> and on a close to reasonable time frame
woah, let's not get ahead of ourselves here. when elon says years, it's martian years as the meme goes, and not without reason. he's getting a better at estimation but is still an extreme optimist.
But Musk's numbers are much lower than everyone else's and he usually some percentage late, Not decades. Sometimes he is even on time.
He does things that many claim are literally impossible, who cares if they come 10% later and that is 3 months. If Telsa hits the production numbers by June they are still doing something that GM and Ford once said was decades in the future.
Re:Tesla Model 3 Hits Production
by brianwawok on Wednesday July 05, 2017 @12:49PM
(#14704012)
This is where I am too, I could see him aiming for 500k cars in 2018 and only shipping 425k due to some shortage. I could not see it taking until 2022 for him to get to the 500k mark.
On the other hand, Musk hasn't been one to just say stuff and totally fail. By and large he is getting what he says he is getting, and on a close to reasonable time frame. If we stuck to what big auto said, there would be no autopilot, and EVs would still be a toy with a tiny range.
I have at this point little reason to doubt that they will pull this off.
Clearly making cars is a solved problem, millions are made every year. It SEEMS like Musk hires people that know their stuff.
So I am going long on Tesla, and short on existing big auto. Time will tell what happens ;)