrs a day and live in a nice house -- I choose not to (mostly because my workday is already 10+hrs.). Yes, I can have roommates live with my family (seriously, someone suggested this on another HN thread. This is down-right creepy. I dont want a roommate living in the same house as my 1yo daughter.)

Call me prissy, but I just figured that Ivy League educations, CS degrees from top-5 institutions, 15yrs of experience and two decades of hard work would afford me more than a studio apartment.

Where does this all put me? It means I have a hard-hard bottom on what salary is acceptable in the Bay Area. Practically speaking, it has meant that I stay in NYC where live is more affordable (yes, i've done the math 10x and can demonstrate it.). I have a great live in NYC on a good tech salary. I'd give up half my quality of live to live in SF, which means that I need a much, much higher salary in SF to make it worth moving there.

Re:The Decline of Investment in San Francisco Startups by Zahlmeister on Sunday July 23, 2017 @08:39AM (#14831984)
What are you contradicting? You are supporting my point. You are sitting in NYC because you're not getting enough money in SF. High rents didn't make wages rise enough to make SF attractive even for you, a hot shot software developer. Now think about all the ordinary people that hail from SF...
Re:The Decline of Investment in San Francisco Startups by closeparen on Sunday July 23, 2017 @01:29PM (#14833331)
Someone usually replies to statements about not being able to raise a family on a professional income in SF by suggesting these sacrifices and acccusing the poster of being entitled and having unrealistically high lifestyle expectations. ("Of course you can't live a suburban lifestyle here. Change your lifestyle"). Looks like parent was responding preemptively.
Re:The Decline of Investment in San Francisco Startups by TuringNYC on Sunday July 23, 2017 @04:48PM (#14834299)
I see what you are getting at and I see your point, thank you. I had an orthogonal point that high rents put an absolute minimum on required salaries. You are absolutely right that sometimes that absolute minimum required salary is realized by the job simply not being taken!
Re:The Decline of Investment in San Francisco Startups by readams on Friday July 21, 2017 @01:31PM (#14822305)
Be definition there's always a shortage of BMR housing (otherwise it wouldn't be below market rate). BMR doesn't remotely solve the problem.