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Re:The Old Are Eating the Young by pjc50 on Wednesday June 14, 2017 @07:32AM (#14551973)
> whenever I hear that all countries are in debt I think of the law of conservation of mass and have an obvious question: who is this monumental, multiple-GDP debt owed to?

Finally, someone asking the right questions!

The first observation is that if you try to tally "global debt" vs "global assets", a lot of it appears to be missing. This is because the ownership is obscured in tax havens. There's an excellent paper on this: https://gabriel-zucman.eu/files/Zucman2013QJE.pdf

The second observation is that the 2008 financial crisis put a lot of previously high quality government bonds in jeopardy, and we saw who the major bondholders were: banks. Banks are effectively required to hold bonds as "safe" assets to cover their liabilities.

> why are they lending? It looks like either there are people with resources they have no idea how to invest in something actually productive

This seems to be basically true, and is why there is so much SV money sloshing around. There's lots of investment that would be societally useful but the returns would not flow back to the original investor, so either it doesn't happen or elaborate schemes need to be constructed to bribe them with future taxpayer cashflow in order to make this investment.

> insufficient taxation of the proverbial "top 1%"?

Some of whom own more than the GDP of some small countries. And a few who have stolen a good fraction of the GDP of small countries.

Re:The Old Are Eating the Young by caseysoftware on Wednesday June 14, 2017 @09:34AM (#14552558)
> The first observation is that if you try to tally "global debt" vs "global assets", a lot of it appears to be missing.

Part of that comes through debt funding of future liabilities.

For example, if you invest $1M into a number of small businesses, those businesses make and spend money, buy and sell goods, hire people, and pay taxes in a variety of ways. Hopefully, they're a net positive in a variety of ways.

If you invest $1M into a bridge, there's no additional tax revenue, a brief burst of construction jobs, it will need maintenance, improvements, etc long term. You've created a net liability.

Therefore, many "global assets" simply disappear as time goes on while the debt/liabilities grow. This is why more and more cities are pulling in their borders (aka responsibilities) to let unsustainable streets crumble, water infrastructure collapse, and police/fire coverage dwindle. It's awful if you're in one of those de-annexed areas.

Re:The Old Are Eating the Young by pjc50 on Wednesday June 14, 2017 @10:12AM (#14552836)
That's not at all what I mean: I mean the accounting entries for debt and assets.

If a bank lends a bridge-building company $1m, that produces a $1m liability for Bridge LLC and a $1m asset for Bank. (In fact slightly more, due to interest). When Bridge LLC spends money on concrete, its free cash goes down and its asset value labelled "bridge" goes up.

In the worst case, Bridge LLC spends the money to no effect and goes bankrupt - leaving Bank to take a writedown on the "asset" side of the loan. But until it does that the loan still exists as two sides held by the two companies which should have the same value.

The "missing" money is money owed where it is not clear from the outside statistical reporting where it is owed to - and in a global sense, the ledger must balance unless we owe money to aliens.

The PDF explains the methodology.

(An unsafe bridge may be a "liability" in the legal sense, but in any accounting sense it's an asset. Maybe subject to depreciation. But unless it's something that you owe to someone else, it's not an accounting liability.)

Re:The Old Are Eating the Young by slededit on Thursday June 15, 2017 @05:23PM (#14564493)
The ledger does not have to balance. If the probability of you repaying me is reduced I have no choice under accounting standards but to mark down the value of the loan on my books. You still owe me the money, but the asset on my balance sheet is a function of likelihood you'll go bankrupt.
Re:The Old Are Eating the Young by cuckcuckspruce on Wednesday June 14, 2017 @10:57AM (#14553195)
>If you invest $1M into a bridge, there's no additional tax revenue, a brief burst of construction jobs, it will need maintenance, improvements, etc long term. You've created a net liability.

Not entirely true. If the net effect of the bridge is to connect two communities together more effectively then there may be people who pay property tax that buy land near the bridge, and then grocery stores, restaurants, barber shops, service stations and the like that spring up to serve those people.

A bridge, constructed in the correct location, can easily spur economic growth which can pay back both the initial cost for the bridge and provide enough tax revenue to pay for its upkeep.