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Re:Why isn't everything normally distributed? by hammock on Friday July 21, 2017 @09:20AM (#14820246)
..is it not? Waiting times would be a poisson distribution. In my field where most folks are much less math-savvy, it's WAY more common for someone to be "surprised" or find it "insightful" that the 80/20 rule exists on a dataset (that I had concluded would already be power-law distributed before I looked at it); or who struggle with defining how another data set like email opens over time is distributed (because it's Poisson and hey we're never really introduced to that idea)
Re:Why isn't everything normally distributed? by sevensor on Friday July 21, 2017 @03:47PM (#14823327)
> Waiting times would be a poisson distribution

This is only true if events are independent. Suppose we're modeling rider arrivals at a bus stop. The bus comes once an hour. Does the exponential distribution adequately model how long you need to wait for another person to show up? If a Poisson process is an appropriate model, the expected value of the number of people arriving in the 20 minutes after the bus departs is the same as the expected value of the number of people arriving in the 20 minutes before. Clearly not. Rider arrival rates depend on how long it is until the bus is supposed to depart. Indeed, most arrival processes are not ideal Poisson processes, but it may be a better approximation in some cases than in others.

We use Poisson processes for two reasons:

1. They're often a good enough approximation of reality to make useful predictions.

2. They're mathematically tractable.

Unfortunately, our reasons for using Poisson processes are often more (2) than (1).

Re:Why isn't everything normally distributed? by hammock on Friday July 21, 2017 @06:42PM (#14824275)
I don't really understand your example. The number of people arriving at the bus stop would match a poisson distribution where the x-axis is time-to-next-bus.

None of this before/after bus mess.

Re:Why isn't everything normally distributed? by sevensor on Saturday July 22, 2017 @01:45PM (#14828342)
> I don't really understand your example.

Evidently. I'm afraid we have no common ground on which to discuss stochastic processes. Have a pleasant weekend.

Re:Why isn't everything normally distributed? by hammock on Saturday July 22, 2017 @02:32PM (#14828591)
Ok dude you too. Nice chatting